New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills 9/29/19 Betting Odds

The New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills stake their 3-0 records against each other when they meet at the New Era Field on September 29, 2019.

Pats Stay Unbeaten

The New England Patriots improved to 3-0 on the season after defeating the New York Jets 30-14 on Sunday. Tom Brady threw for 28-42 for 306 yards with two touchdowns. Sony Michel and Rex Burkhead scored on rushing touchdown each while Phillip Dorsett and Julian Edelman caught one touchdown apiece. Edelman fell after his catch and was sandwiched by Henry Anderson and Harvey Langi. He injured his rib but should be good to go against the Bills. More than the offense, the story of the game as it has been so far this season has been the New England defense which has yet to allow an offensive touchdown in three games.

Bills Also 3-0

The Buffalo Bills also moved to 3-0 on the season after they defeated the Cincinnati Bengals 21-17 on Sunday. It marked the first time since 2011 and only the third time in 26 years that Buffalo opened the season at 3-0. Josh Allen went 23-36 for a total of 243 yards with one touchdown and one interception. Frank Gore rushed for 76 yards on 14 carries with one touchdown. Tight end Dawson Knox caught three passes for 67 yards with one touchdown. Knox’s fearless and physical catch and rumble up the left sideline for a gain of 49 yards set up the decisive score which rallied the Bills’ to a victory in their home opener. The Bills’ defense sealed the win after Micah Hyde tipped Andy Dalton’s pass to Auden Tate on third and five with 20 second left in the game.

Who Wins?

New England is 8-0 SU in their last eight games played and the Patriots are 7-0 SU in their last seven games against the AFC conference. Buffalo is 5-1 SU in their last six games played and 4-1 SU in their last five games played at home. Head to head, the Patriots are 8-2 SU in their last 10 meetings including 5-0 SU in their last five meetings.

The Patriots are the NFL betting favorites to win this game. Tom Brady has not looked 42 in the first three games of the season and the Patriots look like they have not missed Rob Gronkowski a bit. Brady has seven touchdowns on the season and has yet to throw an interception. More impressive than Brady and his offense is the New England defense which has yet to allow an offensive touchdown this season. I like the Patriots’ form heading to this matchup which they have dominated in the last couple of years. I’m picking New England to pick up the road win here. Prediction: New England Patriots

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Other Bets To Make

The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games played while the Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last five games played. Buffalo is also 4-2 ATS in their last six games played against the AFC East Division. Head to head, New England is 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings and 5-0 ATS in their last five road games against Buffalo.

New England has outscored Buffalo by nine points per game in their last 10 games played. The Patriots have outscored the Bills by 17.33 points per game in their last three meetings. New England is off to a great start this season. Tom Brady has gotten the offense going but their defense has allowed just a total of 17 points in three games and they have won by at least 16 points per game this year. I think the Patriots win this one by more than a touchdown. Prediction: Patriots -7

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The total has gone under in 11 out of the Patriots’ last 15 games played and under in five out of New England’s last seven games played on the road. The under is also 4-1 in the Patriots’ last five games played in September. The under is 5-1 in the last six games played by the Bills. The total has gone under in 8 out of the last 12 games played by Buffalo against the AFC conference and under in their last five September games. Head to head, the under is 6-4 in their last 10 meetings and 2-1 in their last three meetings.

These teams have combined to score 41.8 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 40 points per game in their last three encounters. The New England defense has started the season strong, allowing just a total of 17 points in three games played. The Bills have averaged 22 points per game in their first three assignments. The trends point to the under and these teams have historically played to the under. New England is off to a fast start and their defense has been as good as their offense. Both these teams haven’t topped the 44 total in their games this season. Prediction: Under 44

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