Charlotte Hornets vs New York Knicks 10/26/2022 NBA Odds and Prediction

The Charlotte Hornets hit the road to take on the New York Knicks at the fabled Madison Square Garden on Wednesday night.

Both Charlotte and New York are 2-1 SU on the season. The Hornets blew out the Atlanta Hawks in their previous game, doing so without LaMelo Ball and Terry Rozier. Meanwhile, the Knicks lost to the Grizzlies in their first game of the year. They have since bounced back with wins against the Detroit Pistons and Orlando Magic.

Charlotte has beaten New York seven times in their last 10 meetings including a 125-114 road win in their most recent game last March 30, 2022.

Charlotte Hornets

The Hornets were 43-39 SU overall and 27-25 SU against the Eastern Conference last season. Charlotte finished 10th overall in the Eastern Conference and lost to the Atlanta Hawks in the play-in tournament.

Charlotte opened the season with a blowout of the San Antonio Spurs. After losing to the Pelicans in their second game of the year, the Hornets blew out the Atlanta Hawks 126-109 in their most recent game with Kelly Oubre Jr. leading the way with 24 points.

Oubre needs to step up again as the Hornets will be without their two main scorers in LaMelo Ball and Terry Rozier. Nick Richards, PJ Washington, and Dennis Smith Jr. have also played well this season and are averaging double-digit scoring.

New York Knicks

The Knicks were 37-45 SU overall last season and 22-30 against the Eastern Conference. New York missed the playoffs last year and they have made only one postseason appearance in the last 9 campaigns.

New York fought well before losing to Ja Morant and the Grizzlies 115-112 in their opening game. They have since picked up wins over the Detroit Pistons and Orlando Magic. In those two wins, the Knick defense has allowed only 104 points per game.

Julius Randle led the Knicks the last time out with 25 points and 12 rebounds while Jalen Brunson added 21 points and 6 assists. R.J. Barrett added 20 points while Mitchell Robinson had 14 points and six blocked shots.

Hornets vs Knicks SU Betting

The Hornets are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played against the Knicks. Charlotte is however just 4-6 SU in their last 10 games played in New York.

Charlotte Hornets SU trends:

• The Hornets are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games played.
• The Hornets are 2-0 SU in their 2 road games played this season.
• The Hornets are 4-1 SU in their last 4 games played against the Eastern Conference.
• The Hornets are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against the Atlantic Division.

New York Knicks SU trends:

• The Knicks are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games played.
• The Knicks are 5-1 SU in their last 6 October games.
• The Knicks are 3-6 SU in their last 9 Wednesday games.
• The Knicks are 2-0 SU in their two home games played this season.

The Hornets are coming off an impressive win over the Atlanta Hawks, in a game where they were 10-point underdogs. Charlotte pulled off the win even while playing without LaMelo Ball and Terry Rozier. Kelly Oubre Jr. had a big night with 24 points while Nick Richards had 20 points and Dennis Smith J. added 18 points.

Richards has averaged 19.5 points per game in the Hornets’ two wins this season so he’s been pretty much the difference-maker for his team so far this season. Smith meanwhile, has produced three double-digit scoring games this year but is averaging 13.3 points per game this season.

Meanwhile, Julius Randle has been the main protagonist for the Knicks, leading the team in scoring and rebounding at 21.3 points per game and 9.7 rebounds per game this season. Jalen Brunson has been pretty efficient at 17.7 points, 3.7 rebounds, and 7.0 assists per game while also committing just 1 turnover per contest.

The Knicks have conceded just 106.33 points per game in their first three games of the 2022-23 season and Mitchell Robinson has been excellent on defense at 2.3 blocks per contest. On the other hand, five Knicks players are averaging at least 1.0 steals per game this season.

I think this is a pretty good matchup and while the Hornets are coming off a big win over the Atlanta Hawks, they did so with a couple of role players playing big games. I don’t expect a second straight 20-point game for Nick Richards. The Knicks have the more proven scorers in Randle and Brunson. New York is also playing at home, where they are 2-0 so far. I’m going with the home team here.

