New York Jets vs Denver Broncos 10/23/2022 NFL Odds and Prediction

The New York Jets look to continue their winnings ways when they visit the Empower Field at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos on Sunday.

New York is a surprising 4-2 SU on the season and they are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last three games played. In their most recent assignment, the Jets traveled to Lambeau Field and beat the Green Bay Packers 27-10. The Jets are 3-0 SU when playing away from home this season.

The Broncos are 2-4 SU and this isn’t where they were supposed to be. Denver was supposed to be one of the contenders after acquiring Russell Wilson during the offseason. However, Wilson has struggled and is playing through injury. Denver is coming off back-to-back OT losses to the Indianapolis Colts and Los Angeles Chargers. The Broncos are however 2-1 SU at home this year.

New York Jets

Joe Flacco leads the team in passing with 901 yards with 5 TD passes but Sunday’s starter will be Zach Wilson who has thrown for 572 yards with 1 TD and 2 INT. Corey Davis has been the Jets’ top receiver with 19 catches for 351 yards. Meanwhile, rookie Breece Hall is off to a strong start with 376 rushing yards on 76 carries.

New York is 14th in passing at 232.3 yards per game this season. The Jets are 18th in rushing at 110.7 rushing yards per game this season. They are 10th overall in scoring at 23.8 points per game while the New York defense is 17th in scoring defense at 21.3 points per game allowed. The Jets only had one non-participant on their latest injury report and that was DE Jermaine Johnson who has a knee issue.

Denver Broncos

Russell Wilson has thrown for 1,442 yards but only has 5 TD passes after six games played. Wilson’s favorite target has been Courtland Sutton who has 31 catches for 431 receiving yards with 1 TD grab. Meanwhile, Javonte Williams leads the team with 47 carries for 204 yards but he is out with an injury. Broncos coach Hackett said that Melvin Gordon II will be the starting running back on Sunday. Wilson is banged up with a hamstring and shoulder injury but Hackett says Wilson will be the team’s starter on Sunday. The Broncos also lost outside linebacker Alan Patrick to a season-ending ACL injury.

The Broncos are 21st in passing offense at 219.2 yards per game. They are 19th in rushing offense at 110.2 yards per contest. Denver has the 4th best scoring defense in the league at 16.5 points per game allowed. However, the Broncos are the lowest-scoring team in the NFL at 15.3 points per game this season.

Jets vs Broncos SU Prediction

The Jets are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games played against the Broncos. New York is also 1-3 SU in their last four games played in Denver.

New York Jets SU trends:

• The Jets are 4-1 SU in their last five games played.
• The Jets are 3-0 SU in their 3 road games played this season.
• The Jets are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games against the AFC Conference.

Denver Broncos SU trends:

• The Broncos are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games played.
• The Broncos are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games played against the AFC Conference.
• The Broncos are 1-8 SU in their last 9 October games played.

Not only do the Jets have a better record than the Broncos, but New York also heads to this game after a huge road win. The Jets traveled to Lambeau Field and defeated the Green Bay Packers 27-10 to improve to 4-2 SU on the season, their best start since 2015. A win in Denver on Sunday afternoon will top the 2015 team’s best start and if their early performance is a gauge, they have a good chance of picking up the win.

Three of the Jets’ four wins have come on the road and they are averaging 27.3 points per game in those three road wins. I mean who would have thought that the Jets would be 4-2 here and the Broncos 2-4? Regardless, this Jets team has made a huge turnaround from their 1-7 SU road record from the previous season.

The Broncos were supposed to improve on offense with the addition of Russell Wilson. Such has not been the case, however. Wilson has been bothered by injuries and has struggled to find his mark early on. The Broncos have scored just seven touchdowns in six games played and are scoring just an average of 15.3 points per game.

Defensively is where the Broncos have been very good. The Denver defense has allowed just one touchdown in their previous two games despite playing without some key pieces. This defense could prove to be the problem in this game for the New York Jets.

