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The two-time defending champions Golden State Warriors take their act to the Big Apple as they face the New York Knicks at the fabled Madison Square Garden on Friday 10/26/18.
The Dubs rode the torrid shooting of former two time NBA MVP Stephen Curry to steamroll past the Washington Wizards 144-122 at home on Wednesday. The win was Golden State’s second in a row and their fourth in five games played so far this season. On the other hand, the Knicks are still feeling the sting of a 110-87 drubbing at the hands of the Heat in Miami in their latest contest.
A Shooting Clinic
After a close loss to the Denver Nuggets in their third game of the season, the Warriors have come up with back to back 20 point blowouts over the Phoenix Suns and the Washington Wizards.
In their last game against the Wizards, Steph Curry put on a shooting clinic as he went 15-24 from the field including 11-16 from the three point area and 10-10 from the free throw line. Curry finished the game with 51 points and didn’t even play the fourth quarter of that game because it way already out of Washington’s reach.
With their top two scorers hitting their mark, the Dubs currently rank 5th in the league in scoring at 119.4 points per game. The Warriors are also second in field goal percentage, shooting 51% as a team. Defensively, Golden State allows the 12th most points in the NBA at 109.6 points per game.
Golden State Warriors vs New York Knicks 10/26/18
Moneyline Odds: Warriors -950, Knicks +700
Odds from: Betonline.ag as of 10/25/18
One And Gone
The New York Knicks first five games can be best described as one and gone. The Knicks won their opening game against the Atlanta Hawks but they’ve dropped their last four assignments. New York though lost by two points to Brooklyn on a last second shot and then they dropped a one point contest to the Celtics in their third game of the season. Next, the Knicks yielded 31 points to the Greek Freak and they lost by 11 to the Bucks last Monday. Their last defeat at the hands of the Miami Heat last Wednesday was terrible though.
In the absence of Kristaps Porzingis, Tim Hardaway Jr. has taken the scoring cudgels, averaging 24.4 points per game for New York. However, Hardaway Jr. is shooting at just 41.6% from the floor to start the season. Aside from Hardaway, key players like Trey Burke (38.7%), Mario Hezonja (37.7%), Kevin Knox (35.5%) and Frank Ntilikina (36.1%) are shooting below 40% from the field for the Knicks.
With their shooting woes, the Knicks are only 24th in the league in scoring at 106.4 points per game. To add to their shooting woes, the Knicks are dead last in the league in assists with just 20 dimes per night. On the other end of the floor, the Knicks allow 110.2 points per game, 13th in the league to start the season.
Who Wins?
The Warriors lead the all-time series between these teams at 179-160 and have won the last eight overall meetings between these teams. The Dubs are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games and have taken the last five meetings played in New York. In their most recent game last February 26, 2018, the Warriors prevailed 125-111.
The Knicks are at a huge disadvantage playing without Kristaps Porzingis. The Knicks are shooting terribly from the floor and they’ve lost their last two games by double digits. Their last loss was a blowout. On the other side of the court, the Warriors may be starting to hit their stride after a slow start. The Dubs have won by 20 or more in back to back games. This may be no different.
We’re picking the Golden State Warriors to beat the New York Knicks on 10/26/18. But at -950, I don’t want to bet on them so let’s take a look at the other odds available for this game.
Other Bets To Make
The Knicks are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games played and 8-15 ATS in their last 23 games at home. Against Golden State, New York is 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games at home against the Warriors. New York is also 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with winning records. On the other hand, the Dubs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with losing records.
Golden State Warriors vs New York Knicks 10/26/18
Spread Odds: Warriors -12 (-112), Knicks +12 (-108)
Odds from: Betonline.ag as of 10/25/18
The Champs haven’t played as well as we expected them to play but in their last two games, they have won by 20 or more points. Meanwhile, after a string of close games, the Knicks have lost two in a row by double digits. Plug in the fact that Curry is on fire right now and there’s just no way to consider the Warriors not covering the spread. Give me the Warriors here.
Prediction: Warriors -12
The total has gone under in 14 out of the last 19 games played by the Warriors and also under in five out of their last six games on the road. The under is 4-2 in the Knicks last six games and the total has gone under in 4 out of the last 6 games between the Warriors and the Knicks.
Golden State Warriors vs New York Knicks 10/26/18
Over/Under Odds: Over 228 -105, Under 228 -115
Odds from: Betonline.ag as of 10/25/18
The over is 4-1 in the Knicks’ last five games played at home and the over is also 6-2 in the last 8 games between the Warriors and Knicks in New York. The under is likewise 5-2 in the Warriors’ last seven games against Eastern Conference teams
Many of the trends point to the under but when the games are in New York, the over has ruled. The Dubs have scored at least 120 points in three out of their last four games and Steph Curry may be in a zone right now and there’s nothing New York can do about it.
Prediction: Over
The over 225 is tempting at -105 but while I can assure you that the Dubs are going to do their part, I’m really not 100% sure the Knicks can. Having said that, my personal bet here is the Warriors at -12 which is currently valued at -112.
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