Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints 11/24/19 NFL Betting Odds and Prediction

The Carolina Panthers look to get back in the playoff picture but they have a big task at hand when they visit the Mercedes Benz Superdome on Sunday and face the New Orleans Saints.

The Carolina Panthers and Kyle Allen have fallen back to earth with three losses in their last four games. In their last outing, the Panthers were defeated by the Atlanta Falcons 3-29. Carolina is 5-5 SU on the year and they need to start picking up wins again if they want to rejoin the NFC South race. The New Orleans Saints are without question, the best team in the NFC. New Orleans was an imposing 7-1 when they were upset by the Falcons two weeks ago. But the Saints bounced back with a dominant 34-17 win over Tampa Bay last week to move up to 8-2 SU on the season.

Back to Earth

Kyle Allen made headlines when he won his first four NFL starts after taking over from the injured Cam Newton. But Allen’s Cinderella ride is over as dropped back to earth with three defeats in his last four starts. Allen threw four interceptions in the Panthers’ loss to the Falcons last week and he has been picked nine times in his last four starts.

MVP candidate Christian McCaffrey became the first player to rush for 1000 yards and catch 500 yards this season. McCaffrey had 70 on the ground and 121 via air last week to increase his season total to 1,059 rushing yards and 527 receiving yards after 10 games. With Allen struggling, he will have to carry the offensive load for the Panthers if they are to beat the Saints.

The Panthers are 22nd in the league with an average of 220.6 passing yards this season. Carolina is 10th in rushing at 126.0 per game and they are 15th in scoring at 22.8 points per game. The Panthers are giving up an average of 25.7 points per game this season.

Back to Their Old Ways

The New Orleans Saints were dominating their opposition when they ran into the Atlanta Falcons two weeks ago. The Falcons went to New Orleans and humbled the Saints 26-9 to stop their six-game winning streak. But New Orleans was back to their old ways last week when they defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 34-17.

Wide receiver Michael Thomas became the first player to reach 1,000 receiving yards this season. Thomas caught 8 passes for 114 yards against the Bucs to raise his season total to 1,027 receiving yards on 86 catches. Drew Brees has thrown six touchdowns in three games since coming back from the injury reserve list.

The Saints are averaging 256.5 passing yards per game which are 9th best in the league this season. New Orleans is ranked 17th in passing at 107.5 rushing yards per game and they are 13th in scoring at 23.6 points per game. The Saints are allowing opponents to score 19.9 points per game this season.

Who Wins?

Carolina is 6-12 SU in their last 12 games played. The Panthers are 5-11 SU in their last 16 games played on the road and 3-10 SU in their last 13 games against the NFC Conference. New Orleans is 7-1 SU in their last eight games played. The Saints are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games played at home and 6-2 SU in their last 8 games against the NFC South Division. Head to head, the Saints are 4-1 SU in their last five games played against the Panthers and they are the NFL betting favorites to win this meeting.

Kyle Allen won his first four NFL starts and he did so by not throwing a single interception. But the honeymoon is over and Allen has lost three out of his last four games while getting picked a total of nine times over that period. In his last outing, Allen threw four interceptions against the Atlanta Falcons.

A week after suffering a huge upset loss to the Falcons, the Saints were back to their dominant persona last week. Drew Brees threw for 228 yards with three touchdowns while Michael Thomas had 8 catches for 114 yards and a score. If the offense continues to roll, then the Saints are looking at their 8th win in their last nine outings.

With Kyle Allen struggling, the Panthers will have to rely even more on Christian McCaffrey. But that’s not their only problem. Carolina has given up at least 20 points in their last six games and that’s not good against an offense which has Drew Brees and the NFL’s leading receiver in Michael Thomas. The Saints are tough to beat at home and they have a shot at virtually locking up their division. I expect New Orleans to be in good shape here.

Prediction: New Orleans Saints

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Other Bets to Make

The Panthers are 1-3 ATS in their last four games played. Carolina is 3-2 ATS in five road games played this season and 1-5 ATS in their last six games played in November. The Saints are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games played. New Orleans is 3-2 ATS in five home games this season and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against the NFC Conference. Head to head, the Panthers are 3-0 ATS in their last three games against the Saints.

Carolina’s offense is struggling and they are facing a New Orleans team that is clicking on both sides of the football field. The Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against the NFC. The Saints are 8-1 SU and ATS in their last nine games played. New Orleans has the third-best rushing defense which should help counter Christian McCaffrey. I expect the home team to cover the spread here.

Prediction: Saints -9.5

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The total has gone over in four out of the last six games played by the Panthers. The over is 3-2 in Carolina’s five road games played this season. The total has gone under in three out of the last four games played by New Orleans. The Saints have seen the total go under in three out of their last five games played at home. The under is also 4-1 in their last five November games. Head to head, the total has gone over in eight out of the last 10 games between these two teams. Likewise, the last five games between these teams in New Orleans have gone over the total.

These teams have combined to score an average of 52.5 points per game in their last 10 games played and the total has not gone lower than 47 in their last five games played in New Orleans. The last five matchups between these two teams in New Orleans have resulted in shootouts. New Orleans has scored at least 31 points in four out of their last six games played. The Panthers have allowed 34.67 points per game in their last three losses. This one should be another high-scoring affair between these two teams.

Prediction: Over 47

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