Prediction: New York Knicks

Hornets vs Knicks ATS Betting

The Hornets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Knicks. Charlotte is however 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games played at Madison Square Garden.

Charlotte Hornets ATS trends:

• The Hornets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• The Hornets are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games.
• The Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The Hornets are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 road games versus a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
• The Hornets are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 2 days’ rest.
• The Hornets are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 Wednesday games.
• The Hornets are 9-20-2 ATS in their last 31 games against a team with a winning % above .600.

New York Knicks ATS trends:

• The Knicks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• The Knicks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games.
• The Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win.
• The Knicks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The Knicks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a winning % above .600.
• The Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight-up win of more than 10 points.
• The Knicks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against a team with a winning straight-up record.
• The Knicks are 16-37-1 ATS in their last 54 home game versus a team with a winning road record.
• The Knicks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

Both these teams currently sport a 2-1 SU record. However, the Hornets head to this game coming off a big win over the Atlanta Hawks. Meanwhile, the Knicks’ victories have been against the Detroit Pistons and Orlando Magic. When New York played Memphis, they gave a good fight but lost to the better team.

When you look at these two teams, you can make an argument for both when it comes to who is better. What is clear however is that Charlotte doesn’t have its two best players in LaMelo Ball and Terry Rozier. Sure, Kelly Oubre stepped up big time the last time out against the Hawks. But it was Nick Richards and Dennis Smith Jr. whose scoring made the difference.

No disrespect to both but I don’t expect Smith Jr. and Richards to carry over their strong play in this next game. Oubre should be a problem for the Knicks but without Rozier and Ball, it’s going to be hard to win on the road this time around.

The Knicks rely heavily on Randle and Brunson but looking at the Charlotte lineup, it will be difficult for the Hornets to stop both Randle and Brunson without a defensive stopper. Oubre can play good defense but Charlotte can’t sacrifice his scoring ability to have him play defense.

This should be a competitive game but in the end, I think that the Knicks, with their two best players playing on Wednesday will be able to pull this one off. The Hornets are also in the middle of a three-game road trip and could be looking tired right now. I’m picking the home team to win this game.

Prediction: New York Knicks

Hornets vs Knicks Over/Under 

The total has gone under in six out of the last 10 games played between these two teams. The over is 20-7-1 ATS in the last 28 games played in New York.

Charlotte Hornets over/under trends:

• The over is 4-1 in the Hornets’ last 5 overall.
• The over is 6-0 in the Hornets’ last 6 road games.
• The over is 7-0 in the Hornets’ last 7 games playing on 2 days’ rest.
• The over is 4-0 in the Hornets’ last 4 road games versus a team with a winning home record.
• The over is 5-1 in the Hornets’ last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The over is 4-1 in the Hornets’ last 5 games following an ATS win.
• The over is 4-1 in the Hornets’ last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• The over is 6-2 in the Hornets’ last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The over is 6-2 in the Hornets’ last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The over is 6-2 in the Hornets’ last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The over is 8-3 in the Hornets’ last 11 games following a straight-up win of more than 10 points.
• The under is 4-1 in the Hornets’ last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight-up record.

New York Knicks over/under trends:

• The under is 6-2 in the Knicks’ last 8 games played overall.
• The under is 4-1 in the Knicks’ last 5 games played at home.
• The under is 5-2 in the Knicks’ last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The under is 5-2 in the Knicks’ last 7 games following a straight-up win.
• The over is 8-2 in the Knicks’ last 10 Wednesday games.
• The over is 4-1 in the Knicks’ last 5 home games versus a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
• The over is 12-4 in the Knicks’ last 16 games against a team with a winning % above .600.

The Knicks are playing good defense this season as they have allowed an average of 106.33 points per game after three games played. However, two of those games were against the Detroit Pistons and Orland Magic who are obviously weaker competition.

Meanwhile, the Hornets are an undersized team with good shooting. They like to play small ball and they like to play a fast-tempo game. Charlotte has scored at least 112 points in each of their three games played They are putting up 122.3 points per game this season and have scored over 124 points twice. Give me these teams to hit the over.

Prediction: Over 225

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