Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks 03/09/20 NBA Betting Odds and Pick

The Charlotte Hornets visit the Atlanta Hawks at the State Farm Arena on Monday night.

The Hornets are still mathematically alive in the playoff race but at 22-41, they are a far six games behind the 8th seeded Orlando Magic in the Eastern Conference. The Hawks are out of playoff contention and they have dropped three straight games. Atlanta is 13-19 SU at home this season but has won 8 out of their last 11 at the State Farm Arena. This is the second meeting between these two Southeast Division rivals this season and they will play each other three more times in the next six weeks.

Hornets Stop Rockets

The Charlotte Hornets salvaged their four-game homestand with a 108-99 win over the Houston Rockets on Saturday night. Charlotte entered their homestand with a road win over the defending champions Toronto Raptors but they lost three straight games to the Bucks, Spurs, and Nuggets. They started fast against the Rockets and ensured they didn’t go winless in four straight home games.

Terry Rozier scored a team-high 25 points as the Hornets scored the first 20 points of the game and led from there. Devonte Graham added 23 points for Charlotte while Cody Zeller had 13 and Miles Bridges 10 points. Charlotte entered Saturday with seven losing streaks of three or more games this season.

The Hornets are the lowest-scoring team in the league at 102.2 points per game this season. However, they have the 12th best scoring defense this year at 109.3 points per game allowed. Charlotte is 24th in rebounding at 42.8 boards grabbed per contest and 21st in passing at 23.8 assists per game.

Third Straight Defeat

The Atlanta Hawks suffered their third straight defeat when they bowed to the Memphis Grizzlies 101-118 last Saturday night. The Hawks got superstar guard Trae Young back from a one-game absence due to flu-like symptoms but Young wasn’t still 100% as he was held to 4-16 shooting including 1-10 from behind the three-point arc.

Young finished with 16 points, way below his current 29.6 points per game average. With Young struggling, it was John Collins who led the Hawks with 27 points on 9-16 shooting. The Hawks shot a season-low 29.8% from the floor in the first half as the team fell to 4-6 SU in their last 10 games played.

Atlanta ranks 17th overall in scoring at 111.0 points per game this season. They are ranked 23rd in rebounding at 43.0 boards grabbed per contest and are 20th in passing at 23.8 assists per game. The Hawks have the second-worst scoring defense in the league this season at 119.2 points per game allowed.

Who Wins?

Charlotte is 7-13 SU in their last 20 games played. The Hornets are 3-1 SU in their last four games played on the road, and 1-8 SU in their last nine games played against the Southeast Division. Atlanta is 2-5 SU in their last seven games played. The Hawks are 4-2 SU in their last six games played at home, and 5-12 SU in their last 17 games against the Southeast Division. Head to head, the Hornets are 7-2 SU in their last nine games played against the Hawks.

The Hornets are coming off a big win over the Rockets. That win came at home though, and Charlotte is just 12-20 SU on the road this season. Terry Rozier is averaging over 20 points in his last three outings. Rozier scored just 8 points in their first meeting against the Hawks. He will need to score big especially if Trae Young feels better on Monday night.

Atlanta has dropped three in a row and Trae Young is coming off a game where he made just one out of 10 three-pointers. But Young should feel better now after not feeling well in his last outing and missing the game before that. Young scored 30 points when the Hawks beat the Hornets 122-107 last November 8.

The Hawks should be back at full strength on Monday night Cam Reddish suffered cramps and didn’t play the second half of their game against the Grizzlies. Trae Young should also feel better, if not 100% after a couple more days rest. The Hawks have lost just thrice in their last 11 games at the State Farm Arena. I don’t think Charlotte can score enough points to beat the Haws.

Prediction: Atlanta Hawks

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Other Bets to Make

Charlotte is 6-2 ATS in their last eight games played. The Hornets are 3-1 ATS in their last four games played at home, and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games played against the Eastern Conference. Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in their last seven games played. The Hawks are 4-2 ATS in their last six games played at home, and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games played against the Eastern Conference. Head to head, Charlotte is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games played against the Hawks.

Charlotte has the momentum after its win over the Rockets last Saturday and they have played well against the spread in the previous week. The Hawks though, have played well at home in their last 10 home assignments. Trae Young should be back to 100% here and with Atlanta at full strength, I don’t think that Charlotte has enough firepower to match Atlanta, especially on the road. I like the Hawks to cover the spread behind a big shooting game from Young.

Prediction: Hawks -6

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The total has gone under in nine out of the last 11 games played by the Hornets. The under is 5-0 in Charlotte’s last five games played on the road. The total has gone over in 13 out of the last 20 games played by the Hawks. The over is 8-2 in Atlanta’s last 10 home games played. The total has gone over in six out of the last eight games played between these two teams. The over is 4-1 in the last five games between the Hornets and Hawks in Atlanta.

These teams have combined to score an average of 226.67 points per game in their last three meetings, including 229 points in their first meeting of the season last November 8, 2019. Atlanta has allowed at least 118 points in eight out of their last 10 games played. The Hawks’ defensive woes should help the Hornets pick up the slack on offense and help put the total over 225 points.

Prediction: Over 225

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