The Green Bay Packers and San Francisco 49ers tangle at Levi’s Stadium on Sunday in a battle of top NFC teams.
The Packers are 8-2 SU and are on top of the NFC North Division. Green Bay defeated the Carolina Panthers 24-16 at home in Week 10 before taking a bye week last week. The 49ers are 9-1 SU and have the best record in the NFC West Division. San Francisco came from behind to beat the Arizona Cardinals 36-30 at home last weekend. The Packers defeated the 49ers 33-30 in Green Bay last season.
The Packers are currently a one-half game ahead of their rival Minnesota Vikings in the NFC North Division standings. The Vikings have a tough outing on Sunday against the Seattle Seahawks so this is a big game for the Packers as they could solidify their hold of the NFC North.
Aaron Rodgers is having another fantastic season. Rodgers has thrown for a total of 2,718 passing yards with 17 touchdowns and only 2 interceptions. Aaron Jones has rushed for 589 yards on 135 carries and has 11 rushing touchdowns while Davante Adams leads the receiving corps with 537 yards on 39 catches.
The Packers rank 11th in the NFL in passing at 253.9 yards per game and they are 18th in rushing at 102.1 yards per contest. Green Bay is scoring an average of 25.0 points per game which puts them in 9th place overall. The Packers are allowing opponents to score an average of 20.5 points per game this season.
The San Francisco 49ers are the biggest surprise of the 2019 NFL season. San Francisco currently sits on top of the NFC West Division with its 9-1 SU record. The 49ers have a one-game division lead over the Seattle Seahawks and they bounced back from their first loss of the season with a tough win over the Cardinals last weekend.
Jimmy Garropolo has passed for a total of 2,478 yards and has thrown 18 touchdowns with 10 interceptions. Matt Breida has carried the ball 109 times and has accounted for 542 rushing yards with one touchdown. Tight end George Kittle has racked up 542 receiving yards on 46 catches with two touchdowns.
San Francisco is the 2nd best rushing team in the NFL at 149.0 yards per game. They are also the second-highest scoring team in the league at 29.5 points per game scored. The 49ers are 15th with an average of 237.6 passing yards per game and are giving up 15.5 points per outing.
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in their last six games played. The Packers are 3-1 SU in four road games played this season and 5-1 SU in their last six games against the NFC Conference. San Francisco is 9-1 SU in their last 10 games played and the 49ers are 4-1 SU in five home games played this season. Head to head, the Packers are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games against the 49ers. Green Bay is the NFL betting underdog in this contest.
The Packers have played well in the last two months. After losing to the Philadelphia Eagles during the last week of September, Green Bay has won five out of six games played. The Packers have improved their Red Zone conversion to TD from 68.57% on the season to 77.7% in their last three games. Likewise, Green Bay has converted 43.75% of their third downs over the same period while only averaging 37.17% on the year.
San Francisco bounced back from their OT loss to the Seahawks but the team looks tired at this stage of the season. The 49ers took a bye in Week 4 and their defense has given up 10 more points per game and 60 more yards per game in their last three games. Defensive End Dee Ford left their last game with a hamstring injury and is unlikely to play in this game.
The 49ers could also miss Matt Breida who is still recovering from an ankle injury. This overachieving San Francisco team looks banged-up and even tired in the last couple of weeks. The Packers are well-rested and have no reported injuries. Give me Aaron Rodgers against this version of the 49ers.
Prediction: Green Bay Packers
The Packers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played and Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in their last five games on the road. The 49ers are 5-4-1 ATS in 10 games played this season. San Francisco is 2-2-1 ATS in five home games this season and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games played against the NFC North Division. Head to head, the Packers are 4-4-2 ATS in their last 10 games played against the 49ers. Green Bay is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 road games against San Francisco.
Packers
+3 (-110)
49ers
-3 (-110)
Odds from TitanBet as of 11/21/19
Green Bay has outscored San Francisco by an average of 3.1 points per game in their last 10 games played and 4.67 points per game in their last three meetings. San Francisco will likely be without their leading rusher. Their defense is banged up and Rodgers had the extra week to prepare. The 49ers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as home favorites of three points or fewer.
Prediction: Packers +3
The total has gone under in three out of the last five games played by the Packers. Green Bay has seen the total go under 8 out of their last 11 games played against the NFC West Division. The total has gone over in four out of the last five games played by the 49ers. The over is 3-2 in the 49ers’ last five games played at home, and the over is 4-1 in their last five games against the NFC Conference. Head to head, the total has gone over in seven out of the last nine games between the Packers and 49ers.
Over
47.5 (-110)
Under
47.5 (-110)
Odds from TitanBet as of 11/21/19
These teams have combined to score an average of 49.9 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 42.0 points per game in their most recent three games played. The 49ers defense has allowed 10 more points per game than their season average in their last three games played and the total in their last four games has hit the over at an average of 57.5 points. The over is 8-1 in San Francisco’s last nine night games.
Prediction: Over 47.5
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