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The Los Angeles Rams travel to San Francisco to face the 49ers in a showdown between NFC West rivals on Sunday 10/21/18 at the Levi’s Stadium in San Francisco.
The Rams remained unbeaten after beating the Broncos in their most previous game while the 49ers are still hurting from a heartbreaking last second defeat at the hands of the Green Bay Packers on Monday Night Football.
New Kings On the Block?
The San Francisco 49ers have spent a good amount of time on top of the NFC West in their storied history. But this season, the Los Angeles Rams have remained unbeaten through six games, the last such team in the NFL. With a relatively easy schedule the rest of the way, it may be safe to say that we have a new king on the block in the Rams.
Gurley’s big game on the ground made up for the subpar performance by quarterback Todd Gurley who struggled under constant pressure from the Denver defense. Gurley was sacked five times and completed only 50% of his passes for 201 yard with no touchdowns and one interception.
Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers 10/21/18
Moneyline Odds: Rams -475, 49ers +400
Odds from Betonline.ag as of 10/18/18
Life Without Jimmy G
After losing their starting quarterback to an ACL injury in Week 3, life without Jimmy G has been winless so far for San Francisco. Back-up C.J. Beathard has taken the cudgels for the 49ers and he has done a better job than many people had expected.
If San Francisco wants to pull off the upset against the Rams, they aren’t just going to need Beathard to be as good as he was for all but 1:07 of the Packers game but they will also need their defensive line to pressure Goff like the Broncos did. DeForest Buckner has 4.5 sacks on the season and if he can shackle Goff, then maybe the Niners have a shot.
Who Wins?
The Rams are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games and 5-0 SU in their last five games on the road. The 49ers meanwhile are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games but are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games played at home. Head to head, the Rams are 5-0 SU in their last 5 meetings against the 49ers but San Francisco is 4-1 SU in their last 5 home games against Los Angeles.
Spreads aside, the Rams have played better than the 49ers this season and it’s not even close. So if we were to pick the winner of this game, no question we’re going with Jared Goff and the Rams. Not only is Goff having a fantastic season, the 49ers are also without their starting quarterback. We’re picking the Los Angeles Rams to beat the San Francisco 49ers on 10/20/18 but at -475 right now, they may be unattractive to you so let’s take a look at the other available bets for this game.
Other Bets To Make
The L.A. Rams are 3-5-1 ATS in their last 9 games and 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games on the road. On the other hand, the 49ers are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home. Against the Rams, the Niners are 5-0 ATS in their last five head to head games and 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against Los Angeles.
Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers 10/21/18
Spread Odds: Rams -10 (+101), 49ers +10 (-121)
Odds from Betonline.ag as of 10/18/18
No question about the Rams’ play this season as their 6-0 record is a proof of how good they have been. But the concern here is that they have failed to cover against the 49ers in the last five games and they are also just 1-4 SU in their last five against San Francisco. After opening the season with back to back double digit wins, the Rams have won their next four games by margins of eight points or fewer with their last two victories coming by a combined winning margin of just five points. Los Angeles has struggled with the spread on the road and I think 10 points is too much for them to cover in Los Angeles.
Prediction: 49ers +10
The total has gone over in 8 out of the last 11 road games of the Rams with an average combined score of 53.45. The total has also gone over in 4 out of the last 5 games of San Francisco and also over in 5 out of the last 6 home games of the 49ers.
Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers 10/21/18
Over/Under Odds: Over 52 -110, Under 52 -110
Odds from Betonline.ag as of 10/18/18
Sure, Jared Goff completed just 50% of his passes and threw for only 201 yards last week against the Broncos. But I don’t expect him to have back to back off nights, especially with the way he’s played all season long. The Rams’ offensive prowess speaks for itself and they should have a nice bounce back game. As for the 49ers, they’ve scored more than 20 points in all but one of their games this season so they’re capable of putting up numbers too, even without their starting QB.
Prediction: Over 52
With the Rams coming in a -475 in the moneyline odds, it’s better to bet on the 49ers at +10 against the spread because the Rams have struggled ATS versus the Niners and when playing on the road. Likewise, their last four wins have been by single digits so while they are undefeated, they aren’t blowing away the opposition. The best value bet though is the -110 for the Over 52. The Rams have scored at least 30 points in five of six games while the 49ers have scored at least 20 in five of six games too.
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