Indiana Pacers vs Sacramento Kings 01/11/2021 NBA Odds, Preview and Prediction

The Indiana Pacers hit the road and head to Sacramento to take on the Kings at the Golden 1 Center on Monday night.

The Pacers are coming off a home loss to the Phoenix Suns while the Kings are fresh off a loss to the Portland Trail Blazers. Indiana has won six out of its last seven games played against Sacramento including a 119-105 win at home on December 20, 2019, in their most recent meeting. The Pacers will be without T.J. Warren while Buddy Hield is listed as day to day for the Kings.

Indiana Pacers

The Indiana Pacers are currently on top of the Central Division team standings with their 6-3 record and they are third in the early Eastern Conference team standings. The Pacers head to this game after suffering a 125-117 home loss to the Phoenix Suns. All of Indiana’s losses this season have come at home and they are 2-0 on the road so far.

Malcolm Brogdon leads Indiana at 23.4 points and 7.2 assists per game. Domantas Sabonis is having a double-double season with 21.6 points and 12.6 rebounds per game while Victor Oladipo is contributing 19.9 points, 6.0 rebounds, 4.3 assists, and 1.1 steals per game. Myles Turner, Justin Holiday, and Doug McDermott are also scoring in double digits this season.

The Pacers are the 6th best scoring team in the NBA at 115.0 points per game. Indiana ranks 5th in passing at 26.4 assists per contest. They have the 13th best scoring defense in the league at 109.9 points per game allowed. The Pacers are the third-worst rebounding team at only 42.2 boards grabbed per contest.

What are the Moneyline Odds?

Pacers

-195

Kings

+170

Odds from BetOnline as of 01/11/2021

Sacramento Kings

The Sacramento Kings have dropped to last place in the Pacific Division after a good 3-1 start to the season. The Kings have lost five out of their last six games played and are coming off back-to-back 20-point home losses to the Toronto Raptors and Portland Trail Blazers.

De’Aaron Fox leads the Kings in scoring at 18.0 points per game. Fox is also averaging 5.0 assists and 1.5 steals per game. Harrison Barnes is having a great year at 16.7 points, 6.8 rebounds, and 3.2 assists per game. Marvin Bagley III is the team’s top rebounder at 8.1 boards grabbed per contest while scoring 12.7 points per game. Tyrese Haliburton leads the team in assists at 5.5 dimes per contest.

Sacramento is in the middle of the pack in the league in scoring at 112.4 points per game this season. The Kings are tied for 17th in rebounding at 44.2 boards grabbed per contest and they are also 17th in passing at 24.2 assists per game. Sacramento has the third-worst scoring defense in the league at 121.0 points per game this season.

Who Wins?

The Pacers are 6-3 SU in their last nine games played. Indiana is 2-0 SU in their two road games played this season, 5-2 SU in their last seven games played against the Pacific Division. The Kings are 1-5 SU in their last six games played. Sacramento is 3-3 in six home games played this season, and 1-4 SU in their last five January games. Head to head, the Pacers are 6-1 SU in their last seven games played against the Kings.

Sacramento has lost five out of their last six games and one of the reasons for their recent struggles is their defense which is the third-worst in the league. The Kings have conceded 132.5 points per game in their last four outings and have lost by at least 21 points in their last three losses. They have six players scoring in double-digits but the team doesn’t have that dominant go-to guy on offense.

The Pacers looked great prior to losing to the Suns. Meanwhile, the Kings have struggled since the start of 2021 and have won just once in their last six assignments. Sacramento can be a very streaky team that can heat up at any given night and the Pacers are without T.J. Warren. Despite that, the Pacers have been the more consistent team this season and that will show here.

Prediction: Indiana Pacers

Other Bets To Make

Indiana is 6-3 ATS in their last nine games played. The Pacers are 2-0 ATS in their two road games played so far this season, and 4-1 ATS in their last five games played against the Western Conference. Sacramento is 0-5 ATS in their last five games played. The Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last five games played at home. Head to head, Sacramento is 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games played against Indiana. The Kings are also 4-2 ATS in their last six home games against the Pacers.

What are the Spread Odds?

Pacers

-5 (-115)

Kings

+5 (-105)

Odds from BetOnline as of 01/11/2021

The Pacers aren’t just playing better basketball right now. They have a much better offensive team between the two teams. The Pacers have guys like Oladipo, Brogdon, and Sabonis who are 20-point scorers. The difference-maker here is Sacramento playing atrocious defense at this stage of the season. Give me the Pacers to cover the modest spread here against a Sacramento team who has lost by at least 20 points in five out of their last six losses.

Prediction: Pacers -5

The total has gone over in five out of the nine games played by Indiana so far this season. The over is 2-0 in the Pacers’ two road games played this campaign, and also 5-2 in their last seven January games. The total has gone over in five out of the last seven games played by the Kings. Sacramento has seen the total go over in six out of their last seven games against the Eastern Conference. The over is also 6-2 in their last eight games against the Central Division. Head to head, the total has gone under in seven out of the last 10 meetings between these two teams.

Indiana has an average defense this season while the Kings have one of the worst in the league right now at 28th with their 121.0 points per game allowed. Sacramento has conceded at least 124 points in each of their last four games played. Indiana is 6th in the NBA in scoring at 115 points per game and have scored at least 117 points in three out of their last five games played. The over is also 18-8 in Indiana’s last 26 games after a loss. The Pacers are a good defensive team but they should score more than enough points to push the score over the total.

Prediction: Over 226

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