San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers 07/21/2021 Odds, Preview, and Pick

The San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers play the third of a four-game set at Dodger Stadium on Wednesday.

Entering Tuesday’s game, these National League West rivals have played in a total of 10 times this season with the Dodgers leading their season series 6-4. However, the Giants have won four out of the last five head-to-head meetings, including Monday’s 7-2 victory as a +115 betting underdog.

San Francisco Giants

Entering Tuesday’s games, the San Francisco Giants had the best record in the majors at 59-34 after beating the Dodgers in Game 1 of this series. The Giants, however, are just 6-4 in their last 10 games played and have split their last four games played on the road.

Of course, there are still plenty of games left in the season but San Francisco is looking great right now. The Giants rank 6th in the majors with an average of 4.91 runs per game scored. They are also yielding just 3.59 runs per contest which is the best in all of baseball. For the month of July, they have posted an ERA of 3.29 with a slash line of .271/.355/.458.

Right-hander Logan Webb will open on top of the mound on Wednesday. The 24-year old has 11 starts this season and has posted a record of 4-3 with an ERA of 3.54 and a WHIP of 1.25. He faced the Dodgers earlier this season and got the victory after allowing only two runs ( one earned ) on just one hit with seven strikeouts in five innings of work.

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Los Angeles Dodgers entered Tuesday’s schedule with a record of 58-37 after losing to San Francisco in Game 1. That loss was their second after four straight wins and they are just 5-5 in their last 10 games played and just 2-2 in their last four at Dodger Stadium. L.A. is two games behind San Francisco and six games ahead of San Diego in the race for the NL West.

Los Angeles has been hitting well this month, slugging 29 home runs in 537 at-bats with a slash line of .277/.347/.493. Their pitching staff has also done the job this month, with an ERA of 3.16 and a batting average of .230. The Dodgers rank 2nd overall with a total of 502 runs scored this season and their OBP of 338 is third overall and slugging of .424 8th in the majors.

The Dodgers will counter with Jose Urias in Game 3. The 24-year old right-hander has an impressive record of 12-3 with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.09 in 19 total starts this season. Urias has faced the Giants twice this season, going 1-1 while surrendering nine runs of 14 hits, 2 walks, and 15 strikeouts in a total of 11 innings of pitch work.

Who Wins?

The Giants are 6-2 in their last eight games played overall. San Francisco is 8-2 in their last 10 Game 3 of the series, 16-5 in their last 21 Wednesday games, 9-4 in their last 13 games as underdogs, 4-0 in their last four games against the National League West, and 5-2 in their last seven road games.

The Dodgers are 14-6 in their last 20 games played overall. Los Angeles is 47-20 in their last 67 games against the National League West, 93-34 in their last 127 home games against a right-handed starter, 37-16 in their last 53 games in Game 3 of the series, and 55-22 in their last 77 home games.

The Dodgers have been red hot on the plate as of late while Webb has been 1-2 with a 4.34 ERA in four starts against Los Angeles. Meanwhile, the Dodgers are 41-26 against right-handed starters this season.

Urias is coming off a poor outing where he gave up our earned runs on seven hits against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. Despite that, he still got the win as his offense scored 10 runs. Urias almost always gets solid run support. I expect him to get the same help here. Give me the Dodgers.

Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers

Over/Under Betting

The total has gone under in six out of the last eight games of the Giants against a right-handed starter. The under is 7-2 in their last nine games as betting underdogs, and 12-5 in their last 17 road games. However, the over is 22-9-1 in their last 32 games against the National League West.

The under is 9-3-2 in the Dodgers’ last 14 games played at home. Los Angeles has seen the total go under in 9 out of their last 13 home games against a right-handed starter and 10-4-2 in their last 16 games overall against a right-hander. The under is also 5-2-2 in their last nine games when the total is set between 7 to 8.5.

Head to head, however, the total has gone over in six out of the last 10 meetings between these two teams.

The Dodgers own the lowest ERA in baseball at 3.18 while the Giants are right behind at 3.22. However, both teams have been terrific offensively in the last couple of weeks and they combined for nine runs in the opening game of this series.

In that opening game, we saw both teams go deep in their bullpen and that could be a sign that there might be tired arms on both sides of the field. These teams have combined to score an average of 9.2 runs in their last 10 head-to-head meetings. The trends point to under but I’ll go with the over. Red hot offense over good pitching.

Prediction: Over 8.5

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