The Denver Nuggets take on the Philadelphia 76ers at the Wells Fargo Center on Tuesday in a showdown between two of the NBA’s elite teams.
The Nuggets were Western Conference Finalists last season and they are currently the leaders in the Northwest Conference with their 14-7 SU record. Denver heads to Philly in a slump with just one win in their last five games played. On the other hand, the 76ers are one of the favorites in the Eastern Conference. Philly is currently 17-7 on the season and they are in second place in the Atlantic Division, one-half game behind the Boston Celtics. The Sixers have won six out of their last seven games played and they are so far 12-0 SU at home this season.
In a Slump
After a deep playoff run last season, the Denver Nuggets are one of the expected contenders in the Western Conference this season. But after a 16-3 start, the Nuggets have lost four out of their last five games played. In their last game, Denver dropped a 102-105 contest to the Brooklyn Nets.
Jamal Murray is averaging 18.1 points, 4.4 rebounds, 4.8 assists and 1.6 steals per game. Nikola Jokic is posting a double-double with 15.7 points and 10.1 rebounds while also leading the team in assists at 6.1 dimes per contest. Will Barton, Paul Millsap, and Gary Harris are also scoring in double figures.
The Nuggets are 22nd in the league in scoring at 106.7 points per game this season. They are the best defensive team in the league at 101.8 points per game allowed. Denver is ranked 7th in rebounds at 46.7 boards grabbed per contest and they are also 6th in passing at 26.1 assists per game.
Unbeaten at Home
The Philadelphia 76ers have won 10 out of their last 12 games played and they are currently in second place in the Atlantic Division with a record of 17-7. In their last game played, the Sixers beat the Toronto Raptors 110-104 to remain unbeaten at the Wells Fargo Center with a 12-0 home record.
Joel Embiid leads the Sixers with 21.9 points and 12.7 rebounds per game. Tobias Harris is contributing 19.2 points and 7.0 rebounds per game while Ben Simmons is scoring 14.3 points and issuing a team-high 8.4 assists per game for Philly. Al Horford is also helping the team with 13.9 points and 6.7 rebounds per contest.
The Sixers rank 16th in scoring at 110.2 points per game this season. They have the 5th best scoring defense in the league at 104.0 points allowed per game. Philadelphia is 8th in rebounding at 46.4 boards grabbed per contest and they are 3rd in assists at 26.8 dimes per contest.
Who Wins?
Denver is 1-4 SU in their last five games played. The Nuggets are 6-4 SU in their last 10 games played on the road, 13-5 SU in their last 18 games against the Eastern Conference, and 6-2 SU in their last 8 games played against the Atlantic Division. Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in their last seven games played. The Sixers are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games played at home. Head to head, the Sixers are 4-2 SU in their last six games played against the Nuggets.
Denver is having problems right now and they have lost four out of their last five games played. The Nuggets don’t have any reported injuries right now and the team is just struggling offensively as they have scored not more than 102 points in their four losses during this slump.
The Sixers have won six out of seven and they are coming off a big win over the Toronto Raptors. Tobias Harris is on a roll and Ben Simmons is also playing well for Philly right now. Joel Embiid is coming off a bad game and I’m sure he remembers that the Sixers lost to the Nuggets in their first encounter.
Three of Denver’s four losses during their current slump have come on the road and they will be put to the test against a Sixers team which is still undefeated at home this season. I like how Philly is playing right now. I’m picking Philadelphia to come up with another home win over a contender.
Prediction: Philadelphia 76ers
Other Bets to Make
Denver is 1-4 ATS in their last five games played. The Nuggets are 4-5-1 ATS in their last 10 games played on the road, and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games played in December. Philadelphia is 3-1 ATS in their last four games played. The Sixers are 7-5 ATS in twelve home games played this season, 6-1 ATS in their last seven games played against the Northwest Division, and 6-3 ATS in their last nine games played in December. Head to head, the Sixers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Nuggets.
Nuggets
+4 (-111)
Sixers
-4 (-109)
Odds from BetOnline as of 12/10/19
The Nuggets are currently in a funk and they have lost four of five games and have been able to cover once in their last eight games played in December. The Sixers are undefeated at home in their last 12 games and they have covered well against Denver. I like Embiid to have a bounce-back game and Tobias Harris to continue lighting it up.
Prediction: Philadelphia 76ers
The total has gone under in five out of the last six games played by the Nuggets. Denver has seen the total go under in five out of their last seven games played on the road. The total has gone under in seven out of the last 10 games played by the Nuggets. The under is 7-4-1 in Denver’s 12 home games played this season, 4-1 in their last five games against the Northwest Division, and 7-3 in their last 10 Tuesday games. Head to head, the total has gone under in six out of the last 10 games played by these two teams.
Over
206 (-110)
Under
206 (-110)
Odds from BetOnline as of 12/10/19
These teams have combined to score an average of 215.0 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 220 points per game in their most recent three encounters. Denver has scored 102 or fewer points in four out of their last five games played while the Sixers defense has allowed 104 or fewer points in eight out of their last 10 games played. I like the Sixers defense limiting the Nuggets here.
Prediction: Under 206