The Kansas City Chiefs stake their unbeaten record when they take on the Detroit Lions at Ford Field on September 29, 2019.
The Detroit Lions are off to a surprise start to the 2019 season. The Lions have opened with a 2-0-1 record and have won two in a row after their 27-27 tie with the Cardinals on opening week. Matthew Stafford is completing 62.3% of his passes and he has thrown for 831 yards with six touchdowns and two interceptions. Danny Amendola has 11 catches while Marvin Jones Jr. and Kenny Golladay have combined for three touchdowns and 376 receiving yards. Kerryon Johnson has 126 rushing yards and one touchdown. Detroit’s defense has allowed 20.3 points per game and 394.7 yards per game this season. Darius Slay has one interception while Devon Kennard has three sacks and Tracy Walker has 24 tackles on the season.
The Kansas City Chiefs are 3-0 on the season as 2018 NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes continues to sizzle. Mahomes has completed 71.9% of his passes and has thrown for 1,195 passing yards with 10 touchdowns and zero interceptions. Mahomes has two or more touchdowns in each of his last 14 games played. Travis Kelce and Sammy Watkins have combined for 595 receiving yards and four touchdowns while LeSean McCoy has rushed for 158 yards with one touchdown. The Chiefs are allowing 395.7 yards and 21.3 points per game this season. Frank Clark has one interception while Emmanuel Ogbah has 2.5 sacks and Kendall Fuller has 21 tackles to lead the Chiefs.
The Chiefs are 5-1 SU in their last two games played. Kansas City is 2-0 SU on the road this season. The Lions are 2-0-1 SU this season. Detroit is 5-12 SU in their last 17 games as NFL betting underdogs. Head to head, the Chiefs are 4-2 SU in their last six meetings. Kansas City is 2-4 SU in their last six road games against Detroit.
Kansas City is looking like a Super Bowl contender right now. Patrick Mahomes is showing no signs of slowing down and the Chiefs continue to be an offensive powerhouse. The Lions have been a surprise this year but I think they are biting more than they can chew here. The Lions are at home but the Chiefs are winning on the road as well, winning seven out of their last 10 away from home. I’m picking the Kansas City Chiefs to beat the Detroit Lions here. Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last six games played. The Chiefs are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games against the NFC Conference. They are also 10-0 ATS in their last 10 games played in September. The Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games played. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the AFC conference and 5-1 ATS in their last six games in September. Head to head, the Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
Chiefs
-6 (-110)
Lions
+6 (-110)
Odds were taken from Betonline as of 9/23/19
Kansas City has outscored Detroit by an average of 4.5 points per game in their last 10 meetings but the Lions have outscored the Chiefs by 5 points per game in their last three meetings. The Chiefs have covered four out of their last five games as road favorites of three points or more. The Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as home underdogs of at least three points. With their consistency in finding the end zone, I will go with the Chiefs for as long as the plus is below 10 points. Prediction: Chiefs -6
The total has gone over in eight out of the last 11 games played by the Chiefs. The over is 6-1 in Kansas City’s last seven road games. The total has gone under in five out of the last seven games of the Chiefs against the NFC North. The total has gone under in eight out of the last 10 games played by the Lions. The under is 6-0 in Detroit’s last six games played at home. Head to head, the over is 7-0 in the last seven meetings between these two teams and the over 10-4 in the Lions’ last 14 games against the AFC West Division.
Chiefs
O 54 -110
Lions
U 54 -110
Odds were taken from Betonline as of 9/23/19
These teams have combined to score an average of 52 points per game in their last 10 games played and 50 points per game in their last three meetings. Kansas City is averaging 33.67 points per game this season while the Lions are averaging 22.33 points per game this year. I think that when you have someone like Patrick Mahomes who puts up ridiculous numbers, you have to take your chances with the over. Prediction: Over 54
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