Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat 11/25/19 NBA Odds and Betting Preview

The Charlotte Hornets travel to Florida for a showdown with the Miami Heat on Monday, November 25, 2019.

The Hornets are currently in 4th place in the Southeast Division and are six games behind the division leaders which happen to be the Heat. Miami is currently at 11-4 SU on the season and they own a five-game lead over the second-placed Orlando Magic in their division. The Hornets are coming off a tough one-point loss to the Chicago Bulls on Saturday night while the Heat head home after suffering their worst loss of the season to the Sixers.

Four-Game Losing Streak

The Charlotte Hornets find themselves next to last in the Southeast Division. Charlotte is 6-11 SU on the season and they are currently six games off the pace. The Hornets head to Miami with a four-game losing streak and they have lost eight out of their last 10 games played including four in a row on the road.

Devonte Graham leads the Hornets with 18.2 points and 7.1 assists per game. Terry Rozier is contributing 17.4 points and 4.4 assists per outing while Cody Zeller leads the team in rebounding at 8.5 boards per game while also scoring 11.3 points per outing. Miles Bridges, P.J. Washington and Malik Monk are also averaging in double digits.

The Hornets are 25th in scoring this season at 106.3 points per game. They are last in rebounding at 41.2 boards grabbed per contest and are 18th in passing at 23.6 assists per game this season. Charlotte is in the bottom 10 in scoring defense at 113.7 points per game allowed.

A Good Start

The Miami Heat are off to a good start with their 11-4 SU record which is currently the best in the NBA’s Southeast Division. Miami is unbeaten at home with a 6-0 SU record and they are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played. However, Miami is coming off a 27-point road loss to the Sixers which snapped a five-game winning streak.

Jimmy Butler leads the Heat with 18.8 points and 6.7 assists per game this season. Rookie Kendrick Nunn has been a surprise with his 16.8 points per game scoring average.
Bam Adebayo is putting up a double-double season with 13.9 points and 10.1 rebounds per game while Goran Dragic is helping out with 16.0 points per game.

The Heat rank 10th in the NBA in scoring at 110.7 points per game scored this season. Miami is 22nd in rebounding at 43.9 boards grabbed per contest and they are also 8th in passing at 25.7 assists per contest. The Heat is allowing the 7th fewest points in the league this season at 104.67 points per game.

Who Wins?

Charlotte is 2-8 SU in their last 10 games played. The Hornets are 1-4 SU in their last five games played on the road. Miami is is 5-1 SU in their last six games played. The Heat are 7-0 SU in their last seven games played at home. Head to head, the Heat are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games played against the Heat. Miami is also 16-4 SU in their last 20 home games played against Charlotte.

The Hornets are struggling to pick up wins right now. They have lost eight out of their last 10 games including the last four. Charlotte has also lost its last four games on the road and are coming off a heartbreaking home loss to the Bulls where Zach LaVine stole the game with a steal and a buzzer-beating three-point shot.

Miami got blown out by the Philadelphia 76ers in Jimmy Butler’s return to Philly. But overall, Miami is having a fine start and are clicking on all cylinders. The Southeast Division leaders are 6-0 SU at home this season and have looked dominant at home, scoring an average of 18.5 more points than their opponents at the American Airlines Arena.

These two teams are trending in opposite directions. Miami is coming off their worst loss of the season and their second-worst offensive performance of the year. I like the Heat to regroup and recover at home where they are unbeaten so far. I’m picking the Miami Heat to beat the Charlotte Hornets on 11/25/19.

Prediction: Miami Heat

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Other Bets to Make

The Hornets are 1-3 ATS in their last four games played. Charlotte is 5-4 ATS in nine road games played this season, 1-5 ATS in their last six games against the Southeast Division, and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games played against the Eastern Conference. The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last five games played. Miami is 5-0-1 ATS in six home games played this season, and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games played against the Eastern Conference. Head to head, the Heat are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games played and they are the NBA betting favorite to win this content.

The Heat have outscored the Hornets by an average of 4.8 points per game in their last 10 meetings and by 4.33 points per game in their previous three encounters. Four out of the Heat’s last five home wins have been by double digits. Coming off a blowout loss to the Sixers, I expect Miami to come out strong and get their bearings back with a big win at home.

Prediction: Heat -10.5

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The total has gone over in three out of the last four games played by the Hornets. Charlotte has seen the total go over in five out of nine road games played this season. The under is 6-2 in six out of the Hornets’ last eight Monday games. The total has gone under in 8 out of the Heat’s last 12 games played. The under is 5-1 in Miami’s last six games against the Southeast Division. Head to head, the total has gone under in 12 out of the last 17 games played by these two teams.

These teams have combined to score an average of 203.0 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 193.67 points per game in their most recent three head to head matchups. Miami has the 7th best scoring defense in the league this season and the Heat has allowed 108 or fewer points in seven out of their last eight games played. The Hornets are sixth from the bottom in scoring points this season and have scored 103 or fewer points in three out of their last five games played. The Heat have the defense that can slow down this game and shut down the Hornets.

Prediction: Under 216

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