MENU
The 16th ranked Iowa State Cyclones and the 15th ranked Texas Longhorns square off on Saturday 11/17/18 in Austin in a game where the winner keeps its hopes for a spot at the Big 12 championship game.
The Cyclones have won five games in a row to remain in the hunt for the Big 12 title while the Longhorns snapped a recent two game skid with a dramatic last minute touchdown against Texas Tech last week.
Turning It Around
Iowa State was off to a slow start this season with just two wins in its first five games. But the Cyclones have turned it around with five straight wins. Defense has been the key as Iowa State owns the 22nd best scoring defense in the nation at 20.7 points per game allowed. The Cyclones have allowed just 14 points or fewer in three out of their last four games.
Iowa State vs Texas 11/17/18
Moneyline Odds: Iowa State +133, Texas -153
Odds from sportsbetting.ag as of 11/15/18
Winning Down The Wire Games
The Texas Longhorns have returned to college football relevancy by branding themselves as one of the nation’s up and coming programs. The Longhorns have made a mark this season in winning down the wire games. Eight of Texas’ ten games this season has been decided by seven points or fewer. In their last game, Texas beat Texas Tech with a dramatic score in the final minute of the game.
Who Wins?
Iowa State is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games played and 8-4 SU in their last 12 games played on the road. Texas is 7-2 SU in their last 9 games played and 5-1 SU in their last 6 games played at home. Head to head, the Longhorns are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against the Cyclones and also 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against Iowa State.
Although the Cyclones will be without Montgomery in the first half of this contest, the Longhorns have had their defensive issues lately. Texas has given up at least 500 yards of offense in four out of their last 5 games played. No question, Texas is a tough place to cover if you’re the road team, let alone win. But the Cyclones have played really well in their five game winning streak that they really have a shot at this even without their star running back. I like to back the home team in a 50-50 game but with the way that Iowa State has been playing, you can’t say no to them.
We’re picking the Iowa State Cyclones to beat the Texas Longhorns on 11/17/18.
Other Bets To Make
Iowa State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played and 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games. Texas is 2-3-1 ATS in their last 6 games played and 2-4 ATS in their last 6 home games against the Cyclones.
Iowa State vs Texas 11/17/18
Spread Odds: Iowa State +3 (-115), Texas -3 (-105)
Odds from sportsbetting.ag as of 11/15/18
Each of Texas’ last six games has been decided by a touchdown or less and their three losses this season have come by a combined total of nine points. On the other hand, Iowa State has covered the spread in two of its three defeats while staying within 10 points in all three games so they haven’t been blown out either. With the Cyclones going 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and Texas going 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 November games, I’m inclined into taking the plus points, no matter how much or less, in a game between two teams who have the tendency to play in close games this season. In a 50-50 game, I will take the plus points with me.
Prediction: Iowa State +3
The total has gone under in 13 out of the last 17 games of Iowa State and the total has gone under in 8 out of the Cyclones’ last nine games on the road. The under is 4-2 in the last 6 games between Iowa State and Texas and the under is also 4-2 in the last six games between Cyclones and Longhorns when played in Texas.
The total has gone under 13 out of Iowa’s last 17 games with an average combined score of 45.88 points and the under is 10-1 in their last 11 games after a win in their previous games. For Texas, the under is 21-5 in their last 26 games after an ATS win, the under is 29-11 in their last 40 games against teams with winning records and the under is 40-17 in their last 57 games against Big 12 teams.
Iowa State vs Texas 11/17/18
Over/Under Odds: Over 48 +110, Under 48 -130
Odds from sportsbetting.ag as of 11/15/18
The trends for both teams are unanimous. Although Texas has allowed an average of 38 points in their last 3 games, the Cyclones rank only 127th in the nation in scoring. Without Montgomery in the first half, the Texas defense is going to limit further Iowa State’s offense and they alone would not be able to cover the spread.
Prediction: Under 48
Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks 04/19/2023 NBA Odds and Prediction
New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers 04/17/2023 MLB Preview and Prediction
Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees 04/14/2023 MLB Preview and Prediction
OKC Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans 04/12/2023 NBA Play-in Tournament Odds and Prediction
