The Mississippi State Bulldogs travel to the Vaught-Hemingway Stadium to face the Ole Miss Rebels in an SEC rivalry game to end the regular season.
The Rebels have taken four out of the last six games between these teams including last year’s 31-28 thriller but the Bulldogs drubbed Ole Miss 55-20 the last time these teams met at the Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in 2016.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs saw their two game winning streak end at the hands of the defending champions Alabama Crimson Tide last November 10th, but the Bulldogs quickly bounced back big time with a 52-6 home demolition of the Arkansas Razorbacks in what is one of their best outings of the season.The Bulldogs, whose passing isn’t even in the Top 100 in the country, scored 5 touchdowns against the Razorbacks and totaled 475 yards against Arkansas’ 219.
Mississippi State vs Ole Miss 11/22/18
Moneyline Odds: Mississippi State -425, Ole Miss +355
Odds from Betonline.ag as of 11/21/18
Because Ole Miss is ineligible to play in a bowl game due to NCAA infractions, there is only one bowl game they are eligible to play in: the annual Egg Bowl. With plenty of pride still at stake, Ole Miss looks to end a four game losing streak against their rivals in this year’s edition of the Egg Bowl. The Rebels continued its late season spiral as they dropped a 29-36 overtime game to the Vanderbilt Commodores last November 17th.
Senior quarterback Jordan Ta’amu has thrown for a total of 3,831 yards with 19 touchdowns and 7 interceptions while completing 64.3% of his passes for Ole Miss. He is coming off a 457 yard passing game against the Commodores but against 8th best pass defense in FBS, he could have a tough night and so with his Rebels.
Mississippi State is 13-6 SU in their last 19 games played and 8-1 SU in their last 9 games on the road against teams with losing records. Ole Miss is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games played and 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against Mississippi State. The Rebels are also 7-2 SU in their last 9 home games against The Bulldogs.
I know that this is a big rivalry game and in such games, current forms don’t necessarily matter. The Bulldogs have also had consistency problems with their offense but against the Rebels, that should not be an issue. Ole Miss has allowed at least 30 points in each of their last five games. I think Mississippi State runs away with this and deals Ole Miss a fifth consecutive loss.
We’re picking Mississippi State to beat Ole Miss on 11/22/18.
The Bulldogs are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games played and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road. The Rebels are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 game at home field. Head to head, the Mississippi is 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games when playing Mississippi State and 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine home games against the Bulldogs.
Mississippi State vs Ole Miss 11/22/18
Spread Odds: Mississippi State -10.5 (-119), Ole Miss +10.5 (-101)
Odds from Betonline.ag as of 11/21/18
The underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the Bulldogs are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games at the Rebels’ home field but this game to me isn’t about the trends but about current form. The Bulldogs are playing much better at the moment and their defense has been outstanding. I’m going with the visitors and their top rated defense in this rivalry game.
Prediction Mississippi State -10.5 (-119)
The total has gone under in 7 out of the last 8 games played by Mississippi State and the under is 5-0 in the Bulldogs’ last five road games. The total has gone under in 4 out of the last 5 games between the Bulldogs and Rebels and the under is 6-2 in Mississippi State’s’ last 8 home games against Ole Miss.
Mississippi State vs Ole Miss 11/22/18
Over/Under Odds: Over 59 -110, Under 59 -110
Odds from Betonline.ag as of 11/21/18
The under is 5-0 in the Bulldogs’ last five games after allowing less than 100 rushing yards in their previous game and the under is also 4-0 in their last four games after accumulating more than 200 yards in their previous game. The under is likewise 4-0 in the last 4 games of the Mississippi State Bulldogs following an ATS win. With these two teams going below the total in 12 of their last 17 meetings, the under is a good bet here. And yes, don’t forget that defense has been the Bulldogs’ calling card.
Prediction: Under 59 -110
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