Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings Pick

The Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings play for the second time this season on Sunday 11/25/18 at the U.S. Bank Stadium. The first time these teams met, the game ended in a 29-29 tie. This time around, with the stakes much higher, each will look to earn a victory over the other.

Poor Rushing Attack

Despite having a potent passing attack led by Aaron Rodgers, the Green Bay Packers have only averaged 24 points per game this season. The reason behind that is a poor rushing attack that has only produced and average of 108 yards per game. Just to show how bad the Packers’ rushing game is this season, Rodgers is the third leading rusher on the team.

The 34 year old is having another excellent season playing behind center. Rodgers has completed 61.8 percent of his passes for a total of 3,073 passing yards with 19 touchdowns and only one interception. Rodgers has thrown a total of 12 touchdowns in his last six games to keep the Packers afloat.

What’re the Odds?

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings 11/25/18
Moneyline Odds: Packers +155, Vikings -175
Odds from betonline.ag as of 11/23/18

More Consistency On Offense

The Vikings are coming off a 20-25 loss to the Chicago Bears in their last outing. If there’s anything that can be said about their performance in that game, it’s that they need to play with more consistency on offense. Despite the loss, their second defeat in their last three games, the Vikings remain in second place in the NFC North Division. Overall though, Minnesota has won four out of their last six games to get to this point.

Kirk Cousins has thrown for a total of 2,947 yards with 19 touchdowns, the same number as Rodgers’ season output. But the 30-year old Cousins has thrown more interceptions at 7 this season. Cousins threw for 296 yards with two touchdowns against the Bears the last time out but he also threw two interceptions, one of which was returned for a touchdown by Eddie Jackson.

Who Wins?

Green Bay is 4-8-1 SU in their last 13 games played and are 0-5 SU in their last 5 game on the road. Minnesota is 17-6-1 SU in their last 24 games played and 9-2 SU in their last 11 games at home. Head to head, the Vikings are 4-1-1 SU in their last six games against the Packers.

At 5-4, Minnesota enters this game with the better record. But if you dissect their season and that of the Packers, it does appear that the Vikings record may be deceptive. Minnesota’s best win of the season arguably came against the Eagles who are without doubt underperforming this season. The combined record of the teams which the Vikings have beaten is 15-35 with no team having a winning record right now. On the other hand, the Packers own wins over the 7-3 Chicago Bears and the 5-5 Dolphins. They also lost by only two points to the Rams who are arguably the best team in the NFL this season. That said, I think the Packers are the better team than the Vikings.

As far as quarterbacks are concerned, Aaron Rodgers is head to toe better than Kirk Cousins. Although both gunslingers are tied with 19 touchdowns this season, Rodgers has reached this point with only one interception compared to Cousins’ seven. Statistically, Rodgers has the better numbers in almost every category including quarterback rating and passing yards per game.

Betting Prediction

I know that Green Bay has been shaky this season and Minnesota has been the more consistent team. But when you have a quarterback like Aaron Rodgers, you just can’t say no to the Packers, especially against a team that’s not elite.

We’re picking the Green Bay Packers to beat the Minnesota Vikings on 11/25/18.

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Other Bets To Make

The Packers are 4-8-1 ATS in their last 13 games played and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games on the road. The Vikings are 4-7-2 ATS in their last 13 games played and 2-4-1 ATS in their last 7 games at home.

What’re the Odds?

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings 11/25/18
Spread Odds: Packers +3.5 (-119), Vikings -3.5 (-101)
Odds from betonline.ag as of 11/23/18

Betting Prediction

I know that the Packers are 0-7 SU and 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games and have lost by an average margin of 10.29 points per game. Green Bay is also one of three teams who have not yet won on the road. Cliche as it sounds, a streak is bound to end at some point in time. I think this is a good opportunity for the Packers. I’ll take my plus points and Aaron Rodgers.

Prediction: Packers +3.5

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The total has gone over in 11 out of Green Bay’s last 16 games played and also over in 14 out of their last 17 road games. On the other hand, the under is 4-1 in the last 5 home games for the VIkings and the under is also 6-2 in Minnesota’s last 8 games against Green Bay. Moreover, the total has gone under in four out of the last 5 home games of Minnesota against Green Bay.

What’re the Odds?

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings 11/25/18
Over/Under Odds: Over 47.5 -115, Under 47.5 -105
Odds from betonline.ag as of 11/23/18

Betting Prediction

Both teams have underrated defense that are ranked in the top half of the league in points allowed. The Vikings also have the top rated defense in terms of red zone completion at only 40%. The under has hit in 7 out of the 11 Sunday Night Football games this season with an average combined score of 47.18. The signs point to the under.

Prediction: Under 47.5 -105

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