Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns 3/16/23 NBA Odds, Preview, and Prediction

The Orlando Magic visit the Phoenix Suns on Thursday night at Footprint Center.

Orlando is 28-41 SU on the season and they are still hoping to make the play-in tournament. As of Wednesday, the Magic are still mathematically in the race at four games behind the Washington Wizards in the East, although they are running out of games. The Magic are just 1-4 SU in their last five games played and head to Phoenix after losing to the Spurs 132-114 the last time out.

Phoenix is 37-32 SU on the year and they are in 4th place in the Western Conference team standings. The Suns have lost their last three games with Kevin Durant sitting out all three games with an ankle injury. The Suns are just 2-3 SU in their last 5 games played and head home after losing to the Milwaukee Bucks 116-104 in their last game played.

Orlando Magic

The Magic have not won back-to-back games since February and head to this matchup having lost four out of their last five games played. Orlando is still just four games off the 10th seed and is not out of the play-in race yet. But they are running out of games to play and the Suns are no easy picking even without KD.

Book with back-to-back 30+ point games.

Tonight's @FanDuel Stat Line of the Game. pic.twitter.com/27ltspXPYc

— Phoenix Suns (@Suns) March 15, 2023

Orlando is ranked just 27th in the NBA in scoring at 111.6 points per game this season. Paolo Banchero is putting up 20.1 points, 6.6 rebounds, and 3.6 assists per game this season. Franz Wagner is putting up 18.7 points per contest while Wendell Carter Jr. is contributing 15.3 points and 8.8 rebounds per game.

Phoenix Suns

The Suns won their first three games with Kevin Durant in the lineup. But since KD suffered another injury, they have lost three straight games. Before their current losing skid, the Suns had not lost three in a row since January. So expect the Suns to try and get the sour taste off their mouth on Thursday night.

27 points at SAS marked the 14th game this season that Paolo has scored 25+ points 🪄 pic.twitter.com/N2bFJfj8Ai

— Orlando Magic (@OrlandoMagic) March 15, 2023

Devin Booker leads the Suns in scoring at 27.8 points per game this season. Deandre Ayton is putting up a double-double this year at 18.4 points and 10.2 rebounds per game while also leading the team in blocked shots at 1.9 per contest. The Suns are scoring 113.2 points per game this season while also grabbing 44.3 boards per contest and issuing 27.1 assists per game.

Magic vs Suns SU Prediction

The Magic are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games played against the Suns. Orlando is 1-3 SU in their last 4 games played in Phoenix.

Orlando Magic SU trends:

• The Magic are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games played.
• The Magic are 12-22 SU in 34 road games played this season.
• The Magic are 5-13 SU in their last 18 games played against the Pacific Division.
• The Magic are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games played in March.
• The Magic are 13-13 SU in their last 26 games played against the Western Conference.

Phoenix Suns SU trends:

• The Suns are 0-3 SU in their last 3 games played overall.
• The Suns are 22-12 SU in their last 34 games played at home.
• The Suns are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games played against the Eastern Conference.
• The Suns are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games played against the Southeast Division.
• The Suns are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games played on a Thursday.

The Suns continue to struggle without Kevin Durant. After going on a four-game winning streak, Phoenix has dropped its last three games played with KD missing all three losses.

They are currently 4th in the West at 37-32 but it remains to be seen how far they can go in the playoffs without Durant. The Suns gave up several rotation players in the KD trade. Now they are having trouble finding consistent scoring options outside of Devin Booker and Deandre Ayton with KD out. Josh Okogie, Torrey Craig, Ish Wainwright, and Terrence Ross combined for only 24 points in their last game against the Milwaukee Bucks.

In that game, the Bucks closed out with a 24-9 run with Giannis Antetokounmpo leading the way. The Greek Freak had 36 points, 11 rebounds, and 8 assists and the Suns had no answer for him.

The Magic opened a four-game road trip on Tuesday, losing to the San Antonio Spurs 132-114. Orlando allowed San Antonio to hit a franchise-high 22 three-pointers and issue a season-high 39 assists in the game. Paolo Banchero led the way with 27 points while Wendell Carter Jr. added 16 for Orlando.

They have lost five out of their last seven games. Despite that, the Magic are just four games behind the 10th-seeded Washington Wizards so they are not yet out of the playoff race.

