The Indiana Pacers visit the Atlanta Hawks at the State Farm Arena on Wednesday night for their final regular season game of the season.
Should Be Contented
The Pacers have seen the Boston Celtics run away with the 3rd seed in the East in the last week or so. Despite losing their lofty spot, the Pacers should be contented with having home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs because with the injuries they’ve suffered this season, no one expected them to be here anyway.
With Victor Oladipo sidelined, the Pacers have turned to Bojan Bogdanovic to lead them in scoring. Bogdanovic has responded with 18.0 points per game while also averaging 4.1 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game. Domantas Sabonis has been huge for Indiana with 14.1 points and 9.3 rebounds per game while Darren Collison leads the Pacers with 6.1 assists per game while also scoring 11.3 points per game. Myles Turner and Thaddeus Young have combined to average 25.9 points and 13.7 rebounds per game this season.
Indiana ranks 22nd in team scoring at 107.7 points per game and they are also 8th in the league in passing with their 26.0 assists per game average. The Pacers are only 24th in the entire league in rebounding with an average of 43.0 boards hauled per contest but they are the #1 defensive team in the league, allowing just 104.3 opponent points per game.
Pacers
-118
Hawks
+108
Odds from 5dimes.eu as of 4/10/19
Strong Finish By Trae Young
Despite being already out of playoff contention a long time ago, the Atlanta Hawks have kept on playing and have been the beneficiaries of a strong finish by rookie point guard Trae Young who’s averaged 24 points, 10.3 assists, 4.7 rebounds and 1.1 steals in his last 10 games played. Young however, was rested during Sunday’s loss to the Milwaukee Bucks.
John Collins leads the Hawks with 19.5 points and 9.5 rebounds per game. As we said, Trae Young is closing the season strong and he is averaging 19.1 points, 8.0 assists and 3.7 rebounds per game. Dewayne Dedmon is putting up 10.8 points, 7.5 rebounds and 1.1 blocks per game while Taurean Prince and Kent Bazemore have combined to score a total of 25.0 points per game for the Hawks.
Atlanta is ranked #12 in team scoring with an average of 113.1 points per game and they are also 10th in the league in passing with 25.8 assists per game. The Hawks are ranked 12th off the glass with 45.9 rebounds grabbed per contest. They are ranked 30th and allow the most opponent points per game this season at 119.2 points per game.
Who Wins?
Indiana is 3-7 SU in their last 10 games played. The Pacers are 1-4 SU in their last five games on the road. Atlanta is 5-5 SU in their last 10 games played. The Hawks are 4-2 SU in their last six games played at home. Head to head, the Pacers are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games against the Hawks.
The Hawks are playing much better basketball than the Pacers right now as their last five wins have come against the Sixers (twice), Jazz, Bucks and Pelicans. However, Atlanta rested Trae Young in their Sunday loss to the Bucks and I won’t be surprised if Young doesn’t get enough action, if any at all, in this game. Likewise, John Collins is day to day for Atlanta while for the Pacers, they’ve listed Tyreke Evans and Myles Turner as day to day and may take this game easily to avoid adding injuries to their already depleted team.
Indiana is 18-22 SU on the road while Atlanta hasn’t been solid at home at 17-23 SU there on the season. The Hawks though have beaten the Bucks and Sixers in their previous two home games but they did so with Trae Young weaving his magic. If Young plays, no doubt the Hawks should take their final game of the season. If he doesn’t play, it will be a close game but if that’s the case, I’ll roll with the home team here. I’m picking the Atlanta Hawks to beat the Indiana Pacers on 4/10/19.
Other Bets To Make
The Pacers are 4-6 SU in their last 10 games played. Indiana is 2-3 ATS in their last five games played on the road. The Hawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played. Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in their last six games played at home. Head to head, the Pacers are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 meetings versus the Hawks but Atlanta is 2-1 ATS in their most recent three games against Indiana.
Pacers
-1.5 (-110)
Hawks
+1.5 (-110)
Odds from betonline.ag as of 4/10/19
Indiana is 26-8 ATS in their last 34 games after a double digit loss at home, 6-16 ATS in their last 22 road games and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against an opponent with a losing record. On the other hand, Atlanta is 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a loss, 4-1 ATS in their last five games at home and 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. The Pacers have locked up 5th spot and wouldn’t want to risk getting players unnecessarily hurt here. Indiana is also 6-16 ATS in their last 22 road games and I don’t expect them to go all out here. Prediction: Hawks +1.5
The total has gone over in six out of the last 10 games played by the Pacers. The under is 3-2 in Indiana’s last five road games. The over is also 6-4 in the Hawks’ last 10 games played. Atlanta has seen the total go over in four out of their last six home games played. Head to head, the over is 2-1 in the last three encounters between these two teams.
Pacers
O 227 -110
Hawks
U 227 -110
Odds from betonline.ag as of 4/10/19
Indiana is the #1 defensive team in the league when it comes to scoring defense. But since they have already achieved what they have to for the regular season, I don’t think they will risk getting hurt here. The Hawks meanwhile allow the most points in the league this season and have show little to no defense throughout the year. These teams will be like going through the motions. Prediction: Over 227