Utah Jazz vs Phoenix Suns 04/07/2021 NBA Odds, Preview, and Prediction

The Utah Jazz travel to the desert to take on the Phoenix Suns at the PHX Arena on Wednesday night.

Utah saw its nine-game winning streak end at the hands of the Dallas Mavericks on Monday night behind 31 points from Luka Doncic. The Jazz are still on top of the league with a 38-12 record. Meanwhile, the Suns have won six straight games and have lost just once in their last 10 games. This is the second meeting between these teams this season with the Suns beating the Jazz 106-95 in Salt Lake City last December 31, 2020.

Utah Jazz

The Utah Jazz are the owners of the best record in the NBA and they 2.5 games ahead of their closest pursuers, who happen to be the Phoenix Suns. The Jazz head to this game after suffering a loss to the Dallas Mavericks which snapped their nine-game winning streak. Utah is the league’s best shooting three-point team but shot just 12-44 from deep while allowing the Mavs to hit 23 out of 49 three-pointers.

Mike Conley led the Jazz with 28 points on 6-10 three-point shooting in a losing effort. Donovan Mitchell shot just 6-23 and finished with 16 points. Rudy Gobert had another double-double with 14 points and 15 rebounds while Bojan Bogdanovic added 16 points. Jordan Clarkson is the frontrunner for 6th Man of the Year and he contributed 16 points off the bench.

Utah is the third highest-scoring team in the NBA at 116.9 points per game and they have the league’s 5th scoring defense at 108.0 points per game allowed this season. The Jazz are the top rebounding team in the NBA at 48.2 board grabbed per contest and are 21st in passing at 23.7 assists per game.

Phoenix Suns

The Phoenix Suns have been one of the big surprises of the season. After the completion of Tuesday’s games, the Suns have the second-best record in the league behind the Utah Jazz. Like the Jazz, the Suns head to this contest with a 9-1 record in their last 10 games played but unlike Utah which lost its last game, the Suns head home with a six-game winning streak.

In their last game, the Suns were able to survive the Houston Rockets 133-130 behind 36 points from Devin
Booker. Deandre Ayton also had a big night with 27 points, 11 rebounds, and 2 blocks. Mikal Bridges made 4 of 6 three-pointers and scored 20 points while Chris Paul had 19 points and 11 assists for Phoenix.

Phoenix is ranked 8th in the league in scoring at 114.6 points per game this season. They are third in scoring defense at 107.4 points per game allowed. The Suns are the best passing team in the NBA at 27.3 assists per game but they are just 21st in rebounding at 43.3 boards grabbed per assignment.

Who Wins?

Utah is 9-1 SU in their last 10 games played. The Jazz are 16-10 in their last 26 games played on the road. Phoenix is 6-0 SU in their last six games played on the road. The Suns are 5-0 SU in their last five games played at home. Head to head, Utah is 8-2 SU in their last 10 games played against the Suns but Phoenix has won two out of their last three meetings.

This game could go either way but I will pick the Suns because they are playing at home where they are 18-8 and they also own a win over the Jazz this season. Give me the Suns here.

Prediction: Phoenix Suns +130

Other Bets To Make

The Jazz are just 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games played. Utah is 1-4 ATS in their last five games played on the road, 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against an opponent with a winning SU record, 1-4 ATS in their last five games as the betting favorite on the road, 1-4 ATS in their last five games when playing on one day rest, and 1-6 ATS in their last road games against an opponent with a winning SU record.

Phoenix is 6-0 ATS in their last six home games against an opponent with a winning road record, 12-1 ATS in their last 13 games against an opponent with a winning percentage higher than .600, 26-5 ATS in their last 31 games against an opponent with a winning record, 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games played after an ATS loss, and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as the betting underdog.

The Jazz have the best record in the league but the Suns have been terrific against the spread, especially at home. Phoenix is 40-17 ATS in their last 57 games overall and are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games played at home. The Suns have won their last five games by an average winning margin of 11.2 points per game while shooting 50.6% from the field. The Jazz are coming off a loss to the Mavericks and 10 out of their total 12 losses have come on the road.

You can make a case for both teams as both of them are good enough to beat the other. But I’ll take the plus points and the home team in this showdown between the league’s top two teams.

Prediction: Phoenix Suns +2

The under is 4-1 in Utah’s last five games played. The total has gone under in each of their last four road games and the under is 4-0 in their last four games as road favorites. The Jazz have also seen the total go under in 7 out of their last 8 Wednesday games, and 4-1 in their last five games against an opponent with a winning SU record.

The total has gone over in the Suns’ last four games. However, the under is 17-5 in their last 22 games against an opponent with a winning SU record, 5-2 in their last seven games when playing on one day rest, and 7-3 in their last 10 games after an ATS loss. Head to head, the total has gone under in seven out of their last nine meetings. The under is also 8-2 in their last 10 games played in Phoenix.

This one’s an interesting pick to make. Both these teams rank in the Top 10 in scoring and they are also in the Top 5 in scoring defense. They have combined to score an average of 211.5 points per game in their last 10 head-to-head meetings and the under is 7-2 in their last nine head-to-head games. Both these teams can score but with how they match up well defensively, this should be a low-scoring game.

Prediction: Under 225

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