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It’s a possible preview of the NBA Finals as the West’s 3rd ranked Houston Rockets invade the Fiserv Forum for a showdown with the East leaders Milwaukee Bucks.
James Harden scored 28 points in 29 minutes as the Rockets made easy work of the New Orleans Pelicans 113-90 on Sunday. The Rockets have now won 14 out of their last 16 games, including their last two. Houston is now one game ahead of the Portland Trail Blazers for the 3rd seed in the West and trail the Denver Nuggets by 3.5 games for the 2nd seed.
Rockets
+155
Bucks
-175
Odds from Betonline.ag as of 3/26/19
The Milwaukee Bucks are close to clinching home court advantage throughout the entire playoffs. The Bucks have the best record in the league at 55-19 and lead the Toronto Raptors by four games in the East and the Golden State Warriors by 4.5 games for the league’s best record.
Check out the #MakeItHappen #PlaysOfTheWeek presented by @ConnsInc! 🔥 pic.twitter.com/XOQGlr1rqQ
— Houston Rockets (@HoustonRockets) March 25, 2019
Who Wins?
Houston is 8-2 SU in their last 10 games played. The Rockets are 3-1 SU in their last four games. Milwaukee is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played. The Bucks are 5-1 SU in their last six games played at home. Head to head, the Rockets are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games against the Bucks.
The Bucks won their first meeting of the season 116-109 behind 24 points and 21 rebounds from Giannis Antetokounmpo and despite James Harden dropping 42 points on them. But the Rockets have become more balanced and complete since that meeting and enter this game as the healthier team.
Milwaukee is missing Pau Gasol, Nikola Mirotic and Malcolm Brogdon here while the Rockets have never been healthier this season. The Bucks are the #1 team right now but Houston is making its move. The Bucks are 30-6 SU at home while the Rockets are just 20-17 SU on the road. I think health is going to be a big factor in what looks like an evenly matched game. The healthier Rockets should take this. I’m picking the Houston Rockets to beat the Milwaukee Bucks on 3/26/19.
Other Bets
The Rockets are 5-4-1 ATS in their last 10 games played. Houston is 2-2 ATS in their last four games played on the road. The Bucks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games and Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in their last six games at home. Head to head, the Bucks are 3-1 in their last four games against the Rockets.
Rockets
+4 (-110)
Bucks
-4 (-110)
Odds from Betonline.ag as of 3/26/19
Houston is 3-0-1 ATS when playing on one day rest and Milwaukee is 6-0 ATS in their last six Tuesday games. Brogdon is a big part of what the Bucks do as he averaging 15.6 points and 3.2 assists per game. I think those numbers matter against a team playing as well as the Rockets are right now. I’ll take my plus points here. Prediction: Rockets +4
The total has gone under is eight out of the last 10 games played by the Rockets. The under is 3-1 in the Rockets’ last four road games. The under is 39-35 in the Bucks’ 74 games played this season. Head to head, the under is 2-1 in the last three meetings between the Rockets and the Bucks.
Rockets
O 227 -110
Bucks
U 227 -110
Odds from Betonline.ag as of 3/26/19
The total has gone under in six out of the last seven games of Houston after an ATS win. The Rockets have seen the total go under in 10 out of their last 11 games when playing on one day rest. Likewise, the under is 4-0 in the Bucks’ last four home games against an opponent with a winning record. Milwaukee has a Top 10 defense while Houston’s is just outside the Top 10 at #11. Houston has allowed just 101 points per game in their last five games played. Both teams will try to win this game by putting the clamp on the other. Prediction: Under 227
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