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New England Patriots vs Washington Redskins 10/6/19 Prediction

The New England Patriots take their unbeaten record to the FedEx Field when they take on the Washington Redskins on October 6, 2019.

Pats Stay Unbeaten

The New England Patriots defeated the Buffalo Bills 16-10 on Sunday to stay unbeaten on the current season at 4-0 SU. The Patriots defense bailed out Tom Brady in his most underwhelming performance of the early season. New England dealth Buffalo its first loss of the season after Josh Allen could not finish the game following a helmet to helmet collision with Jonathan Jones.

Brady went 18-39 with 150 yards and one interception without a TD pass. Sony Michel rushed for 67 yards on 17 carries. Meanwhile, James White caught 8 passes for 57 yards and Josh Gordon had 46 receiving yards. The New England defense was outstanding as they held the Bills to just 10 points and Josh Allen to 13-28 passing for 158 yards with three interceptions. The Patriots also sacked Allen four times in the game.

Redskins Still Winless

After four games played, the Washington Redskins are still winless in the 2019 NFL season. Washington was held to just 3 points on Sunday and the New York Giants scored 24 on them to take the victory. This is Washington’s worst start since losing their first five games during the 2001 season.

First round pick Dwayne Haskins replaced Case Keenum in the second quarter and the rookie got intercepted three times while passing for 107 yards.Keenum was also intercepted once and he passed for only 37 yards. Washington’s running game could only produce a total of 55 yards with Adrian Peterson accounting for 28 on 11 carries. Chris Thompson had four catches for 56 yards as the Washington offense could not produce points on Sunday night. They will face another uphill battle against a New England defense that has been creating havoc so far this season.

Who Wins?

The New England Patriots are 9-0 SU in their last nine games played. They are 2-0 SU in two road games played this season and are 8-0 SU in their last 8 October games played. Washington is 0-6 SU in their last six games played. The Redskins are 0-6 SU in their last six games played at home and 1-8 SU in their last 9 games against the AFC East. Head to head, the Patriots are 3-6 SU in their last nine meetings but are 3-0 SU in their last three head to head encounters.

These two teams are trending in different directions this season. The Patriots are 4-0 SU this season while the Redskins are 0-4 SU to start the season. New England is the second-highest scoring team in the league and ranks 1st in total yards allowed and points per game allowed. Washington is in the bottom 10 in those three categories and I just don’t see them beating the Patriots here. New England is bound to lose a game soon but not to the Redskins, even if this game is going to be played at the FedEx Field. New England should be heavy NFL betting favorites here.  Prediction: New England Patriots

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Other Bets To Make

The Patriots are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games played. New England is 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the NFC conference and 5-0 ATS in their last five Week 5 games played. The Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last five games played and 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the AFC conference. Washington is 2-4 ATS in their last six games played on a Sunday. Head to head, the Patriots are 2-1-2 ATS in their last five meetings and 2-0-1 ATS in their last three encounters.

What are the Spread Odds?

Patriots

-14.5 (-108)

Redskins

+14.5 (-112)

Odds were taken from Betonline as of 9/30/19

The Patriots have outscored the Redskins by 12.4 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 23 points per game in their last three head to head matches. New England has won its first four games by an average winning margin of 23.75 points per game but are coming off a six point win over the Bills. The Redskins have lost by an average margin of 13 points per game this season and their last three losses have been by double digits with the last two by at least 16 points per game. Washington’s defense has been terrible and is 7th from the bottom at 402.7 total yards per game allowed. I think the Patriots can cover this 14.5 points spread. Prediction: Patriots -14.5

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The total has gone under in four out of the last five games played by New England. The under is 6-2 in the Patriots’ last eight games played on the road. The total has gone over in four out of the last six games played by the Redskins. The over is 10-5 in Washington’s last 15 October games but the under is 9-1 in their last 10 Week 5 games. Head to head, the over is 3-2 in their last five meetings.

What are the Totals Odds?

Patriots

O 45.5 -110

Redskins

U 45.5 -110

Odds were taken from Betonline as of 9/30/19

These teams have combined to score 48.6 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 52.34 points per game in their last three games played. New England has not gone over the 45 point total this season yet while Washington has been there in three out of four games played. Washington’s defense has allowed 31.33 points per game this season. Tom Brady is going to pick that defense apart. Prediction: Over 45.5

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Chris Blain

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