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The Indiana Pacers head to Beantown in a crucial game against the Boston Celtics on Friday at the TD Garden.
The wheels are falling off the Pacers after they lost All-Star guard Victor Oladipo to a season ending knee injury. Without their leader and leading scorer, the Pacers have fallen from third in the East to possibly fifth and without home court advantage in round one of the playoffs. 45-40 Indiana is just one game ahead of 44-31 Boston with still enough games for the C’s to catch up.
Pacers
+220
Celtics
-270
Odds from Bovada as of 3/29/19
With just seven regular season games left in their schedule, the Boston Celtics are still looking for the form that made them the preseason favorites to win the Eastern Conference this season. The Celtics were one win away from the NBA Finals last season even while playing without Kyrie Irving and Gordon Hayward. But with the two stars healthy this season, the Celtics have regressed and are now fighting just to have home court edge in the first round of the playoffs.
Who Wins?
Indiana is 3-7 SU in their last 10 games played. The Pacers are 0-7 SU in their last seven games on the road. Boston is 5-5 SU in their last 10 games played. The Celtics are 2-2 SU in their last four games played at the TD Garden. Head to head, the Celtics are 6-4 SU in their last 10 games against the Pacers. The Celtics are also 17-7 SU against the Pacers in their last 24 games played in Boston.
Boston just snapped out of a four-game slide and are 26-12 SU at home this season. Indiana is 17-21 SU on the road this season and have lost seven straight away from home. When you have inconsistent teams like this, it’s better to back the home team. I’m picking the Boston Celtics to beat the Indiana Pacers on 3/29/19.
Other Bets To Make
The Pacers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played. Indiana is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games played on the road. The Celtics are 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games played. Boston is 0-4 ATS in their last four games played at home. Head to head, the Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last five encounters against the Celtics but Boston is 3-2 ATS in their last five games against Indiana played at the TD Garden.
Pacers
+7.5 (-110)
Celtics
-7.5 (-110)
Odds from Betonline.ag as of 3/29/19
The Pacers are 0-4 in their last four games against the Atlantic Division, 0-4 ATS in their last four road games against an opponent with a home winning percentage higher than .600. On the other hand, the Celtics are 7-2 ATS in their last nine Friday games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against the Central Division. In a game between struggling teams, you have to go with the home team. Prediction: Celtics -7.5
The total has gone under in eight out of the last 10 games played by the Pacers. Indiana has seen the total hit the under in six out of their last seven road games. The total has gone over in seven out of the last 10 games played by the Celtics. The over is 16-7 in Boston’s last 23 home games against their Eastern Conference rivals and 22-16 in their 38 overall home games played this season.
Pacers
O 211 -110
Celtics
U 211 -110
Odds from Betonline.ag as of 3/29/19
Indiana has seen the total go under in their last four games against the Atlantic Division. The under is 7-1 in the Pacers’ last eight road games against an opponent with a winning home record, 7-1 in their last eight road games and 9-2 in their last 11 overall. The total has gone under in 13 out of the last 18 games of Boston against an opponent with a winning SU record. The under is also 5-2 in the last seven head to head games between these two teams. With what’s at stake in this game, I expect a low-scoring game with teams playing playoff-type defense. Prediction: Under 211
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