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The 10th ranked Ohio State Buckeyes and the Maryland Terrapins collide on Saturday at Maryland Stadium in College Park.
The Buckeyes have won back to back games after suffering their first loss of the season. In their last outing, Ohio State beat Michigan State 26-6. Meanwhile, Maryland lost to Indiana 32-34 last November 10th, their second straight defeat and their fourth loss in their last six games.
Buckeyes Back On Track
After a surprising 49-20 week 8 loss to Purdue, the Ohio State Buckeyes look like they are back on track for its fourth College Football Playoff berth. The Buckeyes rebounded with a narrow 36-31 victory over Nebraska and they followed that up with a 26-6 win over then 18th ranked Michigan State.
Sophomore quarterback Dwayne Haskins had his second least productive game of the season with just 227 passing yards and 1 touchdown against the Spartans. That game wasn’t reflective of the impressive season he’s turning in for Ohio State. Haskins has thrown for 3,280 yards with 33 touchdowns and only 6 interceptions.
Ohio State vs Maryland 11/17/18
Moneyline Odds: Ohio State -600, Maryland +475
Odds from Betonline.ag as of 11/14/18
Terrapins’ Erratic Offense
Maryland opened the season with wins over then #23 Texas and Bowling Green, scoring a total of 70 points in those two games. But since then, they alternated wins and losses before falling into their current two game losing streak. The Terrapins’ offense has been erratic, scoring 30 or more points in six games played while getting limited to 14 points or fewer in another three games.
Who Wins?
Ohio State is 14-1 SU in their last 15 games played and 21-4 SU in their last 25 games on the road. Maryland is 2-4 in their last 6 games and 4-2 SU in their last 6 games at home. The Buckeyes are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS against the Terrapins in their last four meetings. On the other hand, Maryland is 1-3 SU and ATS in their last four conference games.
While Ohio State’s Haskins is having a great season, Maryland lost starting quarterback Kasim Hill to an ACL injury during their 32-34 loss to Indiana. Although Pigrome is a gifted runner and has a good arm, he hasn’t thrown more than 13 passes in a game this season.
The Terrapins’ also lean heavily on their running game. When it clicks, they have been successful. Maryland is 4-1 when rushing for more than 300 yards in a game but with Ohio State’s defense allowing just 3.3 yards per carry in their last two wins over Nebraska and Michigan State, they are going to run into problems on Saturday. I really like the Buckeyes to pick up this road win.
We’re picking the Ohio State Buckeyes to beat the Maryland Terrapins on 11/17/18.
Other Bets To Make
Ohio State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Maryland is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games and 4-2 ATS in their last six games played at home. The Terrapins are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss,1-5 ATS in their last 6 November games and 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games on field turf.
Ohio State vs Maryland 11/17/18
Spread Odds: Ohio State -14 (-115), Maryland +14 (-105)
Odds from Betonline.ag as of 11/14/18
The Buckeyes have found ways to win games but their last three wins have come by an average winning margin of 13.6 points per game. Maryland has lost five of their last eight games played but they still showed signs of a fight against Indiana the last time out. I don’t know about you but I think the Buckeyes look sluggish and their offense isn’t as explosive as you’d think it would be. Maryland is likely going to lose this game but they should hang around enough to cover the spread.
Prediction: Maryland +14
The over is 4-0 in the last four meetings between these teams and the over is also 11-5 in Maryland’s last 15 conference games. Meanwhile, the total has gone under in 5 out of the last 7 games overall for the Buckeyes.
Ohio State vs Maryland 11/17/18
Over/Under Odds: Ohio State +58.5 -110, Under 58.5 -110
Odds from Betonline.ag as of 11/14/18
This is the 5th game between these teams in the last four years and the previous four games have hit the over with no combined score below 65 points and with an average total combined score of 73.5 points. Maryland has had two games this season against ranked teams that went over. Ohio State has gone over in 7 out of their last 10 games.
Prediction: Over 58.5
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