The Oklahoma Sooners will take on the West Virginia Mountaineers in a crucial Big XII game at Mountaineer Field in Morgantown, West Virginia on 11/23/18.
Oklahoma enters this game as the 6th ranked team in the nation and one victory away from an 11-win season. Meanwhile, the Mountaineers are an unbeaten 5-0 at home this season. West Virginia is coming off a tough 41-45 loss to Oklahoma State but despite the loss, they still hold the cards to a Big XII Conference title game.
The Sooners have won five in a row since losing to Texas and are coming off a 55-40 victory over the Kansas Jayhawks last November 17th. Regardless of the outcome of this game, the Oklahoma Sooners have already booked an appearance in the Big XII Conference title game on December 1st.
Oklahoma ranks 1st in the nation in scoring at 49.5 points per game and they also lead FBS in yards per game at 576.3. Much of the Sooners’ offensive success is attributed to quarterback Kyler Murray who is turning in a Heisman deserving season. Murray ranks 2nd in QB rating at 205.8, is 4th in passing touchdowns with 34, 6th in completion rate at 70.3 and 8th in passing yards at 3,310.
Oklahoma vs West Virginia 11/23/18
Moneyline Odds: Oklahoma -155, West Virginia +135
Odds from bet365 as of 11/22/18
The Mountaineers were less than 60 seconds away from being 9-1 last week and closer to a Big XII title game appearance when the Oklahoma State Cowboys scored a touchdown that left West Virginia bleeding with a 41-45 loss. Despite the loss, the Mountaineers still hold the cards to a conference title game appearance but they will need to win their last home game of the season.
Not to be outdone by Oklahoma’s Kyler Murray is West Virginia’s senior quarterback Will Grier who ranks 4th in the nation in QB rating at 174.2, 5th in passing touchdowns at 33, 7th in passing yards with 3,325 and 15th in completion rate at 67.2 percent.Grier has thrown for over 300 passing yards in 9 out of the 10 games he’s started this season.
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games and are 14-1 SU in their last 15 games on the road. West Virginia is 8-2 SU in their last 10 games played and 5-0 SU in their last 5 games played at home. Head to head, the Sooners are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games against the Mountaineers.
This game has a potential for a high scoring shootout not only because we have two high powered quarterbacks here but also because Oklahoma is ranked 107th against the pass and West Virginia has the 87th ranked pass defense in college football.
It’s hard to pick a winner in a shootout because it could very well god down to who has the final possession. But I like West Virginia here despite slipping against Oklahoma State. Will Grier has been as solid as Kyler Murray all season long and this being his final home game, I think he delivers a big win for the Mountaineers.
We’re picking West Virginia to beat Oklahoma on 11/23/18.
The Sooners are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road. The Mountaineers are 2-3-1 ATS in their last six games played and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games at home. Head to head, Oklahoma is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against West Virginia.
Oklahoma vs West Virginia 11/23/18
Spread Odds: Oklahoma -1.5 (-117), West Virginia +1.5 (-103)
Odds from betonline.ag as of 11/21/18
I picked West Virginia to win this because they are unbeaten at home and will have a very motivated Will Grier leading them. As everyone else has been saying, this is going to be a high scoring shootout that could go either way. I’ll take the plus points and the home team here.
Prediction: West Virginia +1.5 (-103)
The total has gone over in six out of the last seven games for the Sooners and the over is also 6-1 in their last seven road games. Meanwhile, the total has gone over in four out of the last five games for the Mountaineers and the over is also 6-1 in their last seven games against the Sooners.
Oklahoma vs West Virginia 11/23/18
Over/Under Odds: Over 83.5 -115, Under 83.5 -105
Odds from betonline.ag as of 11/21/18
The over is 6-1 in Oklahoma’s last 7 games with an average combined score of 89.0. In their head to head match up, the total has gone over in the last four games with an average score of 80.0. The over is a combined 15-5-1 for both teams this season. Oklahoma’s last three games have totalled at least 90 points per game while the Mountaineers are coming off a combined 86 points against Oklahoma State and combined with Texas to score 83 last November 3. The Sooners rank 1st in yards per play while the Mountaineers are 7th in that department. This should be one of the highest scoring games of the season.
Prediction: Over 83.5 -115
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