Inter Milan vs Fiorentina Serie A Betting Odds and Prediction

Inter Welcomes Fiorentina to the Giuseppe Meazza on July 22, 2020.

The hosts enter this midweek contest knowing that they need to pick up all three points here if they are still to catch leaders Juventus in the team standings. While catching up with the leaders is a tall order, Inter is in play for the Europa League, and given their roster, they have a real chance of winning that competition. Meanwhile, Fiorentina heads to San Siro on the cusp of a five-game undefeated streak. Fiorentina has three wins and two draws in their last assignment. They are middling in the table but are safe from relegation.

Inter Milan

Inter Milan is currently holding on to second place in the Italian top-flight table. They have a record of 21-9-4 with a total of 72 points. They are eight points behind leaders Juventus after 34 games played this season. While Inter is favored to finish in second place, Antonio Conte won’t be contented that his squad hasn’t played well since the resumption of action. Inter has dropped nine points to clubs which aren’t in the Top 7 in the table and that has cost them in their title chase.

In their last assignment, Inter Milan figured in a 2-2 draw against Roma on the road. Inter controlled 57% of ball possession, had three shots on goal and five corner kicks awarded. They also made 86% of the correct passes but despite a solid all-around effort, they could only muster one point from that contest.

Romelu Lukaku leads the team with a total of 21 goals scored this term. Lautaro Martinez has found the back of the net 13 times while Antonio Candreva has netted five times for Inter Milan. Alexis Sanchez leads the team with a total of 8 assists while also scoring three goals while Candreva also has seven assists. Marcelo Brozovic has five assists and three scores this season.

Inter is the second highest-scoring team in the league with a total of 74 goals scored this season. They are 3rd overall in goals conceded with a total of 36 allowed. Inter Milan is also ranked 2nd in passing with a total of 50 assists on the year. They also have the second-best goal difference in Italy at +38.

Fiorentina

Fiorentina has been struggling this season but in their last five games, they have played much better by picking up three wins and two draws during that period. With this run of good form, they have climbed to 12th place in the team standings with a total of 42 points from a record of 10-12-12. Fiorentina has booked its spot in the Serie A next season.

In their last contest, Fiorentina hosted Torino and won the match 2-0. They controlled 46% of ball possession, had four shots on goal, and four corner kicks. They had two big chances created, made 86% of the correct passes, and scored in both halves. Fiorentina has a solid team and this win showed what they could do on a good night.

Federico Chiesa leads the team with a total of seven goals scored this season. Defender Erick Pulgar and forward Dusan Vlahovic each have found the back of the net six times this year. Chiesa also leads the team with five assists while Pulgar has four assists as well. Defender Dalbert has also contributed four assists for Fiorentina.

Fiorentina is the 7th best defensive team in Italy with a total of 45 goals scored. They are ranked 13th in goal scoring with a total of 43 on the season. Fiorentina is also 13th overall in passing with a total of 24 assists this term. They are 11th in the Serie A with a goal difference of -2 this term.

Who Wins?

As it stands, the difference between Inter Milan and the Serie A title is how they played since the restart of the season. Inter has struggled to find consistency and that has caused them to drop nine points which they should’ve earned. With teams like Napoli and Atalanta still in their remaining schedule, Conti is aware that his boys cannot afford any more slip-ups if they want to finish in second place.

Fiorentina heads to this contest in fine form and this isn’t the time for Viola to be complacent. They are just 12th in the team standings but Fiorentina has picked up 11 out of a possible 15 points in their last five assignments. However, those matches were against teams ranked 9th or lower this season. Patrick Cutrone, who is on loan from Wolverhampton, has netted in his last three assignments.

Romelu Lukaku is expected to return to the starting lineup after playing the final quarter of their meeting with Roma. The Belgian may take the place of Lautaro Martinez while Christian Eriksen could replace Nicola Barella in this match. If Conte wants fresh legs on the pitch, Victor Moses could be an option in the wing-back position.

For Fiorentina, Cutrone could be given a chance to play in the starting XI as a replacement from Christian Kouame. Fiorentina’s system matches well with Conte’s style of play and that means that we won’t be seeing many changes for them here.

Inter has been inconsistent while Fiorentina is on a good run. The latter should have plenty of confidence heading to this matchup. I think we will have a close and hard-fought game but in the end, I think that the better team is going to score a late goal to take all three points and keep themselves alive in the title hunt.

Prediction: Inter Milan

Alternate Bet

Both teams have their defensive struggles as of late. These teams have combined to score a total of 35 goals in their last 10 head to head meetings and a total of 11 in their last three encounters. The over is 9-5-4 in Inter’s home matches played this season and the over is also 9-5-1 in Fiorentina’s away matches. I like both teams to score goals and hit the over in this contest.

Prediction: Both teams to score (YES) has a better value at (+143) but you can also go with over 2.5 goals at (-188). Odds from Bet365 as of 07/21/2020

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