Miami-OH vs Ohio 11/06/19 College Football Betting Odds and Prediction

Instate rivals Miami-OH takes on Ohio at the Peden Stadium on November 6, 2019, in a Mid-American Conference showdown that has both conference and post-season implications.

The Redhawks head to this rivalry games with a record of 4-4 including 3-1 in the MAC. Miami-OH has won two in a row after a Week 9 victory over the Kent State Golden Flashes. Meanwhile, the Bobcats are also 4-4 SU overall and 3-1 SU in the MAC after their road win over Ball State in week 9. The winner of this match will become the #1 team in the Mid-American Conference.

Emerging as Contenders

The Miami-OH RedHawks have emerged as MAC contenders with three wins in their last four games despite playing as underdogs. The RedHawks have won back to back games and are coming off their best win during that period. Miami defeated Kent State 23-16 to hand the Golden Flashes their first home loss of 2019.

Freshman quarterback Brett Gabbert has thrown for a total of 1,360 passing yards with five touchdowns and five interceptions this season. Dominique Robinson leads the RedHawks with 290 receiving yards while Jalen Walker has 288 receiving yards of his own. Tyre Shelton has 315 rushing yards with one touchdown while Jaylon Bester has 265 rushing yards and five touchdowns.

Miami-OH ranks 108th in FBS when it comes to scoring at 22.5 points per game this season. They also rank 109th in scoring defense at 33 points per game allowed. The RedHawks are only producing 298.9 yards of total offense this year.

Another Non-Losing Season

The Ohio Bobcats are also 3-1 SU in their last four games played with victories over Buffalo, Kent and Ball State. The Bobcats have finished at least .500 in the last 10 seasons and at 4-4 SU overall this year, they are staring at another non-losing season in 2019.

Senior quarterback Nathan Rourke has thrown for a total of 1,743 passing yards with 10 touchdowns and five interceptions. Rourke is also the team’s rushing leader 536 rushing yards and a total of eight rushing touchdowns. Junior running back De’Montre Tuggle has rushed for 303 yards with seven rushing touchdowns.

Ohio is ranked 59th in College Football when it comes to scoring at 30.4 points per game scored this season. The Bobcats are also 85th in FBS in scoring defense at 29.5 points per game allowed this season. Ohio heads to this contest as the football betting favorites to beat Miami-OH.

Who Wins?

Miami-OH is 3-1 SU in their last four games played. The RedHawks are 1-4 SU in their last five games played. Ohio is 12-6 SU in their last 18 games played. The Bobcats are 2-2 SU at home this season, 5-1 SU in their last six games against the Mid-American Conference. Head to head, Ohio is 8-2 SU in their last 10 meetings and 6-0 SU in their last six home games against Miami-OH.

The RedHawks have emerged as contenders in the MAC East Division after winning three out of their last four games played. However, they rank at the bottom of the NCAA in terms of total offense and scoring. Gabbert is completing just 53% of his passes and has five scores against five interceptions.

Ohio’s biggest concern is their defense which has allowed almost 30 points per game this season. However, Miami-OH is even worse at 33 points per outing this year. However, the Bobcats’ offense has been impressive with Rourke throwing a total of 10 touchdowns while rushing for another 8.

Ohio has the home field edge in this latest installment of this in-state rivalry. Ohio is 5-1 SU in their last six conference games and they have dominated this matchup in recent years. I’m picking the Ohio Bobcats to beat the Miami-OH RedHawks.

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Other Bets to Make

Miami-OH is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games played. The RedHawks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against the Mid-American Conference and 4-1 ATS in their last five games played in November. Ohio is 1-4 ATS in their last five games played. The Bobcats are 0-5 ATS in their last five games played at home and 2-6 ATS this season. Head to head, the Bobcats are 5-4-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

Ohio has outscored Miami-Oh by 13 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 9.33 points per game in their last three games played. Rourke is a dual-threat quarterback and the RedHawks will have a hard time stopping him with his arm or with his feet. Miami-OH allows too many passing yards and Rourke should have a field day here. I don’t see both teams playing defense here but the Bobcats are going to cover because of too much offense. The RedHawks are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

Prediction: Ohio -7

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The total has gone over in six out of Miami-OH’s last nine games played. The under is 3-2 in the last five road games played by the RedHawks. The total has gone over in four out of the last six games played by Ohio. The over is 3-1 in the Bobcats’ last four games played at home. Head to head, the total has gone under in eight out of the last 10 games played by these two teams.

These teams have combined to score 45.4 points per game in their last 10 games played and 51.67 points per game in their last three meetings. These teams are in the bottom half of the MAC in scoring defense, allowing a combined 62.5 points per game on the season. Both teams can put points on the board but neither can play defense. This should be a fun and high-scoring rivalry game and I expect the teams to go over the 54.5 total for this one.

Prediction: Over 54.5

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