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The Carolina Panthers head to Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday to test the defending Super Bowl Champions Kansas City Chiefs.
Carolina looks to snap a three-game skid and get back in the playoff hunt. Meanwhile, the Chiefs have won three straight after suffering their first loss of the season. Kansas City is looking to extend its 2.5 games division lead in the AFC West. The Chiefs have won the last two head-to-head meetings between these teams. In their most recent outing, Kansas City emerged victorious 20-17 way back in November 2016.
Carolina Panthers
The Carolina Panthers head to this game having lost their last three assignments. The Panthers are 3-5 SU this season and they are currently in third place in the NFC South division behind the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the New Orleans Saints. Carolina is coming off a 25-17 home loss to the Atlanta Falcons in Week 8 which really hurt their playoff chances.
Terry Bridgewater has thrown for 2,106 passing yards with nine touchdowns and six interceptions while completing 71.6% of his passes. Mike Davis leads the Carolina rushing attack with 350 rushing yards and a pair of touchdowns. Robbie Anderson’s 51 catches in 68 targets for 688 yards lead the team. DJ Moore has 32 grabs for 622 yards with three touchdowns. Curtis Samuel and Davis have caught 200+ yards this season.
Defensively, the Panthers are led by Jeremy Chinn who has 67 tackles including a team-best 38 solo tackles. Shaq Thompson is also having a fine season with 66 total tackles while Donte Jackson leads the Carolina defense with three interceptions. Brian Burns and Marquis Haynes each have three sacks for the Panthers.
Kansas City Chiefs
The Kansas City Chiefs have picked up three straight wins since suffering a 40-32 loss to the Raiders in their fifth game of the season. At 7-1, the defending champions have the best record in the AFC West Division and are looking to extend their lead, which now stands at 2.5 over the Las Vegas Raiders, with a home win against Carolina on Sunday.
The Chiefs took care of the New York Jets the last time out, winning comfortably by a score of 35-9. Patrick Mahomes has thrown for a total of 2,315 yards with 21 touchdowns and one interception while completing 66.9% of his passes. Mahomes also has 165 rushing yards and a pair of rushing touchdowns. Clyde Edwards-Helaire leads the team with 572 yards on the ground and two scores. On the other hand, Travis Kelce has 48 catches on 68 targets for 610 receiving yards with six touchdowns. Tyreek Hill has 35 catches for 537 yards and a team-high seven touchdown catches this year.
On defense, Damien Wilson leads the chiefs with 52 total tackles while Daniel Sorensen has a team-best 37 solo tackles with two interceptions. Tyrann Mathieu also hs a pair of interceptions while Chris Jones leads the team with 4.5 sacks. The Kansas City defense has allowed opponents to score just 19.0 points per game this season.
Who Wins?
Carolina is 3-13 SU in their last 16 games played. The Panthers are 2-7 SU in their last nine games played on the road but are 11-4 SU in their last 15 games against the AFC. Kansas City is 16-1 SU in their last 17 games played. The Chiefs are 3-1 SU in four home games played this season, and 4-1 SU in their last five games played against the NFC. Head to head, the Chiefs are 4-2 SU in their last six games played against the Panthers.
Carolina could have their best player back on Sunday. Christian McCaffrey has been out since week 2 after suffering a high-ankle sprain in week 2 but is expected to return against the Chiefs. McCaffrey had 50 touches in the first two games of the season and converted them to 223 yards and two touchdowns.
After losing to the Raiders in week 5, the Chiefs have looked more focused and have rolled past the Buffalo Bills, Denver Broncos, and the New York Jets while outscoring these foes by a 104-52 margin. Kansas City has a point differential of +101, the best in the league.
I expect a better fight from the Panthers but I don’t think they have enough offense to match Kansas City’s onslaught. The Chiefs defense has also been standout, giving up 10 or fewer points in four of their last five games. I like the defending champions to pick up a big win at home.
Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs
Other Bets To Make
Carolina is 4-2 ATS in their last six games played. The Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven November games and 4-0-1 ATS in their last nine-week 9 games. Kansas City is 15-2 ATS in their last 17 games played. The Chiefs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games played at home, and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 Sunday games. Head to head, the Chiefs are 2-1 ATS in their last three meetings.
Panthers
+10.5 (-112)
Chiefs
-10.5 (-108)
Odds from BetOnline as of 11/04/2020
I’m not sure if Terry Bridgewater can be 100% this weekend after taking that big hit to the neck/head last Thursday. I am sure though that the Chiefs offense has been humming and the team has been dominating their opposition this season. Five of their seven wins this season have come by at least 14 points. This one should be another one of those games. I’ll lay the 10.5 point chalk with the Chiefs and an in-form Patrick Mahomes.
Prediction: Chiefs -10.5
The total has gone under in four out of the last six games played by the Panthers. The under is 6-3 in their last nine games against the AFC West division. The total has gone under in five out of the last seven games played by the Chiefs. Kansas City has seen the total hit under in four out of their last six week 9 games. The under is also 4-2 in their last six games as the betting favorite. Head to head, the total has gone under in four out of the last six games played between the Panthers and Chiefs.
Over
52.5 (-110)
Under
52.5 (-110)
Odds from BetOnline as of 11/04/2020
Kansas City ranks second in the league in scoring at 31.6 points per game. However, they play good defense and are holding their opponents to an average of 19.0 points per game. Meanwhile, Carolina is just 25th in scoring at 22.4 points per game this season but with Christian McCaffrey expected to return, their offense should look better. The Chiefs have put up at least 32 points in three of their last four games played and look unstoppable on offense right now. The total looks high, given that they are playing the Panthers. But I think this is a game which will be won by better offense, not defense.
Prediction: Over 52.5
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