New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants 08/17/2021 MLB Odds, Preview, and Prediction

The New York Mets take on the San Francisco Giants in Game 2 of a three-game set on Tuesday night at Oracle Park.

These two teams were still playing Game 1 as of this writing with the Giants up 7-5 in the top of the 8th inning. The Mets are coming off a series where they were swept 3-0 by the L.A. Dodgers while the Giants took their four-game set against the Colorado Rockies 3-1.

This will mark the second of six meetings between these two teams this season.

New York Mets

The Mets have struggled as of late and they have dropped to 3rd place in the AL East with a 59-58 record. They are currently 2.5 games behind their division leaders Atlanta Braves but are 6.5 games off the wild card race in NL.

The Mets rank 24th in the majors with an OPS of .695 and are averaging just 3.78 runs per game this season. They have been playing a little better as of late with an average of 3.97 runs per game in their last 28 games with 35 home runs. Pete Alonso leads the team with 65 RBI and 23 home runs with an OPS of .823.

Right-hander Marcus Stroman will toe the rubber for the Mets in Game 2. The 30-year old is 8-11 this season despite having an impressive 2.79 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP in 24 starts this season. Stroman has allowed two or fewer runs in five out of his last six starts but has completed six innings only once during that span. The Giants are batting .290 in 66 plate appearances against Stroman.

San Francisco Giants

The Giants have been one of the best stories in the majors this season and lead the majors with a record of 76-42. San Francisco is currently four games ahead of the defending champions Dodgers in the division and league standings right now. San Francisco defeated the Colorado Rockies 3-1 in their most recent series.

The Giants rank 5th in OPS at .765 and they are tied with the Toronto Blue Jays with 162 home runs on the season. San Francisco is also 4th with a total of 440 walks. Shortstop Brandon Crawford is the team’s best offensive weapon with 69 RBI and 19 home runs with an OPS of .905.

Logan Webb will open on top of the mound for the Giants. The 26-year old right-hander is in the middle of a breakout season where he has posted a record of 6-3 with an ERA of 2.96 in 16 starts. Webb has allowed two or fewer earned runs in each of his last 10 starts and the Giants are 9-1 during that period. Webb is 4-0 with an ERA of 158 when pitching at home this season. Webb has not allowed a home run when pitching at home and he’s never conceded more than one home run in any game this season.

Who Wins?

The Mets are 4-10 in their last 14 games played. New York is 1-6 in their last seven games played on the road, 1-5 in their last six Game 1 of a series, 1-5 in their last six games against a starter with a WHIP of less than 1.15, 0-6 in their last six games as the betting underdog, and 0-6 in their last six games against an opponent with a winning record.

The Giants are 7-1 in their last eight games played. San Francisco is also 7-1 in their last eight games played at home, 8-2 in their last 10 Monday games, 4-0 in their last four games against the National League East, 39-14 in their last 53 games as home favorites, 24-9 in their last 33 Game 1 of a series, and 35-17 in their last 52 games played on grass.

Stroman has been pitching well this season and he is coming off a good start against the Nationals the last time out. Meanwhile, Webb is having a breakout season and has given up two earned runs or less in his previous 10 starts.

The Giants rank first in the league in home runs and are in the Top 10 in hits, RBI, walks, batting average, OBP, SLG, and OPS. New York has been terrible on offense this season. They rank in the bottom 5 in the league when it comes to runs, hits, home runs, and RBI. They are also in the bottom 10 in batting average.

With both starting pitchers throwing well this season, this game should go down to the better offense and the Giants have that. Give me the Giants to win Game 2.

Prediction: San Francisco Giants -153

Over/Under Betting

The total has gone under in the Mets’ last four games as betting underdogs on the road. The under is 4-0 in their last four road games, 6-1-2 in their last nine games against an opponent with a winning record, and 6-1-1 in their last eight games when the total is set to 9-10.5.

The total has gone under in eight out the Giants’ last 11 games against the National League East, 3-1-1 in their last five games when the total is set between 9.0-10.5, 6-3 in their last nine games played against the Mets, and 5-1 in their last six home games against New York.

These two teams rank in the Top 10 in most pitching categories and we have two starters who are having terrific seasons. Webb has not allowed more than two earned runs in his last 10 starts while Stroman has given up only 12 home runs in 25 starts this season.

Earlier, we talked about the Mets rankings among the bottom teams in a lot of offensive statistics and while the Giants will score enough runs to win, they won’t get help to get the total go over. This should be a low-scoring game.

Prediction: Under 8

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