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Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns 10/24/18 NBA Odds, Preview and Prediction

It’s a Pacific Division showdown as the Los Angeles Lakers and Phoenix Suns square off in the valley of the Suns on 10/24/18.

The Lakers are at the bottom of the Pacific Division team standings at 0-3. Meanwhile, the Suns hope to snap out of a two game losing skid and improve their 1-2 record.

Almost But Not Quite

The LeBron James-led Los Angeles Lakers are still winless after three tries. Their last game against the San Antonio Spurs last Sunday was a nail biter and it was a case of almost but not quite. The Lakers rallied from an 8 point deficit in the final minute of regulation to send the game to overtime. However, the Lakers squandered a 6 point lead in the extra period and allowed the Spurs to escape with a 143-142 win.

LeBron James had another stellar performance for the Lakers with 32 points, 8 rebounds, 14 assists, 1 steal and 1 block. King James sent the game to overtime with a 28 foot three pointer in the closing seconds of the fourth period. But James “choked” in the overtime period, missing two free throws and the potential game winning basket at the buzzer. With the loss, LeBron falls to 0-3 to start the season for the first time since 2004.

Kyle Kuzma pumped in 37 points for the Lakers while Lonzo Ball had 14 points and six dimes for the purple and gold. The Lakers will still be without Brandon Ingram and Rajon Rondo who are still serving their respective suspensions.For the third straight game, the Lakers fought hard and gave a playoff team all that it could handle before eventually losing in the end game.

What’re the Odds?

Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns 10/24/18
Moneyline Odds: Lakers -142, Suns +122
Odds from Sportsbetting.ag as of 10/23/18

 

Back To Back Blowout Losses

After an impressive 2018-19 NBA season debut where they beat the Dallas Mavericks 121-100, the Suns have lost back to back games via blowout. Phoenix suffered a 28 point drubbing at the hands of the Denver Nuggets in their second game and then they were drubbed by 20 points by the defending champions Golden State Warriors in their most recent game.

Shooting guard Devin Booker has been lights out for the Suns on opening week. The 21 year old former Kentucky Wildcat is averaging 29.3 points, 3.7 rebounds and 6.7 assists per game for the Suns. Booker is shooting .509 from the field and .400 from behind the three point area. 2018 top draft pick DeAndre Ayton is averaging a double double with 14.3 points and 10.7 rebounds per game.

The Suns shot just 28.2% from the three point area against the Nuggets and an even worse 26.5% against the Dubs. But what cost them both games was probably the fastbreak points as Denver was a +24 and Golden State a +28 in that department. While they won’t worry about three point shooting against the Lakers, the Suns are in for a fight as Los Angeles leads the league with 32.3 fastbreak points per game.

Who Wins?

Los Angeles leads the all-time series 139-106. These teams have split their last 10 games but last season, the Lakers took three out of four meetings between these teams. Los Angeles has also won the last three games against the Suns in Phoenix.

If you take a look at these teams first three games, the Lakers have played three teams which made the playoffs last season. Los Angeles was competitive in all three games and had a legit chance to win all games. Remember the Lakers trailed the Blazers by only 2 at the start of the 4th period, they trailed the Rockets by one point with 4 minutes left when the brawl happened and they were up 6 in OT with 55 seconds left against the Spurs on Sunday. Yet despite these moral victories, King James and his court have come up short in the endgame.

The key for Los Angeles will be to stop Devin Booker and the Phoenix shooters because the Lakers’ main weakness this season is their inability to close out on three point attempts. The Suns have shot poorly from downtown in their last two games. If the Lakers hold them to the same percentages, they have a good shot.

On the other hand, the key for the Suns will be to stop the Lakers from running. The Laker love to push the ball at every opportunity and they lead the league in fastbreaks. Meanwhile, the Suns have been outscored by 26 fastbreak points per game in their two losses.

Betting Prediction

The Lakers will be without Ingram and Rondo but they proved against the Spurs that they are too deep to be affected offensively. Expect LeBron James to go harder to finally nail his first win in purple and gold. The Lakers should be too fast and too furious for the Suns here.

We’re picking the Los Angeles Lakers to beat the Phoenix Suns on 10/24/18.

Place Your Bet Here

 

Other Bets To Make

The Lakers are 0-3 ATS in their three games this season while the Suns are 1-2 ATS in their own three games played including 1-0 ATS in their only home game so far. Head to head, both teams are 5-5 ATS against each other in their last 10 encounters.

What’re the Odds?

Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns 10/24/18
Spread Odds: Lakers -2.5 (-111), Suns +2.5 (-109)
Odds from Sportsbetting.ag as of 10/23/18

 

The Lakers beat the Suns by an average of 9.33 points per game. And although one of their three wins last season was by just two points, the Lakers have improved more significantly over the Suns since they last met.

Betting Prediction

Phoenix added DeAndre Ayton, Trevor Ariza and Ryan Anderson during the summer. I guess we know who the Lakers added so let’s get to the point: Los Angeles has LeBron James and the Suns don’t. I expect James to come up big especially after “choking” at the Staples Center the last time out. I like the Lakers to cover the spread here.

Prediction: Lakers -2.5

Place Your Bet Here

 

The total has gone over in all of the Lakers’ 3 games this season while the under is 2-1 in the Suns’ three games this season including 1-0 in Phoenix. The over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these teams with an average combined score of 223.70.

What’re the Odds?

Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns 10/24/18
Over/Under Odds: Over 237 -110, Under 237 -110
Odds from Sportsbetting.ag as of 10/23/18

 

Betting Prediction

The Lakers’ defense has been very miserable this season as they have given up an average of 131.7 points per game. The Suns are also not defensively sound this season as they’ve allowed an average of 121 points per game in their last two games. Phoenix ranks 2nd in the league in turnovers while the Lakers lead the league in fastbreak points. Do the math.

Prediction: Over 237

Place Your Bet Here

Chris Blain

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