New England Patriots vs New York Jets 10/21/19 NFL Betting Odds and Pick

The New England Patriots look to preserve their unblemished record when they take on the New York Jets on 10/21/19 at the MetLife Stadium in New York.

Still Perfect

The New England Patriots are still perfect on the season at 6-0 and they will take that immaculate slate to New York for a game against the Jets. The Patriots moved to 6-0 on the season after a 35-14 win over the New York Giants last week. They also improved to 4-2 ATS on the season after covering the 16.5 point spread against the Giants.

Tom Brady threw for 330 yards but had no passing touchdown. However, Brady rushed for two touchdowns. For the season, the 42-year old has accumulated 1,743 passing yards with 10 passing touchdowns. Julie Edelman led the receiving unit with 113 receiving yards on 9 catches.

New England is 5th in passing yards with an average of 284.8 per game. The Patriots are 21st in rushing at 101.5 points per game. Their offense is producing 31.7 points per game while their defense is the best in the league right now at just 8.0 points per game allowed. The Patriots are heavy NFL betting favorites to win this match.

First Win

The Jets got their first win of the season when they defeated the Dallas Cowboys 24-22 at home. But before they could celebrate, New York will take on the undefeated defending Super Bowl champions New England Patriots for the second time in seven weeks. New England defeated the Jets in week 3 with a score of 30-14 but could not cover the 21-point spread.

Sam Darnold completed 23 out of his 32 passes and three for 338 passing yards with two touchdowns and one interception. Robby Anderson looked like his old self against the Cowboys with five catches for 125 yards and one touchdown. Jamison Crowder also caught a total of 98 yards while Le’Veon Bell rushed for 50 yards with one rushing touchdown scored.

The Jets are last in the league with an average of 156.0 passing yards per game they are third from the bottom in rushing with an average of 64.0 yards per game. New York is next to last at only 12.6 points per game scored and the Jets are allowing their opponents to score 24.6 points per game this season.

Who Wins?

New England is 10-0 SU in their last 10 games played. The Patriots are 3-0 SU in three road games played this season and 8-0 SU in their last 8 games against the AFC Conference. New York is 1-7 SU in their last eight games played. The Jets are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games played at home. Head to head, the Patriots are 7-0 SU in their last seven meetings.

Injuries are mounting in the New England offense and it is starting to get a little alarming. Josh Gordon hurt his knee against the Giants and Phillip Dorsett has been ruled out already. Running back Rex Burkhead is also questionable while Julian Edelman has been playing with a chest injury. Their defense is also hurting with Dont’a Hightower dealing with a shoulder injury and Patrick Chung departing the Giants’ game with a chest injury.

But New England is a scary team because they played sloppy against the Giants and still won big. In a game where their passing game couldn’t get a score, the defense limited Daniel Jones to only two third down conversions and forced the Giants offense to four turnovers which were converted to 14 points. When you have a defense like that, your team is tough to beat.

While New England can lean on their defense any day, the Jets’ defense is going to let Sam Darnold down here. Tom Brady should bounce back with a brilliant game and he is going to pick apart the New York secondary. New England gets their seventh consecutive win of the season on the road on Monday night.

Prediction: New England Patriots

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Other Bets to Make

The Patriots are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played. New England is 2-1 ATS in their last three road games played. The Jets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games played. New York is 1-2 ATS in three home games played this season and 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 opponents against the AFC Conference. Head to head, the Jets are 5-4-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings against the Patriots. New York is also 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against New England.

New England has outscored New York by 13.7 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 21.67 points per game in their last three games played. The Patriots have beaten the Jets seven straight times and the average winning margin during those games is 19.29 points per game. I expect New England to score around 30-35 points per game with Brady picking apart the Jets’ secondary. This won’t leave Sam Darnold a lot of room to help the Jets cover the spread.

Prediction: Patriots -10

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The total has gone under in 13 out of New England’s last 18 games played. The under is 4-1 in the Patriots’ last five road games and the under is also 8-2 in their last 10 games against the AFC Conference. The total has gone under in four out of the last six games played by the Jets. New York has seen the total go under in 11 out of their last 16 AFC East Opponents. Head to head, the under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams.

The average combined score in the Patriots’ last 18 games is 42.17 points and the total has gone under in 13 of those games. These teams have combined to score 41.3 points per game in their last 10 games played and 41.67 points per game in their last three meetings. New England’s defense has been terrific to start the season and the Patriots have seen the total go under in eight out of their last 10 games as road favorites of at least 10 points. I like the Patriots defense to stifle Darnold and keep the Jets at a minimum.

Prediction: Under 42.5

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