The Denver Nuggets visit the Golden State Warriors at the Chase Center on January 16, 2020.
Denver heads to Oakland after going 2-1 in their three-game homestand. The Nuggets have won back to back games and are in first place in the Northwest Division with their 28-12 record. The Warriors are in an unfamiliar spot this season as they are at the bottom of the Pacific Division and Western Conference standings with their 9-33 record. The Dubs enter this contest having lost eight straight games.
The Denver Nuggets picked up their second straight win on Wednesday night as they defeated the Charlotte Hornets 100-86. Michael Porter Jr. scored 19 points and P.J. Dozier filled in nicely for Jamal Murray who left the game after rolling his ankle in the second quarter.
Nikola Jokic is pacing the Nuggets with 19.3 points, 9.9 rebounds, and 6.4 assists per game. Jamal Murray is scoring 17.9 points per game while Will Barton is putting up 14.7 points and 7.0 rebounds per outing. Paul Millsap, Gary Harris, and Jerami Grant are also putting up double-digit scoring for Denver.
The Nuggets are 20th in scoring at 109.1 points per game this season and they are 5th in scoring defense at 105.4 opponent points per game allowed. Denver is ranked 19th in rebounding at 44.4 boards grabbed per contest and they are also 4th in passing at 26.2 assists per game.
The Golden State Warriors are at the bottom of the Western Conference team standings with their 9-33 record. The Dubs are in the last place in the Pacific Division and are at the bottom of the Western Conference standings. They head to this contest having lost eight straight games and are coming off as a home loss to the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday night.
D’Angelo Russell leads Golden State in scoring at 23.7 points per game but D’Lo has played in just 24 games this season. Alec Burks has been the most consistent Warrior at 15.8 points per game. Eric Paschall is contributing 13.6 points per contest while Draymond Green is averaging 8.6 points, 6.4 rebounds and 5.8 assists per game for the Dubs.
Golden State ranks 28th in the NBA in scoring at 104.7 points per game this season. They are 21st in rebounding at 44.1 boards grabbed per contest and are 15th in passing at 24.2 assists per game. The Warriors are giving up an average of 112.9 points per game, 20th in the league this season.
The Nuggets are 6-4 SU in their last 10 games played. Denver is 3-2 SU in their last five games played on the road, and 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played against the Western Conference. The Warriors are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games played. Golden State is 3-2 ATS in their last five games played at home, and 6-7 ATS in their last 13 home games against the Western Conference. Head to head, the Warriors are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Nuggets.
Denver has won back to back games but injuries are slowly creeping up right now. The Nuggets played without Paul Millsap and Gary Harris on Wednesday night and then Jamal Murray rolled his ankle against the Hornets. Despite that, they pulled off the win against the lowly Hornets.
The Warriors have lost eight straight games. The Dubs couldn’t just find a winning formula this year given their rag-tag line-up. This team has lost four in a row at the Chase Center and with the way things are going, it looks as if a fifth consecutive one is coming on Thursday night.
The Nuggets are also banged up but they still have their best man on the floor in Jokic. Players like Jerami Grant, Will Barton, and Michael Porter Jr. are going to provide support to The Joker and Denver still has a better team than what Golden State has. I’m picking the Nuggets to win on the road.
Prediction: Denver Nuggets
Denver is 4-5-1 ATS in their last 10 games played. The Nuggets are 3-2 ATS in their last five games played, and 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games against the Western Conference. Golden State is 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games played and 3-2 ATS in their last five games played at home. The Warriors are also 6-7 ATS in their last 13 games played against the Western Conference. Head to head, the Nuggets are 5-4-1 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Warriors.
Nuggets
-6 (-110)
Warriors
+6 (-110)
Odds from SportsBetting as of 01/16/20
This is the first meeting between these teams this season so the numbers in the trends are those when Curry, Thompson, and Durant were still healthy last year. The Nuggets have their share of injuries this year but it’s not as bad as Golden State’s injury list. Denver has a winning record on the road and they should have more than enough to win and cover the spread.
Prediction: Nuggets -6
The total has gone over in six out of the last 10 games played by the Nuggets. Denver has seen the total go over in four out of their last five games played on the road. The total has gone under in seven out of the last 10 games played by the Warriors. The under is 3-2 in the Warriors’ last five games played at home. Head to head, the total has gone under in four out of the last five games between these two teams.
Over
214.5 (-110)
Under
214.5 (-110)
Odds from SportsBetting as of 01/16/20
Denver plays a slow and calculated pace this season and they are coming off a game where they held the Hornets to 86 points and combined to score just 186. The Nuggets have the 5th best scoring defense in the league this season and that’s going to be a problem for a Golden State team that is in the bottom three in scoring. The Nuggets could miss Jamal Murray here too and all signs point to the teams hitting the under.
Prediction: Under 214.5
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