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The Kansas City Chiefs and the Los Angeles Rams collide at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum on 11/19/18 in this week’s edition of Monday Night Football.
The game could easily be the preview of the next Super Bowl as both teams are on top of their respective conferences right now. The Chiefs tote a 9-1 record to lead the AFC while the Rams have a similar 9-1 slate which puts them on top of the NFC.
Dominant Since Loss To Patriots
The Kansas City Chiefs suffered their first and only defeat of the season five weeks ago when they were narrowly beaten by the New England Patriots 40-43 last October 14th. Since then, they have been on a tear, winning four games in a row by an average winning margin of 17.5 points. The Chiefs look to create separation by increasing their lead in the AFC with a win over the NFC leading Rams.
Kareem Hunt has 754 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns for the Chiefs. Hunt has also caught 23 catches for 337 receiving yards and six touchdowns.Tyreek Hill has caught a total of 891 yards and has 9 touchdowns while Travis Kelce has 787 receiving yards and a total of 6 touchdowns on the season.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Rams 11/19/18
Moneyline Odds: Chiefs +150, Rams -170
Odds from Betonline.ag as of 11/15/18
The Effect of Kupp’s Injury
The Rams were the hottest team in the league, reeling off 8 straight wins before losing to the New Orleans Saints two weeks ago. They bounced back with a win over the Seahawks the last time out but head coach Sean McVay will have to make adjustments with wide receiver Cooper Kupp suffering a season ending ACL injury.
Jared Goff has passed for 3.134 yards this season with 22 scores and 6 pickoffs while completing 68% of his passes. Todd Gurley is the main man in offense with 988 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns. Gurley has also caught 40 passes for 402 receiving yards with five scores.
Who Wins?
Kansas City is 9-1 SU in their last 10 games played and 4-1 SU in their 5 road games this season. Los Angeles is also 9-1 SU in their last 10 games played and are a spotless 5-0 SU at home this season. Head to head, the Chiefs are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games against the Rams.
The Chiefs and Rams both have a week to figure out the other team’s offense but this is a game where the premium won’t be on defense because neither can stop the other’s offense. I like both offenses as well so it’s really hard to pick a winner here. But perhaps my biggest consideration in this game is how each team has won their games.
While the Chiefs have won six out of nine games by double digits, the Rams have five games which were decided by one touchdown or lesser. Being able to pull through in close games speaks of the Rams’ ability to play in the clutch but then it also shows they could have easily been on the losing end of those games. The Chiefs to me have been more consistent all season long and Mahomes is playing better than his counterpart.
We’re picking the Kansas City Chiefs to beat the Los Angeles Rams on 11/19/18. But knowing the Rams, this could be decided by a field goal or less so I’d like to check the spread.
Other Bets To Make
The Chiefs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games against teams with winning home records, 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with winning records and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Monday games played. On the other hand, the Rams are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games played, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Monday games and 1-4 ATS against teams with winning records.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Rams 11/19/18
Spread Odds: Chiefs +3.5 (-117), Rams -3.5 (-103)
Odds from Betonline.ag as of 11/15/18
The Chiefs have covered 8 out of their last 9 games as underdogs while the Rams have failed to cover five of their last six games as favorites. Three out of the last four wins for the Rams have been decided by five or fewer points. Los Angeles has been in many games that went down the wire and could have gone either way. Meanwhile, the Chiefs have won by an average of 17.5 points since losing to the New England Patriots. No doubt Kansas City is the more consistent team between the two and I’m rolling with them.
Prediction: Chiefs +3.5
The total has gone under in 5 out of the last 7 games played by the Chiefs and the under is 20-8-1 in the last 29 November games played by Kansas City.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Rams 11/19/18
Over/Under Odds: Over 63.5 +100, Under 63.5 -120
Odds from Betonline.ag as of 11/15/18
The over is 4-1 in Kansas City’s last 5 road games against teams with winning home records. The over is also 4-1 in Los Angeles’ last five games against teams with winning records and the over is also 7-2 in the Rams’ last 9 games after gaining more than 250 passing yards in their previous game. These teams are the top 2 scoring teams in the league this season and have a combined scoring average of 68.8 points per game this season. You bet it’s going to be the “over”.
Prediction: Over 63.5
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