New York Giants vs New England Patriots 10/10/19 NFL Betting Odds and Prediction

The New England Patriots look to keep their clean slate when they host the New York Giants on Thursday, October 10, 2019 at the Gillette Stadium.

Patriots Remain Unbeaten

The New England Patriots remained unbeaten after the defending Super Bowl champions took care of business against the lowly Washington Redskins on Sunday. The win moved New England to 5-0 on the season, the fifth time in franchise history that they opened the season 5-0 and only the second time they have done so since 2007.

Tom Brady carried the Patriots against the Redskins. The 42-year old quarterback carried New England with another brilliant performance, throwing 348 yards with three touchdowns. With his effort, Brady moved past Brett Favre in the NFL’s career passing list. The Patriots’ QB only trails Peyton Manning and Drew Brees in the record books. Brady also moved closer to Manning’s record of 537 touchdowns after connecting with Julian Edelman, Brandon Bolden and Ryan Izzo to increase his total to 527.

Daniel Jones Era

The Daniel Jones era in New York has started and in his first two NFL starts, the rookie quarterback has stirred some conversations in New York. Jones led the Giants to back to back wins over the Buffalo Bills and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers but on Sunday, he faced his first real test when the Giants took on the Minnesota Vikings and Kirk Cousins.

Jones went 21-38 for 182 yards with one touchdown and one interception. The #6 pick of the 2019 NFL draft was sacked four times and had a tough time against the Minnesota defense. He connected on a 35-yard TD pass to fellow rookie Darius Slayton in the second period but other than that he was under pressure all game long. New York played without their top two inside linebackers as rookie Ryan Connelly tore his ACL last week while Alec Ogletree didn’t play for the second consecutive game with a hamstring injury. Tae Davis, who started the season opener opposite Ogletree, also missed the game with a concussion.

Who Wins?

The Giants are 2-2 SU on the season and New York is 1-1 SU away from home this year. The Patriots are 4-0 SU this season and New England is 2-0 SU in two games played at home this season. Head to head, the Patriots are 5-3 SU in their last 8 meetings although the Giants have won two out of the last three games between these two teams.

The Patriots have dominated their NFC foes as they have gone 55-14 against teams from the National Football Conference since 2002. The Giants head to this game as heavy NFL betting favorites. They are 2-1 SU in their last three games but we saw how they struggled with a depleted defense. Kirk Cousins picked the Giants apart and if he could do that, there is no question that Tom Brady could easily do the same. Aside from offense, the New England defense has been superb to start the season. New England has recorded at least five sacks in each of their last four games and they have not given up a passing touchdown in the first five games of the season, the first team to achieve the feat since 1988. I think the odds are justified. New England is 18-0 SU in their last 18 games played at home. The Giants have little to no chance against the Patriots in New England. Prediction: New England Patriots

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Other Bets To Make

New York is 2-2 ATS in their four games played this season. The Giants are 1-1 ATS on the road this year. New England is also 2-2 ATS in their first four games of the season. The Patriots are 1-1 ATS in their two home games played so far this year. Head to head, the Giants are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games played against the Patriots.

The Giants have outscored the Patriots by an average of 2.33 points per game in their last three meetings but these teams have been pretty even in their last eight, with the Patriots averaging 0.9 points more per game. Put those historical numbers on the side. This Patriots team is clicking on all cylinders right now. With New York’s defense compromised, I think New England can cover this 15-point spread. The Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against the NFC and 6-1 ATS in their last seven October games. Prediction: Patriots -15

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The over and under are at an even 2-2 in New York’s first four games of the season. The total has gone over in the Giants’ two road games played this season. The total has gone under in three out of the first four games played by New England. The Patriots have seen the total go 1-1 in their two home games played this year. Head to head, the under is 5-3 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams, including 2-1 in their last three games played.

These teams have combined to score 42.12 points per game in their last eight meetings and 45.0 points per game in their last three meetings. They have combined to score more than 45 points only once in their last five meetings. We know what New England’s defense has done so far this season. They have allowed only two opponents to score double digits on them and they have yet to allow more than 14 points per game this season. I like the under because New England is going to hold down the Giants’ production here. The under is 5-2 in the last seven games between these two teams. Prediction: Under 45.5

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