Despite Zach Wilson’s slow start, the Jets are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last three games played. Rookie RB Breece Hall is coming off a 116-yard rushing game with 1 TD on 20 carries. Two weeks ago, he had 197 total yards during their upset with the Miami Dolphins.

If the Jets can establish Hall on the ground and their defense holds, this should be another win in the books for the Jets.

Prediction: New York Jets

Jets vs Broncos ATS Prediction

The Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played against the Broncos. New York is also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played in Denver.

New York Jets ATS trends:

• The Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• The Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
• The Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
• The Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
• The Jets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• The Jets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• The Jets are 6-14 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• The Jets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• The Jets are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 7.
• The Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

Denver Broncos ATS trends:

• The Broncos are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• The Broncos are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
• The Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
• The Broncos are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• The Broncos are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in October.
• The Broncos are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 vs. AFC.
• The Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight-up loss.
• The Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 7.
• The Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• The Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win.

Somehow, Russell Wilson should be able to regain his form and finally show us why the Broncos gave up a haul to get him. However, not only is Russ playing hurt, he is playing badly. The Denver offense is just putting up 15.3 points per game. That’s not going to win this game.

However, Denver has the third-best defense in the league at 290.3 yards per game allowed. They are also 4th in scoring defense at only 16.5 points per game conceded. If they can keep this as a low-scoring game, then the Broncos have a shot at pulling this one off.

 The Jets, however, have scored an average of 30.33 points per game in their last three games played, doing so against the Steelers, Dolphins, and Packers. I’m not sure if they can score 30 against this Denver defense. However, they should be able to score more points than this paltry Broncos offense.

Prediction: Jets +1

Jets vs Broncos Over/Under Prediction

The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Denver.

 

New York Jets over/under trends:

• The over is 6-1 in the Jets’ last 7 games played in October.
• The over is 5-1 in the Jets’ last 6 road games against a team with a losing home record.
• The over is 4-1 in the Jets’ last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• The over is 4-1 in the Jets’ last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• The over is 12-3-1 in the Jets’ last 16 games in Week 7.
• The over is 21-9 in the Jets’ last 30 versus a team with a losing record.
• The under is 11-5 in the Jets’ last 16 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
• The under is 8-1 in the Jets’ last 9 games following a straight-up win of more than 14 points.
• The under is 4-1 in the Jets’ last 5 games following an ATS win.

Denver Broncos over/under trends:

• The under is 5-1 in the Broncos’ last 6 games overall.
• The under is 4-1 in the Broncos’ last 5 home games.
• The under is 21-6-1 in the Broncos’ last 28 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• The under is 10-3 in the Broncos’ last 13 games on grass.
• The under is 21-7 in the Broncos’ last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• The under is 19-7-1 in the Broncos’ last 27 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
• The under is 10-4 in the Broncos’ last 14 vs. a team with a winning record.
• The under is 7-3 in the Broncos’ last 10 games following an ATS loss.
• The under is 7-3 in the Broncos’ last 10 games following a straight-up loss.
• The under is 35-16-1 in the Broncos ‘last 52 vs. AFC.
• The Under is 8-1 in the Broncos’ last 9 games following an ATS win.
• The under is 4-1 in the Broncos’ last 5 games in October.
• The over is 4-1 in the Broncos’ last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

These teams have combined to score an average of 39.6 points per game in their last 10 head-to-head meetings and 47.0 points per game in their most recent three encounters. However, with the way the Broncos’ offense has performed this season, the Jets need to do the heavy lifting if the teams are to go over the betting total.

New York has scored well in their four wins this season but has been shut down to just 10.5 points per game in their two losses against Buffalo and Cincinnati. The Denver defense is among the best in the business and they should be able to limit the Jets’ scoring chances here. I think this one’s gonna be a low-scoring game.

Prediction: Under 38.5

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