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The New England Patriots look to end a four-game losing streak against the lowly New York Jets on Monday night. New England is coming off a close loss to the Buffalo Bills while the Jets were blown out by the Kansas City Chiefs in their most recent assignment. The Patriots head to this game at 2-5 on the season while the Jets are still winless at 0-8 on the year.
New England has won the last eight head-to-head meetings between these two teams and they are 5-3 ATS during that stretch.
New England Patriots
The New England Patriots have lost four straight games after dropping a close 24-21 game against the Buffalo Bills the last time out. New England tied the game on a two-yard run by Cam Newton but Tyler Bass gave the Bills the lead back with a 28-yard field goal. Newton then fumbled the ball away in the final minute for their fifth loss of the year. New England was in the red zone at the time of the fumble and could have tied the game with a field goal had they not turn the ball over.
Newton has completed 66% of his passes while passing for only 1,143 passing yards and two passing touchdowns. The former MVP has been sacked 12 times and has thrown 7 interceptions this season. Newton leads the team with 298 rushing yards and six rushing touchdowns. Damien Harris rushed for 102 yards on 16 carries with one score. He has a total of 279 rushing yards this season. Julie Edelman has 21 catches and a team-best 315 receiving yards but is out with a knee injury.
New England’s defense has been solid. The Patriots have nine interceptions, 10 sacks, and have four fumble recoveries. They have the 12tn best scoring defense in the league at 23.9 points per game allowed.
New York Jets
It seems like an eternity ago since the Jets las won. Halfway into the 2020 season, New York is winless and has covered only once this season. In their last game, the Jets were down only five points in the second quarter but then gave up three quick touchdowns and allowed the Kansas City Chiefs to run away with a 35-9 victory. New York put up just 221 yards of offense and averaged just 3.9 yards per play against Kansas City, half of what the Chiefs produced in that game.
Sam Darnold had another rough outing with only 133 yards while completing 18 of his 30 passes. Darnold has passed for a total of 1,045 yards in six games played this season with three touchdowns and six interceptions. Darnold has been sacked 19 times this year and is really struggling badly this year. Frank Gore leads the team with 340 rushing yards but has yet to score a touchdown. The Jets are averaging just 103.1 rushing yards per game. Jamison Crowder leads the team with 383 receiving yards on 29 catches with two TD grabs.
New York is allowing 29.8 points per game, 5th most in the league while ranking dead last in scoring at only 11.8 points per game scored this season. They are also last in passing yards at 155.9 per contest and are 22nd in rushing. The Jets are also in the bottom in total yards and yards per play this season.
Who Wins?
New England is 1-5 SU in their last six games played. The Patriots are 0-3 SU in their three road games played this season. New York is 0-8 SU in their last eight games played. The Jets are 1-4 SU in their last five games played at home. Head to head, the Patriots are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games played against the Jets. New England is also 5-1 SU in their last six road games against the New York Jets.
Newton averaged 274 passing yards while completing 71% of his passes in his first two games as a Patriot. He’s regressed to 147.8 passing yards per game on 62.4% passing with six interceptions and only one touchdown during that period. The loss dropped New England to 2-5 SU and 3-4 ATS on the season. But bad as Cam and the Patriots have been in their last four games, the Jets have been terrible, period.
The Jets have been averaging 7.3 points per game in their last four games played and have not scored more than 10 during that period. Last week, they were 19.6 point underdogs against the Kansas City Chiefs and they lost by 26 points. New York is 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS this season with an averaging losing margin of 18 points. With another lost season, the best they can hope for is to get the no. 1 pick of the next NFL draft.
New England has not looked good during their current four-game losing skid. However, the Jets are just what the doctor ordered for them. This team has looked bad from every angle and they look like a hopeless case this season. I like the Patriots to end their slump in New York.
Prediction: New England Patriots
Other Bets To Make
The Patriots are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games played. New England is 1-2 ATS in three road games played this season, and 4-1 ATS in their last five games played against the AFC East division. The Jets are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games played. New York is also 1-3 ATS in four home games played this season, 1-5 ATS in their last six games against the AFC, and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 November games.
Patriots
-9.5 (-110)
Jets
+9.5 (-110)
Odds from BetOnline as of 11/09/2020
The Patriots are struggling right now but New York is really a very terrible team. Every facet of the Jets’ game has looked bad this season. They don’t have a clear running game and Sam Darnold doesn’t look like the quarterback they need. Darnold is expected to miss the game and an over-the-hill Joe Flacco will start in his spot. The Jets have not lost a game by less than eight points this season. I don’t think that streak will end on Monday night. I’ll eat the chalk with New England.
Prediction: Patriots -9.5
The total has gone over in two of three road games played by the Patriots. The over is 4-1 in New England’s last five games played on the road. The under is 4-2 in their last six games played against the AFC. The total has gone under in five out of the last six games played by the Jets. The under is also 4-1 in their last five games played against the AFC East. Head to head, the total has gone under in seven out of the last eight games played between these two teams.
Over
41.5 (-110)
Under
41.5 (-110)
Odds from BetOnline as of 11/09/2020
Anything above 40 points in this game seems too much to ask. The Jets have not scored more than 10 points in their last four outings and have only scored a total of 29 over that period. This game really is a question of how many points the Patriots can score. I won’t be surprised to see them put up 30 but with good defense, the Jets won’t add much to that score. The Pats should win big but the Jets won’t help them with the score.
Prediction: Under 41.5
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