Picks

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks 10/03/19 Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Rams take on the Seattle Seahawks on Thursday, October 3, 2019 at the CenturyLink Field.

Bucs Spol Goff’s Big Game

Jared Goff threw for 517 yards on Sunday to become only the 23rd quarterback to throw at least 500 yards in a game. But that effort was not enough for the Los Angeles Rams who were outlasted by the underdog Tampa Bay Buccaneers 40-55 in week 4 of the NFL season. The loss dropped Los Angeles to 3-1 on the season heading to their Thursday showdown with the Seahawks.

Goff completed a career-best 45 passes on 68 attempts and his 517 passing yards was also a career-high. The Rams’ QB had two touchdowns but was intercepted three times. Goff was also strip sacked with one minute and six seconds remaining in the game and the Rams looking to tie. Los Angeles rushed for only 28 total yards with Todd Gurley accounting for 16 on five carries with two touchdowns. Robert Woods caught 164 yards while Cooper Kupp has 121 receiving yards with one touchdown. But their defense gave up four touchdowns to Jameis Winston who went 28-41 with 385 passing yards and a 9.4 average.

Seahawks Improve To 3-1

The Seattle Seahawks grinded out a 27-10 win over the Arizona Cardinals to improve to 3-1 on the season. The Seahawks scored two early touchdowns, including a spectacular interception return by Jadeveon Clowney. Clowney picked off Kyler Murray and ran a stunning 27-yard touchdown for the Seahawks. Russell Wilson threw a 9-yard touchdown pass to to tight end Will Dissly and then controlled the game with Chris Carson running the football to hold on for the win.

Wilson threw for 240 yards with one touchdown and no interception while running back Carson rushed for 104 yards on 22 carries. Carson didn’t have a turnover after losing a fumble in each of his first three appearances. Dissly had seven catches for 57 yards with one touchdown. The Seattle defense which had been criticized in their first three games showed up and forced Kyler Murray to one interception and sacked him four times. The Cardinals were limited to 10 points, their lowest output of the young season.

Who Wins?

The Rams are 7-2 SU in their last nine games played. Los Angeles is 12-2 SU in their last 14 games on the road. The Seahawks are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games played and Seattle is 6-1 SU in their last seven games played at home. Head to head, the Rams are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played but the Seahawks are 11-3 SU In their last 14 home games against the Rams. The NFL betting odds aren’t out yet as of this writing but this one should be a pick ‘em game given that the spread is currently at even.

Everyone was talking about the Seahawks’ run and defense not yet showing up this season but on Sunday, Seattle showed both and they were crucial in their win over the Cardinals. Los Angeles isn’t Arizona and Goff is far better than Murray but if that Seattle defense is going to show up again on Thursday, this should be a good game. Still, I think the Rams are the better team overall and Goff, isn’t going to commit too many mistakes. I think Los Angeles bounces back after giving up a franchise worst 55 points at home against the Buccaneers. Prediction: Los Angeles Rams

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Other Bets To Make

The Rams are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games played. Los Angeles is 6-1 ATS in their last 9 games against the NFC conference and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against the NFC West Division. The Seahawks are 2-2 ATS this season and 0-2 ATS in their two games this season. Seattle is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games played in October and 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games played in Week 5. Head to head, the Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

What are the Spread Odds?

Rams

-110

Seahawks

-110

Odds were taken from Betonline as of 9/30/19

The Rams have outscored the Seahawks by 2.4 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 14 points per game in their last three meetings. Goff has been successful playing against this defense and I think the Rams are going to bounce back with a strong showing here. I like Los Angeles to win by a field goal here. I think it will be close and anything below three points would be good for a Rams pick. Prediction: Rams

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The total has gone under in four out of the last six games played by the Rams. The under is 4-1 in Los Angeles’ last five games played in October. The total has gone over in 10 out of the last 13 games played by the Seahawks.  The total has gone over in 8 out of the last 10 games played by Seattle against the NFC conference and the over is also 5-1 in their last six games against the NFC West division. Head to head, the total has gone under in 12 out of the last 18 games between these two teams. However, the over is 3-0 in their last three head to head meetings.

What are the Totals Odds?

Rams

O 49.5 -110

Seahawks

U 49.5 -110

Odds were taken from Betonline as of 9/30/19

These teams have combined for 43 points per game in their last 10 games played and 60 points per game in their last three meetings. The Rams have gone over 49.5 points in half of their games this season. The Seahawks have likewise hit at least 50 points only twice in four games played. I think these teams engage in a high scoring contest with Goff throwing scores. Prediction: Over 49.5

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Chris Blain

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