Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles 06/01/2022 MLB Odds and Predictions

The Seattle Mariners and Baltimore Orioles play Game 2 of their current set on Wednesday at Camden Yards.

Seattle is next to last in the AL West at 21-28 on the season and is 10.5 games behind the Astros in the divisional standings. The Mariners are 4-6 in their last 10 games played and are 9-18 on the road this season.

Baltimore is at the bottom of the AL East team standings with a record of 21-30 and they are a far 14 games back of the division-leading New York Yankees. The Orioles are 5-5 in their last 10 games played and are 12-12 in 24 home games played so far this season.

Seattle blanked Baltimore on Tuesday in Game 1 of their current series as George Kirby registered his first big league win. Kirby gave up four hits in six innings with one walk and eight strikeouts while Taylor Trammell had three hits and four RBIs to help the Mariners win 10-0.

That was the first of six meetings between these two teams this season.

Seattle Mariners

The Mariners are 16th overall in team batting average at .237. They are also 9th in on-base percentage at .318 and 17th in slugging percentage at .383. Seattle has scored a total of 191 runs this season which ranks 22nd overall in baseball.

Ty France leads the team with a batting average of .347. France also leads the team with 36 RBIs while also hitting seven home runs. Eugenio Suarez has 9 home runs to lead Seattle and Suarez has also contributed 24 RBIs.

Seattle is 22nd in the league in team ERA at 4.14 and they are 20th in WHIP at 1.29. The Mariners are tied for 7th with a total of 18 quality starts and are allowing opposing hitters to bat at a .247 rate.

Reigning American League Cy Young winner Robbie Ray will open on top of the mound for the Mariners. The 30-year-old from Brentwood, TN is struggling with a 4-5 record in 10 starts this season. Ray has an ERA of 4.75 and a WHIP of 1.20. He ranks 6th in strikeouts with 68 and has given up a total of 32 runs on 52 hits with 10 home runs allowed.

Ray allowed three runs on seven hits with 10 strikeouts and one walk in 6.0 innings pitched during the Mariners’ 2-4 loss to the A’s last week. He was charged with a loss, his second straight win in as many starts. Seattle is 2-4 in his last six starts.

Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles are in the bottom half in most statistical departments. They are 24th in batting average at .232 and have scored a total of 190 runs which is 23rd overall. Baltimore also ranks 22nd in on-base percentage at .300. They are also 25th in slugging percentage at .361.

Trey Mancini leads the team with a .303 batting average. Anthony Santander is the most productive Oriole this season with 9 runs and 29 RBIs. Austin Hays and Rougned Odor each have 22 RBIs for Baltimore while Ryan Mountcastle has 20 RBIs and six home runs.

Baltimore is 20th in team ERA at 4.02. They rank 23rd in WHIP at 1.31 The Orioles’ pitching staff is allowing opponents to hit at .257. Their 11 quality starts is just 20th overall in the majors.

Orioles rookie Kyle Bradish will make his 7th start of the season on Wednesday. The 25-year-old right-hander from Goodyear, AZ has a record 1-3 with an ERA of 7.31 and a WHIP of 1.52. Bradish has allowed 24 runs on 34 hits with 9 walks and 29 strikeouts in a total of 28.1 innings pitched.

Bradish lasted only 1.2 innings in his most recent start and allowed six runs on six hits and did not factor in the decision. Despite his struggles, Baltimore is 3-2 in his last five starts.

Who Wins?

Seattle is 15-7 SU in their last 22 games against Toronto. The Mariners are also 4-1 in their last five road games against the Blue Jays.

The Seattle Mariners are:

• 9-22 in their last 31 overall.

• 9-2 in their last 11 games as a road favorite.

• 21-7 in their last 28 games with the total set at 8.5 or lower.

• 19-7 in their last 26 road games with the total set at 8.5 or lower.

• 3-7 in their last 10 games on grass.

• 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.

• 6-18 in their last 24 road games.

• 3-9 in their last 12 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• 1-4 in their last 5 games as a favorite.

• 1-4 in their last 5 Wednesday games.

• 2-8 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series.

• 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

• 6-14 in their last 20 games against an opponent from the American League.

• 3-13 in their last 16 versus American League East.

