Denver Nuggets vs Detroit Pistons 01/25/2022 NBA Odds and Prediction

The Denver Nuggets visit the Detroit Pistons at the Little Caesars Arena on Tuesday night.

Denver is 24-21 SU in 45 games played this season and they are currently in second place in the Northwest Division. The Nuggets are 6th in the Western Conference team standings and would earn an outright playoff spot if the postseason began today.

Meanwhile, the Pistons have the league’s second to the worst record. Detroit is 11-35 on the season and they head to this game with a 4-6 SU record in their last 10 games played. The Pistons are coming off back-to-back losses to the Sacramento Kings and the Nuggets.

These teams played in Denver last Sunday with the Nuggets beating the Pistons 117-111.

Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic scored 34 points including four crucial free throws that helped the Nuggets survive the Pistons’ spirited fourth-quarter comeback. The 2021 NBA MVP also added nine rebounds and 8 assists to lead his team. Will Barton added 14 points while Aaron Gordon scored 13 for Denver.

The Nuggets rank 18th in the league in scoring at 107.9 points per game this season. They are 27th in rebounding at 43.0 boards grabbed per contest and are 4th in passing at 26.8 assists per game. Denver is also ranked 11th in scoring defense at 106.9 points per game allowed.

Detroit Pistons

With Jerami Grant out, Detroit got 18 points each from Cade Cunningham, Cory Joseph, and Isaiah Stewart last Sunday in their loss to the Nuggets. Trey Lyles also scored 18 points off the bench while Saddiq Bey had 11 points and 7 rebounds. The Pistons shot 56% from the floor but were just 11-29 from three-point distance.

Detroit is the second-lowest scoring team in the NBA at 102.0 points per game. They are also 29th in passing at 42.5 boards grabbed per contest, and 27th in passing at 22.2 assists per game. The Pistons are 24th in scoring defense at 111.6 points per game allowed.

Who Wins?

The Nuggets are 6-3 SU in their last nine games played. Denver is 11-12 SU in 23 road games played this season, and 4-2 SU in their last six games against the Eastern Conference. The Pistons are 1-4 SU in their last five games played. Detroit is 7-14 SU in 21 home games played this season.

You have to give credit to the Pistons for keeping close to Denver in their game last week. But Detroit cannot just rely on fourth-quarter rallies to win games. They must play with consistency from start to finish.

The Pistons will be without Jerami Grant and Kelly Olynyk and they wish both big men were here against Jokic. Denver is still missing key players in Murray and Porter Jr. but they still have the reigning MVP on their side. The addition of Forbes will boost Denver’s outside shooting and give them another scoring option.

In the end, the Nuggets have too much offense for the Pistons to handle.

Prediction: Denver Nuggets

Other Bets to Make

Denver is 1-4 ATS in their last five games played. The Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games when their opponent scores 100 or more points in their previous game, 1-4 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 100 points in their previous game, 1-4 ATS in their last five games after an ATS loss, 1-5 ATS in their last six games after a straight up win, and 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games.

Detroit is 6-3 ATS in their last nine games played. The Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last five games played at home, 4-1 in their last five games after allowing more than 100 points in their previous game, 4-1 ATS in their last five games after a straight up loss, 5-2 ATS in their last seven games when their opponent allows 100 or more points in their previous game, and 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games against an opponent with a losing road record.

Head to head, the Pistons are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Nuggets.

Denver has failed to cover in four out of their last five games played and they have been hurt by injuries to Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. Nikola Jokic will be unstoppable here but the Pistons have proved they can keep close to the Nuggets.

Detroit has covered the spread in four out of their last five games and six out of their last nine overall. They covered the 12-point spread after losing by six points to the Nuggets in Denver last Sunday. Although the spread is lesser here, the Pistons should be able to keep the game close.

Give me the plus points and the Pistons.

Prediction: Pistons +7

The total has gone over in each of the last six games played by the Nuggets. The over is 4-0 in their last four games after an ATS loss, 5-0 in their last five games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game, 5-1-1 in their last seven games against an opponent with a losing straight up record, 6-2 in their last eight road games against an opponent with a losing home record, and 5-2 in their last seven Tuesday games.

The total has gone over in 14 of the Pistons’ last 20 games played. The over is 5-1 in their last six games against an opponent with a losing road record, 4-1 in their last five games when their opponent scores 100 or more points in their previous game, 10-3-1 in their last 14 games against an opponent with a winning straight up record, and 3-1-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams.

Denver is ranked just 18th in the league in scoring at 107.9 points per game. However, Detroit’s scoring defense is in the bottom 10 at 111.6 points per game allowed so Denver’s going to get better scoring opportunities here, which they will capitalize on.

The Nuggets have scored 117 points or more in five out of their last six games played and the total has gone over in each of their last six games. Detroit has conceded 117 or more points in three out of their last five outings and has gone over thrice in their last five games played.

Denver has seen the over hit in 25 of their 45 games on the year. The Nuggets are below average in tempo as they are 24th in that category by averaging 96.7 possessions a night. Detroit is the league’s second-worst scoring offense this season yet has seen the over post a 23-22-1 mark in their contests this season. The Pistons are a slightly above average team regarding tempo, ranking 11th in the league with 98.9 possessions a night. We saw 228 combined points in the game Sunday night, marking the Nuggets’ sixth straight over. Look for this one to wind up over the mark as well once all is said and done.

Prediction: Over 219

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