Louisville vs Clemson 11/3/18 NCAA Football Odds, Preview and Prediction

The Louisville Cardinals will visit the red hot Clemson Tigers in a game between two teams who are going to opposite poles. The Cardinals are 2-6 on the season and have on the receiving end of blowout losses. The Tigers meanwhile are spotless this season and have been dominating in their last three games played.

Clemson improved to 8-0 last week after a convincing win over Florida State. Not only did the Tigers deal the Seminoles their worst home loss in school history, they also became the first team from the ACC to beat Florida State in four consecutive years. Clemson now has a clear path to the College Football Playoffs in December and they are doing so under a true freshman quarterback.

First year man Trevor Lawrence has been impressive since taking over the starting QB job from Kelly Bryant. Lawrence has thrown for 1,490 yards with 16 touchdowns and just two interceptions. Scouts and experts are saying as early as now that Lawrence could be a future #1 pick in the NFL draft and that may be the case. Against Louisville, Lawrence should have no problem throwing the ball.

The post Lamar Jackson era has been disastrous after Louisville lost plenty of talent since last season. Bobby Petrino’s team doesn’t resemble the competitive program that they have been in recent years. Nothing seems to be going right as they have lost five games in a row with four losses coming by a losing margin of 18 points or more. The only teams they’ve beaten this year are Indiana State and Western Kentucky.

Louisville’s offense has been decent although quarterback Jawon Pass has thrown eight interceptions versus only seven touchdowns while completing just 55% of his passes. Terry Smith has 246 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns while Jalen Smith leads the Cardinals with 46 catches, 376 yards and 1 touchdown.  But it’s been their defense that has been atrocious, giving up a terrible 160 points per game over their last three games.

Louisville is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games played and 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road. Clemson is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games and 14-1 SU in their last 15 games at home. The Tigers have won the last four meetings between these two teams.

The Tigers own the nation’s #1 scoring defense at 13 points allowed per game. In their last three games, they have even been better by holding their opponents to ten or fewer points over those three games. Clemson has outscored their last three opponents by an aggregate score of 130-20, including a  63-3 mauling of Wake Forest which beat Louisville at the latter’s home field.

Louisville is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games played and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on the road. Clemson is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home. Head to head, Clemson is 2-1 ATS in the last three meetings between these two teams.

After failing to cover in their first three games, Clemson has gone on to cover four out of their last five outings including last week’s 18 point road spread against the Florida State Seminoles. Louisville meanwhile failed to cover as 3 point favorites and dropped to 1-7 ATS on the season.

The total has gone over in 4 out of the last 5 games of Clemson. The over is 2-1 in Louisville’s three road games this season while the under is 3-0 in Clemson’s three home game this year. Head to head, the over is 2-1 in their last three meetings.

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