• 1-7 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.

• 0-6 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

The Baltimore Orioles are:

• 58-123 in their last 181 overall.

• 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

• 4-1 in their last 5 home games with the total set at 8.0-9.5.

• 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

• 54-116 in their last 170 games as an underdog.

• 17-40 in their last 57 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• 15-46 in their last 61 Wednesday games.

• 19-60 in their last 79 during game 2 of a series.

• 16-51 in their last 67 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• 5-15 in their last 20 games played in June.

Reigning American League Cy Young winner Robbie Ray has struggled to find his 2021 form with his new team. Ray has been hit hard in each of his last five starts and has conceded a total of 18 runs on 26 hits in a combined 30.5 innings pitched during that span with the Mariners losing three of those games including the last two.

While the same can be said about Baltimore starting pitcher Kyle Bradish, the Orioles have found ways to win three of his last five starts.

Seattle has won just thrice in its last 10 games played and has dropped six out of their last seven games played away from home and their pitching staff is 22nd in ERA at 4.14. I’ll take the plus money and go with the home team.

Prediction: Baltimore Orioles +132

Mariners vs Orioles Over/Under Prediction

The total has gone under in five out of the last six meetings between these two teams,

Seattle Mariners over/under betting trends:

• Under is 4-1 in the Mariners’ last 5 games played overall.

• Under is 5-1 in the Mariners’ last 6 Wednesday games.

• Under is 4-1 in the Mariners’ last 5 on grass.

• Under is 4-1 in the Mariners’ last 5 games versus a right-handed starter.

• Under is 4-1 in the Mariners’ last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• Under is 5-2 in the Mariners’ last 7 games versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

• Under is 43-21-2 in the Mariners’ last 66 games when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.

• Over is 5-0 in the Mariners’ last 5 games against the American League East.

• Over is 4-0 in the Mariners’ last 4 road games versus a right-handed starter.

• Over is 5-0 in the Mariners’ last 5 road games against a team with a losing record.

• Over is 5-0 in the Mariners’ last 5 road games.

• Over is 7-1 in the Mariners’ last 8 games against a team with a losing record.

• Over is 4-1 in the Mariners’ last 5 games as a favorite.

• Over is 4-1 in the Mariners’ last 5 games as a road favorite.

• Over is 7-2 in the Mariners’ last 9 games after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

• Over is 5-2 in the Mariners’ last 7 Game 2s of a series.

Baltimore Orioles over/under betting trends:

• Under is 3-0-1 in the Orioles’ last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

• Under is 8-2 in the Orioles’ last 10 Wednesday games.

• Under is 8-2-1 in the Orioles’ last 11 home games versus a left-handed starter.

• Under is 12-3-2 in the Orioles’ last 17 home games with the total set at 8.0-9.5.

• Under is 3-1-1 in the Orioles’ last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

• Under is 6-2-1 in the Orioles’ last 9 home games against a team with a losing record.

• Under is 34-12-5 in the Orioles’ last 51 games versus a left-handed starter.

• Under is 7-3-1 in the Orioles’ last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.

• Under is 9-4-2 in the Orioles’ last 15 during game 2 of a series.

• Under is 33-16-2 in the Orioles’ last 51 games following a loss.

• Over is 6-0-1 in the Orioles’ last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.

• Over is 5-0-1 in the Orioles’ last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

• Over is 4-1 in the Orioles’ last 5 games a home underdog.

• Over is 4-1 in the Orioles’ last 5 home games.

• Over is 3-1-1 in the Orioles’ last 5 vs. American League West.

• Over is 5-2 in the Orioles’ last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• Over is 5-2 in the Orioles’ last 7 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

These two teams have combined to score an average of 6.7 runs per game in their last 10 head-to-head meetings and 7.67 runs per game in their last three encounters.

Both starting pitchers have been hit hard in their most recent games. Both are averaging fewer than four runs per game this season with the Mariners at 3.98 and the Orioles at 3.80.

The under is 4-1 in Seattle’s last five games played, 4-1 in their last five head-to-head meetings, and 4-1 in the Mariners’ last five games against the American League. Give me these two teams to hit the under.

Prediction: Under 8.5

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