Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Indians 6/6/19 MLB Betting Odds, Pick, and Prediction

The Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Indians play Game 3 of their current set on Thursday at Progressive Field in Cleveland.

Jose Berrios gets the call to start for the Twins on Thursday. The 25-year-old right-hander has started in a total of 12 games this season and has a record of 7-2 with an ERA of 3.27, a WHIP of 1.13 and a BAA of .247. The Twins are 8-2 in Berrios’ last 10 starts of the season.

The Bayamon, Puerto Rico native has pitched in a total of 77.0 innings this season and he has only given up a total of 31 runs ( 28 earned ) on 73 hits with 10 home runs. Berrios has walked a total of 14 hitters and has recorded 72 strikeouts this season. In his last start, Berrios allowed three earned runs on six hits in 6.2 innings of pitch work. He got the win as the Twins beat the Rays 5-3 last May 31st.

Jose Polanco leads Minnesota with his .336 batting average. Meanwhile, left field man Eddie Rosario tops the team in RBIs and home runs this season with a total of 50 and 18, respectively. As a team, the Twins are batting at a .273 clip and have scored a total of 349 runs on the season.

Right-handed starter Trevor Bauer opens on top of the mound for the Indians. The 28-year old UCLA product has started in a total of 13 games this season and has an ERA of 3.76, a WHIP of 1.17 and a BAA of .201. The Indians are 1-5 in Bauer’s last five starts this season.

The North Hollywood, California native has given up a total of 44 runs ( 35 earned ) on 61 hits with 10 home runs. He has also struck out 96 batters and walked a total of 37 hitters. In his last start, Bauer allowed a total of six runs, two of which were earned on nine hits in 7.0 innings pitched. He got the loss as the Indians dropped a 1-6 contest to the Chicago White Sox.

The Indians are batting at .226 on the season and have scored a total of 239 runs on the year. First baseman Carlos Santana is the top man in the Cleveland offense. Santana is batting at a team-best .286 clip while also leading the Indians with 37 RBIs and 11 home runs on the season.

Who Wins?

Minnesota is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played. The Twins are 3-2 SU in their last five games played on the road. Cleveland is 4-6 SU in their last 10 games played. The Indians are 1-2 SU in their last three games played at home. Head to head, the Indians are 6-4 SU in their last 10 games against the Twins. Cleveland is also 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played in Minnesota.

Minnesota is 5-1 SU in Berrios’ last six starts on the road, 5-3 SU in his eight starts against the Indians and 2-1 SU  in his three starts in Cleveland. The Indians are 4-6 SU in Bauer’s last 10 starts and 2-5 SU in his last seven starts at home. Cleveland is  7-3 SU in his last 10 starts against the Twins but 4-6 SU in Bauer’s last 10 home starts against Minnesota.

The Twins are 9-2 SU in their last 11 starts against a right-hander, 18-4 SU in their last 22 Game 3s of a series and 21-5 SU in their last 26 games against American League Central division opponents. The Indians have won just once in Bauer’s last five starts at home and also once in his last five starts overall. Cleveland is also 1-5 SU in Bauer’s last six starts on grass.

Cleveland is sending one of its best pitchers on the mound on Thursday but Minnesota is one of the most balanced teams in the league and has played well this season. I see the Twins continuing their forward March in what should be a low-scoring game with two very good pitchers going toe to toe. The baseball betting odds are saying that this a pick’em game and I’m picking the Minnesota Twins to beat the Cleveland Indians on 6/6/19.

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Other Bets To Make

Minnesota is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played. The Twins are 3-2 ATS in their last five games played on the road. Cleveland is 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games played. The Indians are 1-2 ATS in their last three games played at home.

The Twins are outscoring the Indians by 1.98 runs per game based on the teams’ averages this season. Six out of the last 10 games between these two teams were decided by two or more runs. The Twins’ last six games have been won by at least two runs while the winning margin for Cleveland’s last 6 losses was two or more runs. Prediction: Twins +1.5

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The under is 5-3-2 in the Twins’ last 10 games played. The over is 2-1-2 in Minnesota’s last five games on the road. The total has gone under in 35 out of the 60 games played by the Indians this season. Cleveland has seen the total go under in 17 out of their last 30 home games played. Head to head, the under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams. The under is 6-4 in their last 10 games played in Minnesota.

The over is 6-3-1 in Berrios’ last 10 starts on the road. The under is 4-2 in Berrios’ last six starts against the Indians but over in two out of his three starts in Cleveland. The over is 6-4 in Bauer’s last 10 starts and 6-4 in his last 10 starts at home. The under is 7-3 in Bauer’s last 10 starts against the Twins and 4-3 in his last seven home starts against the Twins. These are two of the best pitchers in the league right now. I think this is likely going to develop into a pitching duel with both teams struggling to get runs. Prediction: Under 8.5

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