New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5/30/19 Odds, Preview, and Prediction

The New York Mets and Los Angeles Dodgers conclude a four-game set on Thursday at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles.

Veteran left-hander Jason Vargas gets the nod to open for the Mets in Game 4 against the Dodgers. The 36-year old Long Beach State product has started a total of seven games this season and has posted a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 5.22, a WHIP of 1.57 and a BAA of .270. The Mets are 4-3 in his seven starts this season.

The Apple Valley, California native has pitched a total of 29.1 innings this season and has given up a total of 17 earned runs on 31 hits with 5 home runs while walking 15 batters and striking out 23 other hitters. In his last start, Vargas allowed just one earned run on a hit in 5.0 innings pitched. He got the win as the Mets beat the Tigers 5-4 last May 25th.

Jeff McNeil leads the Mets with his .333 batting average this season. Meanwhile, Pete Alonso leads New York with 17 home runs and a total of 39 RBIs this season while batting at .254. As a team, the Mets have scored 251 runs on a .246 batting average.

For the Dodgers, it will be Hyun-Jin Ryu who gets the nod to open on top of the mound on Thursday. The 32-year old from Incheon in South Korea has been impressive in 10 starts this season. Ryu has posted a record of 7-1 with an ERA of 1.65, a WHIP of 0.83 and a BAA of .212.

In his last outing, Ryu allowed just two earned runs on 10 hits in 6.0 innings pitched. He got the victory, his fourth in his last four starts, as the Dodgers defeated the Pirates 7-2 last May 25th. The Dodgers have a record of 7-3 in Ryu’s 10 starts this season and have won five out of their last six games with the Korean left-hander.

Cody Bellinger has been the main man for the Los Angeles offense. The Dodgers’ first baseman has been hitting at another level this season. He is batting at a .382 clip while hitting a total of 20 home runs and totaling 51 RBIs on the season. As a team, Los Angeles is batting at .261 and have scored a total of 297 runs already this season.

Who Wins?

The Mets are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played. New York is 12-18 SU in their 30 games played at home this season. The Dodgers are also 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played. Los Angeles is 20-7 SU in 27 home games played this season. Head to head, the Dodgers are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played against the Mets. Los Angeles is also 7-3 SU in their last 10 meetings played at Dodger Stadium.

The Mets are 7-3 SU in Vargas’ last 10 starts, 4-6 SU in his last 10 starts on the road, 1-3 SU in his last four starts against the Dodgers and 0-2 SU in his two starts at Dodger Stadium The Dodgers are 7-3 SU in Ryu’s last 10 starts, 9-1 SU in his last 10 starts at home, 5-1 SU in his last six starts against the Mets and 2-1 SU in his three career starts in Los Angeles against the Mets.

New York is 3-7 SU in Vargas’ last 10 starts on four-days rest and 0-5 in his last five starts against the National League West. Los Angeles is 4-0 SU in Ryu’s last four starts after a Quality Start in his last outing, 5-0 SU in his last five starts in Game 4 of a series, 5-0 SU in Ryu’s last five Thursday starts and 4-1 in his last five starts against the National League East.

Ryu is having an excellent start to the season. He is 5-0 at Dodgers Stadium this year with an ERA of 1.22 at home. The Mets have played well against left-handed starters but I think Ryu is on another level right now. On the other hand, Vargas has a 6.75 ERA on the road this season and the Dodgers have been piling up the runs in their last 10 games. I’ll take the betting favorites here because they are playing at home and have the pitcher who has much better form. I’m picking the Los Angeles Dodgers to beat the New York Mets on 5/30/19.

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Other Bets To Make

The Mets are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games played and 15-15 ATS in their thirty games played on the road this season. On the other hand, the Dodgers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played and Los Angeles is 15-12 ATS in their 27 home games played so far this season.

The Dodgers have outscored the Mets by an average of 2.1 runs per game over their last 10 meetings. The last four games between these two teams had a winning margin of at least four runs. The Dodgers have won their last seven games by at least four runs per game. This should be a clear win for the Dodgers who are on a roll right now. Prediction: Dodgers -1.5

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The over is 6-3-1 in the Mets’ last 10 games played. New  York has seen the total go over in sixteen out of their thirty games played on the road so far this season. The total has gone over in eight out of the Dodgers’ last 10 games played. The over is 14-11-2 in Los Angeles’ 27 home games played so far this season.

The over is 3-1 in Vargas’ last four starts against the Dodgers, 6-2-2 in his last 10 starts on the road and the over is also 2-0 in his two career starts in Dodger Stadium The over is 8-2 in Ryu’s last 10 starts at home and 2-1 in his three career starts against the Mets in Dodger Stadium.  Vargas is allowing 5.22 runs per game this season and the Dodgers have scored at least six runs per game in their last seven wins and in seven out of their last 10 games. That Los Angeles offense should be on display against the struggling Vargas. Prediction: Over 8

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