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The New Orleans Saints look to extend their league best 10 game winning streak on Thursday 11/29/18 as they take on the streaking Dallas Cowboys at the AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.
The Saints solidified their lead in the NFC South with a 31-17 win over the Atlanta Falcons last November 22nd while the Cowboys won their third game in a row to take the driver’s seat in the NFC East.
Number One Run Defense
The New Orleans Saints are the hottest team in the league. After losing their opening game of the season to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the Saints have piled up 10 straight victories and are a +13.9 in scoring over their opponents this season. The kind of dominance has put the Saints among the favorites to win, not just the NFC but the Super Bowl as well.
While the Saints have the obvious edge in offense, they also have the run defense which can stop Ezekiel Elliott, the heart and soul of the Dallas offense. New Orleans has the #1 rush defense in the league, allowing just 73.2 rushing yards per game. It’s proven against the top running backs today with the Saints holding Todd Gurley to 68 yards on 13 carrier and Saquon Barkley to six carried for 56 rushing yards. That’s going to be the Cowboy’s main concern in this game.
New Orleans Saints vs Dallas Cowboys 11/29/18
Moneyline Odds: Saints -350, Cowboys +290
Odds from Sportsbetting.ag as of 11/27/18
League’s Hottest Running Back
The Dallas Cowboys have put together a three game winning streak and now find themselves on top of their division despite starting the season slow. The Cowboys have one of the best defenses in the league this season but have averaged only 21.3 points per game. However, that offense has stepped up in the last three weeks, scoring 26.67 points per game.
Dallas has also gotten a big lift from the newly acquired Amari Cooper who has made a big impact in Dallas since coming over at the trade deadline. Cooper finished with 8 catches for 180 yards with two touchdowns during the Cowboys’ Thanksgiving Day win over the Washington Redskins.
Who Wins?
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games played and 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road. Dallas is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games played and 4-1 SU in their last 5 games played at home. Head to head, the Saints are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games against the Cowboys and New Orleans is also 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road against Dallas.
Dallas has the better defense at 4th in the league in points given up at just 19.4 per game. However, while the Cowboys’ rush defense is 4th in rush yards per game allowed, its pass defense ranks just 12th at 237.5 yards per game. That’s going to be a problem against New Orleans whose starting quarterback has the highest quarterback rating in the league at 87.3 and is ranked 8th in the NFL in passing yards per game at 285.
Dallas has good defense but I don’t think it’s good enough to stop the rampaging Saints and Drew Brees. Make no mistake, Ezekiel Elliott and Amari Cooper are absolute studs but outside the two, Dak Prescott doesn’t have too many weapons and scorers around him..And I don’t think the Cowboys have enough firepower to stop the Saints.
We’re picking the New Orleans Saints to beat the Dallas Cowboys on 11/26/18.
Other Bets To Make
The Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games played and 5-0 ATS in their last five road games played. The Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played and 3-9 in their last 12 games against the Saints.
New Orleans Saints vs Dallas Cowboys 11/29/18
Spread Odds: Saints -7.5 (-107), Cowboys +7.5 (-113)
Odds from Sportsbetting.ag as of 11/27/18
The Saints are on an absolute tear right now, having won their last five games by an average winning margin of 22.40 points per game with no winning margin fewer than 10 points per game. In their last three games, they have even upped the bar, winning by an average of 31.33 points per game. At some point, you’ve got to wonder when a long win streak like the Saints’ is going to end. It’s going to end at some point but I don’t think it will be against the Cowboys who don’t have the offense to match the Saints’ firepower.
Prediction: Saints -7.5
The total has gone under in four out of the last six games played by the Saints. The under is also 3-2 in the Saints’ five road games this season. On the other hand, the total has gone over in four out of the last six games played by the Cowboys and the over is also 4-1 in the last five home games played by Dallas. Head to head, the total has gone over in four out of the last five meetings between these two teams and the over is 5-1 in the last six games between the Saints and Cowboys in Dallas.
New Orleans Saints vs Dallas Cowboys 11/29/18
Over/Under Odds: Over 52.5 -109, Under 52.5 -111
Odds from Sportsbetting.ag as of 11/27/18
The last 10 games between these two teams have yielded an average combined score of 55.8 points. The Saints are averaging 41 points per game in their last five games and they have scored at least 45 in three of those games. They’re just on fire right now and based on their last game, it doesn’t appear that they are slowing down soon.
Prediction: Over 52.5
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