Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks 04/13/2022 NBA Odds and Prediction

The Charlotte Hornets visit the Atlanta Hawks at the State Farm Arena on Wednesday night in a battle between the 9th and 10 seeds in the East, with the winner advancing to the next play-in game and they lose going fishing.

Charlotte and Atlanta both finished with a 43-39 SU record but by virtue of the tiebreaker, the Hawks get home-court advantage in his game. The Hornets won their last three regular season games and were 6-4 SU in their last 10 games played.

Meanwhile, the Hawks are in the play-in tournament one season after playing in the Eastern Conference Finals. Atlanta finished with a similar 43-39 record as Charlotte but ill play at home in this game by virtue of the tiebreaker. The Hawks were soaring to close the regular season with a 7-3 SU record.

Charlotte Hornets

Charlotte closed out the season with three consecutive victories including a 124-108 win over the Washington Wizards in their season-finale. Terry Rozier led the Hornets with 25 points and 6 assists while LaMelo Ball barely missed a triple double with 24 points, 10 rebounds, and 9 assists for Charlotte.

The Hornets are 4th in the league in scoring at 115.3 points per game this season. They are also the top passing team in the NBA at 28.1 assists per game and they are 12th in rebounding at 44.6 boards grabbed per contest. Charlotte is 23rd in scoring defense at 114.9 points per game allowed.

For the season, the Hornets are shooting 47% from the floor and 36.5% from behind the arc. On defense, they are allowing their opponents to shoot 46.5% from the field and 36% from deep.

What are the Moneyline Odds?

Hornets

+162

Hawks

-182

Odds from BetOnline as of 04/12/2022

Atlanta Hawks

The Hawks won their season finale, defeating the lowly Houston Rockets 130-114. Trae Yong led the Hawks once again with 28 points, 11 assists, and five rebounds while Danilo Gallinari and DeAndre Hunter added 26 and 22 points, respectively. Clint Capela had another double-double with 18 points and 13 rebounds while Kevin Huerter contributed 11 as all five Hawks starters scored in double digits.

Atlanta ranks 6th in the league in scoring at 113.9 points per game this season. They are 20th in rebounding at only 44.0 boards grabbed per contest, and 15th in passing at 24.6 assists per game. The Hawks are 24th in scoring defense at 112.4 points per game allowed this season.

They are shooting the ball at a 47% clip including 37.5% from behind the three-point arc. On defense, the Hawks are allowing their fos to shoot 36.5% from deep and 47% from the floor.

Who Wins?

Charlotte is 11-4 SU in their last 15 games played. The Hornets are 3-2 SU in their last five road games, 16-10 SU in 26 road games against the Eastern Conference, and 3-6 SU in their last nine games against the Southeast Division.

Atlanta is 7-2 SU in their last nine games played. The Hawks are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games played at home, 5-2 SU in their last seven games against the Southeast Division, and 17-9 SU in 26 home games against the Eastern Conference.

The Hawks finished the season ranked 6th in scoring behind Trae Young who averaged 28 points per game this season. Six other Atlanta players also average in double digits, making Atlanta a potent offensive team that can compete and even beat the Hornets in a shootout. The Hawks rank second in the league in three-point shooting percentage while the Hornets have the 8th worst three-point defense among 30 teams.

Atlanta has looked solid at home as of late. Atlanta won 11 out of its last 12 games at the State Farm Arena and lost just thrice in their last 22 games overall at home. Look for the Hawks to hold court and advance to their next play-in tournament game.

Prediction: Atlanta Hawks

Other Bets to Make

The Hornets are 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games played. Charlotte is 5-2 ATS in their last seven games played against the Eastern Conference, 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 road games against an opponent with a home winning percentage better than .600, 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 days when playing on two days rest, 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after a straight up win of more than 10 points, 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games as road underdogs, 20-8 ATS in their last 28 Wednesday games, and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 road games.

The Hawks are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games played, 6-0 ATS in their last six games as betting favorites, 9-0 ATS in their last nine home games against an opponent with a winning road record, 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as home favorites, 4-0 ATS in their last four home games, 6-2 ATS in their last eight games when their opponent scores 100 or more points in their previous game, 7-2 ATS in their last nine games when their opponent allows 100 or more points in their previous game, and 7-2 ATS in their last nine games when scoring 100 or more points in their previous game.

What are the Spread Odds?

Hornets

+4.5 (-110)

Hawks

-4.5 (-110)

Odds from BetOnline as of 04/12/2022

Charlotte was 23-17-1 ATS on the road this season while Atlanta was 23-18 ATS in their 41 home games played this season. The Hornets covered the betting spread in each of their last three games while the Hawks covered each of their last four games played.

Both these teams head to this game playing well against the spread. The difference between winning this game and covering the betting spread could be Atlanta’s three-point shooting.

Make no mistake, the Hornets make one more three-pointer per game than the Hawks this season. The Hawks rank second in the league in three-point shooting percentage while the Hornets have the 8th worst three-point defense among 30 teams. With Trae Young making 3.4 three-pointers per game in April and 3.6 three-pointers per game this month, the Hawks head to this game red hot from deep.

I think Atlanta’s edge in the three-point shooting will be enough to help them cover this modest spread.

Prediction: Hawks -4.5

The total has gone over in four out of the last six games played by the Hornets. The over is 6-1 in Charlotte’s last seven road games, 7-0 in their last seven games when playing on two days’ rest, 5-2 in their last seven road games played on a Wednesday, 7-3 in their last 10 games after a straight up win of more than 10 points, 4-2 in their last six games against the Southeast Division, and 4-0 in their last four road games.

The total has gone under in four out of the last five games played by the Hawks. The under is 12-2 in Atlanta’s last 14 games against an opponent with a winning straight up record, 4-1 in their last five Wednesday games, and 5-2 in their last seven games after a straight up win of more than 10 points. However, the over is 5-1 in their last six games as betting favorites, 7-2 in their last nine home games against an opponent with a winning road record, and 10-3 in their last 13 games as home favorites.

Head to head, the total has gone over in six out of their last eight meetings in Atlanta.

These teams are among the top scoring teams in the league with Charlotte at 4th and Atlanta at 6th. However, if we add up their season scoring averages, the total would be less than 230 points. These teams have also combined to score an average of 228.2 points per game in their last 10 meetings. But if we look at how these teams finished the regular season, this looks to be a high-scoring game.

The Hornets have scored at least 124 points in each of their last three games played and have topped the total of 236.5 four times in their last six games played. Meanwhile, the Hawks have scored at least 120 points per game in six out of their last nine games played. With both teams in the bottom 10 in the scoring defense, they will be able to showcase their offenses in this game, despite it being a playoff game.

Prediction: Over 236.5

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