New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5/27/19 Odds, Preview, and Prediction

The New York Mets and the Los Angeles Dodgers open a four-game set on Monday at Dodger Stadium.

Left-hander Jason deGrom gets the call to start for the Mets on Monday night. The 2018 Cy Young winner has pitched in a total of 10 games this season and has a record of 3-5 with an ERA of 3.72, a WHIP of 1.14 and BAA of .223. The Mets are just 4-6 SU in his 10 starts this season.

The 30-year old has pitched in a total of 58 innings this season and has given up 25 runs (24 earned) on 49 hits with 8 home runs while walking 17 batters and fanning 75 others. In his last outing, deGrom allowed just two hits and one earned run in 6.0 innings pitched while getting the win as the Mets defeated the Nationals 6-1 last May 22nd.

Jeff McNeil leads the Mets with his .333 batting average while first baseman Pete Alonso tops the team in RBIs and homers with a total of 38 and 17, respectively. The Mets are hitting at a .243 clip this season and have scored a total of 239 runs as a team this season.

For the Dodgers, it will be ace Clayton Kershaw who will open on top of the mound against the Mets. The 31-year old left-hander has started seven games this season and has a record of 4-0. The Dallas, Texas native has an ERA of 3.33, WHIP of 0.98 and BAA of .220 this season. The Dodgers are 7-0 in his seven starts this year.

Kershaw has been outstanding with only 17 earned runs yielded on 37 hits with 8 home runs while allowing 8 walks and forcing 44 strikeouts this season. In his last start, Kershaw allowed just two earned runs on six hits in 6.1 innings as he got his fourth win of the season with the Dodgers’ 7-3 win over the Rays.

For the Dodgers, it’s Cody Bellinger who leads the team in offense. Bellinger is having one of the all-time best hitting seasons and he is averaging at a very high .386 clip while also picking up 48 RBIs and 18 home runs this year. As a team, the Dodgers are hitting at a .258 average and have scored a total of 285 runs this season.

Who Wins?

DeGrom isn’t in Cy Young form yet but has been throwing better with an ERA of 2.81 in five starts this month. He was 0-1 with an ERA of 3.00 in two starts against the Dodgers last season including a six inning, one run no decision at Chavez Ravine. On the other hand, Kershaw has extended his unbeaten streak to 19 successive starts after delivering his fifth quality start of the season against the Rays last Tuesday. Since July 27, 2018, Kershaw has a record of 10-0 win 9 no-decisions during that period.

The Mets are 4-6 SU in their last 10 games played. New York is 0-5 SU in their last five games played at home. The Dodgers are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played. Los Angeles is 3-1 SU in their last four games played at home. Head to head, the Dodgers are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games against Mets. Los Angeles is also 6-3 SU in their last 10 home games against the New York Mets and 33-16 SU in their last 43 games as betting favorites.

It’s hard to bet against Clayton Kershaw right now even if the law of averages dictates that he may be due for an off game after this impressive unbeaten run. But unless it happens, I’m not buying that school of thought but am betting based on history and a proven arm. I’m picking the Los Angeles Dodgers to beat the New York Mets on 5/27/19.

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Other Bets To Make

New York is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played and they are 0-5 ATS in their last 10 games. Los Angeles is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played. The Dodgers are 3-1 ATS in their last four games played at home.

The Dodgers have outscored the Mets by an average of three runs per game in their last 10 meetings and Los Angeles has won Kershaw’s last three starts by an average winning margin of 4 runs per game. I think the Dodgers cover the spread here. Prediction: Dodgers -1.5

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The total has gone over in six out of the last 10 games played by the Mets. The under is 3-2 in New York’s last five games played on the road. The over is 5-4-1 in the Dodgers’ last 10 games played. The under is 2-1-1 in Los Angeles’ last four games played at home. Head to head, the total has gone over in six out of the last 10 games between the Mets and Dodgers. The over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams in Los Angeles.

The total has gone over in six out of the last seven games played in Los Angeles, the over is 4-2 in the Mets’ last six games played in May and the over is 6-0 in the Dodgers’ last six games overall. DeGrom is nowhere Cy Young form yet and the Dodgers’ offense has scored at least seven runs in their last four wins. With the way the Dodgers’ have been scoring as of late, I think this one’s going over. Prediction: Over 6.5

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