Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors 1/14/20 NBA Betting Odds and Pick

The Dallas Mavericks travel to Oakland to take on the Golden State Warriors at the Chase Center.

Dallas bounced back after losing back to back games by defeating the Philadelphia 76ers on Saturday night. The Mavs head to Golden State as one of the best road teams in the league with a road record of 12-5. On the other hand, the Warriors lost to the Grizzlies in Memphis on Sunday night. The defeat was Golden State’s eighth consecutive loss and they are at the bottom of the Western Conference team standings at 9-32.

Going 3-3 at Home

The Mavericks closed out their six-game homestand with a win over the Joel Embiid-less Sixers on Saturday night. The win enabled the Mavericks to go 3-3 during that homestand and improved their record at 24-15, which is good for second place in the Southwest Division team standings.

Luka Doncic almost had another triple-double for the Mavericks with 19 points, 12 assists, and 8 rebounds while Dwight Powell scored 19 points and grabbed 12 rebounds against the Sixers. Dorian Finney Smith added 16 points as all five Dallas starters scored in double figures.

Dallas is averaging 116.1 points per game, 3rd in the league this season. They are ranked 4th in rebounding at 47.6 boards grabbed per contest and are 13th in passing at 24.4 assists per game. The Mavericks are 14th in scoring defense as they are allowing their opponents to score an average of 109.3 points per game this season.

Eight Straight Losses

The Warriors head home after losing back to back road games to the Los Angeles Clippers and Memphis Grizzlies. Golden State has lost eight straight games including three in a row at home. They are 9-32 SU on the year, worst in the West and second-worst in the league. The Dubs are just 6-13 SU in 19 home games played this year.

D’Angelo Russell leads the Warriors in scoring at 23.2 points per game but he has played just 22 games this season. Alec Burks is contributing 15.9 points per game while Eric Paschall is adding 13.7 points per outing. Draymond Green is having an underwhelming season with 8.8 points, 6.3 rebounds and 5.7 assists per game.

Golden State ranks 27th in the league in scoring at 104.8 points per game. They are 21st in rebounding at 44.0 boards grabbed per contest and are 15th in passing at 24.3 assists per game. The Warriors are allowing their opponents to score an average of 112.7 points per game, 20th overall this season.

Who Wins?

Dallas is 5-5 SU in their last 10 games played. The Mavericks are 12-5 SU in 17 road games played this season, and 8-2 SU in their last 10 road games against the Western Conference. Golden State is 2-8 SU in their last 10 games played. The Warriors are 2-3 SU in their last five games played at home, 5-8 SU in 13 home games against the Western Conference. Head to head, the Warriors are 6-4 SU in their last 10 games played against the Mavericks but Dallas is 3-0 in their last three meetings.

The Mavs have lost two out of their last three games and they were just 3-3 in their recent homestand. Dallas is still without Kristaps Porzingis but with Luka Doncic playing excellent basketball, this is a team that can still compete with the elites. Dorian Finney-Smith and Dwight Powell are coming off big games and should provide Luka with the needed support along with Tim Hardaway Jr.

The Warriors have lost eight in a row and they continue to struggle. D’Angelo Russell scored 34 points in their loss to the Grizzlies but he missed their previous two games with an injury. With their continued injury woes, this team just can’t build enough momentum to put together victories although they won four in a row towards the end of December.

Golden State is 6-13 SU at home this season and the Mavs have been terrific on the road so far at 12-5 away from home. I like the Warriors to compete in this game as they usually do but in the end, Doncic will be too good on offense. Dallas will get plenty of scoring help with Luka creating the plays. I’m picking the road team to be victorious here.

Prediction: Dallas Mavericks

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Other Bets to Make

Dallas is 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games played. The Mavericks are 12-5 ATS in 17 road games played this season. Golden State is 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games played. The Dubs are 3-2 ATS in their last five home games played, 2-5 ATS in their last seven January games, and 7-13 ATS in their last 20 games against the Southwest Division. Head to head, the Mavericks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Warriors.

The Warriors have dominated this matchup from a last 10 games perspective. But the Mavs have won their first two head to head matchups of the season by a total of 68 points. Dallas went just 3-3 SU in their recent six-game homestand but two of their losses were to the Nuggets and Lakers. Meanwhile, the Warriors have dropped eight in a row and they haven’t won since Dallas snapped their four-game winning streak last December 29th. Doncic should have another big game against the helpless Warriors.

Prediction: Mavericks -8

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The total has gone over in four out of the last six games played by Dallas. The over is 11-6 in the Mavs’ 17 road games played this season, and 4-2 in their last six January games. The total has gone under in five out of the last six games played by the Warriors. The under is 12-7 in the Dubs’ 19 home games played this season, and 8-2 in their last 10 games played against the Western Conference. Head to head, the total has gone over in eight out of the last 10 meetings played between these two teams.

The Mavs are the 3rd highest-scoring team in the league this season while the Warriors are in the Bottom 10 in scoring defense. Golden State gave up 141 points to this team last month and 142 in their first meeting of the year. I know Dallas is without Porzingis but with Doncic creating plays, I think the Mavericks are looking at another high-scoring outing here with Golden State contributing enough points to breach the posted total.

Prediction: Over 222.5

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