Orlando defeated Phoenix 114-97 during their first meeting of the season last November 11. Phoenix shot just 13-42 or 31% from three-point distance in the loss.

The Suns have struggled without KD but they will be facing an Orlando team that is one of the worst in the league. The Magic are also just 12-22 SU on the road this season. The Suns have the tools to win this one, no doubt about it. Give me the Suns to win at home.

Prediction: Phoenix Suns

Magic vs Suns ATS Prediction

The Magic are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played against the Suns. Orlando is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games played in Phoenix.

Orlando Magic ATS trends:

• The Magic are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• The Magic are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games.
• The Magic are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight-up loss of more than 10 points.
• The Magic are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
• The Magic are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600.
• The Magic are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight-up loss.
• The Magic are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS loss.
• The Magic are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games versus a team with a winning home record.
• The Magic are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games versus a team with a winning straight-up record.
• The Magic are 21-10 ATS in their last 31 games playing on 1 day’s rest.
• The Magic are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The Magic are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The Magic are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The Magic are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game
• The Magic are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games.

Phoenix Suns ATS trends:

• The Suns are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• The Suns are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• The Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a losing straight-up record
• The Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight-up loss of more than 10 points.
• The Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
• The Suns are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a road-winning percentage of less than .400.
• The Suns are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight-up loss.
• The Suns are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 1 day’s rest.
• The Suns are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.
• The Suns are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games on a Thursday.
• The Suns are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games played in March.

While Orlando is a mere 12-22 SU on the road this season, the Magic are 18-13-3 ATS when playing away from home this year. They are also 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played against the Suns.

Phoenix has lost three in a row. They are looking to get back on track and the Magic are the perfect opponent to do that. Orlando is struggling on the road this season and they are struggling overall this year.

I expect the Magic to lose to the Suns. However, given how poorly the Suns have played since Durant got hurt, I won’t be surprised to see the Magic stay in the thick of the fight in this game. The Suns are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games played. I think the Suns win but the Magic cover.

Prediction: Magic +7

Magic vs Suns Over/Under Prediction

The under is 6-4 in the last 10 games played between these two teams. The under is 9-3 in their last 12 meetings in Phoenix.

Orlando Magic over/under trends:

• The over is 5-0 in the Magic’s last 5 games played overall.
• The over is 5-0 in the Magic’s last 5 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The over is 5-0 in the Magic’s last 5 games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The over is 5-0 in the Magic’s last 5 games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The over is 5-0 in the Magic’s last 5 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The over is 4-0 in the Magic’s last 4 games playing on 1 day’s rest.
• The under is 14-4 in the Magic’s last 18 games following a straight-up loss of more than 10 points.
• The under is 8-3 in the Magic’s last 11 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
• The under is 13-5 in the Magic’s last 18 games following an ATS loss.
• The under is 7-3 in the Magic’s last 10 road games.

Phoenix Suns over/under trends:

• The over is 4-1-1 in the Suns’ last 6 overall.
• The over is 4-1 in the Suns’ last 5 home games.
• The over is 4-0 in the Suns’ last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• The over is 5-1 in the Suns’ last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
• The over is 4-1-1 in the Suns’ last 6 games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The over is 4-1-1 in the Suns’ last 6 games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The over is 4-1-1 in the Suns’ last 6 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The over is 4-1 in the Suns’ last 5 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400.
• The over is 3-1-1 in the Suns’ last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The over is 3-1-1 in the Suns’ last 5 games playing on 1 day’s rest.
• The under is 9-4 in the Suns’ last 13 versus a team with a losing straight-up record.
• The under is 41-20-2 in the Suns’ last 63 games following a straight-up loss.
• The under is 4-1-1 in the Suns’ last 6 games following an ATS loss.

The Magic have played bad defense as of late, the reason why the over has hit in each of their last five games heading to this matchup. They have conceded at least 131 points thrice in their last four games played.

The Suns have struggled without KD but they have hit over 228 points five times in their last six games played. Phoenix has also struggled on defense, allowing 116 points four times in their last five games played.

Both are in the Top 20 in the league in pace. Even without KD, the Suns have Devin Booker who should be able to have a big game against Orlando’s struggling defense.

Prediction: Over 228

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