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The Indianapolis Colts visit the Houston Texans in a divisional battle at the NRG Stadium on Sunday 12/9/18.
The Colts saw their five game win streak end at the hands of the Jacksonville Jaguars while the Texans cruised to their 9th straight win after defeating the Cleveland Browns Houston beat Indianapolis 37-34 in overtime during their first meeting in week 4.
Shut Out
The Indianapolis Colts are eager to get back in action and erase the stigma of their 0-6 shutout loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars in their last outing. Andrew Luck completed just 33 of 52 passes and was intercepted once. The loss snapped the Colt’s five game winning streak.
The Colts defense has been playing well as of late. They held the Jaguars to just a total of 211 yards last week. Their rush defense is allowing 104 yards on the season. The Indianapolis offense is offense ranks 8th in the NFL with 27.1 points per game scored while their defense is 15th in points allowed at 23.2 points per game.
Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans 12/9/18
Moneyline Odds: Colts +195, Texans -225
Odds from betonline.ag as of 12/6/18
Red Hot
The Houston Texans are red hot right now. After beating the Browns the last time out, Houston has now won nine games in a row after a dismal 0-3 start. The Texans are on top of the AFC South Division right now while the Colts are three games behind them at second place.
The Texans have run the ball well in their last two games and have scored a total of 63 points over that period. The Texans’ rush defense ranks 5th in the entire NFL while their scoring defense of 19.6 points per game allowed is third overall. On offense, Houston ranks 12th in the league with their 25.2 points per game scoring average.
Who Wins?
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in their last six games played and are 1-4 SU in their last five games on the road. Houston is 5-0 SU in their last five games played at home and are also 5-0 SU in their last five games overall. Head to head, the Texans are 4-2 SU in their last six games against the Colts but are just 1-4 SU in their last five games played at home against Indianapolis.
The Texans are clicking on all cylinders right now. Watson has been intercepted only twice in his last six games played. Their lead running back is healthy plus they have an elite receiver. Defensively, their secondary has made more plays as of late as they are averaging 3.7 sacks per game in their last three games played.
We’re picking the Houston Texans to beat the Indianapolis Colts on 12/9/18.
Other Bets To Make
The Colts are 3-5-1 ATS in their last 9 games played and 3-3 ATS in six road games played this season. The Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last six games played and 3-3 ATS in six home games played this season. Head to head, the Texans are 3-2-1 ATS in their last six meetings against the Colts and are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five homes games against Indianapolis.
Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans 12/9/18
Spread Odds: Colts +4.5 (-106), Texans -4.5 (-114)
Odds from betonline.ag as of 12/6/18
The Texans are just 6-6 ATS on the season and are 3-9 ATS in their last dozen afternoon games but they’ve covered five out of their last six games. The Colts are 1-2-1 ATS in their last four games played. The Texans are 9-0 SU in their last 9 games played with an average winning margin of 9.11 points.I think this will be a hard fought game but the Texans should be able to do enough to win and cover the spread.
Prediction: Texans -4.5
The total has gone under in 14 out of the last 20 games played by the Colts and the under is also 7-3 in their last ten games on the road.The under is also 7-5 in the Texans’ twelve games played this season and the total has gone under in 11 out of the last 16 games between the Colts and Texans. On the other hand, the total has gone over in four out of the last five games between these teams when playing in Houston.
Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans 12/9/18
Over/Under Odds: Over 49.5 -116, Under 49.5 -104
Odds from betonline.ag as of 12/6/18
Forget last week’s shutout loss. The Colts averaged 34.6 points per game during their five game winning streak prior to losing to the Jaguars. On the other hand, DeShaun Watson is completing 73% of his passes in the last three weeks. A lot of the trends point to the under but when these two teams play in Houston, the over has hit 80% in the last five meetings.
Prediction: Over 49.5
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