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New Orleans Pelicans vs Phoenix Suns 11/21/19 NBA Betting Odds and Preview

The New Orleans Pelicans travel to the Valley of the Suns on November 21, 2019, to take on the Phoenix Suns at the Talking Stick Resort Arena.

The New Orleans Pelicans continued their strong showing with a 115-104 win over the Portland Trail Blazers on Tuesday night. New Orleans started the season with just one win in their first eight games but they have found the groove with four wins in their last six games played. The Suns have been the opposite of the Pelicans. After going 6-3 SU to start the season, Phoenix has lost three out of their last four games played. In their last outing, the Suns dropped a close 116-120 road game to the Sacramento Kings on Tuesday night. The Suns are -5 NBA betting favorites to pick up a home win here.

Starting to Get Wins

The New Orleans Pelicans season started on the wrong foot with the Zion Williamson injury and then the team went on a 1-7 SU start. But they are starting to get wins with four victories in their last six outings. The Pelicans are currently at 5-9 SU on the season and are tied for third place in the Southwest Division.

New Orleans won its second straight game when they topped the Portland Trail Blazers 115-104 on Tuesday night. Jrue Holiday had a double-double with 22 points and 10 assists while Brandon Ingram returned after missing four games by scoring 21 points. J.J.Redick made four three-pointers and scored 14 points one game after hitting six triples and scoring 26 points.

The Pelicans are the 5th best scoring team in the league at 115.6 points per game. They are ranked 7th in passing at 26.1 assists per game this season and 16th off the glass with an average of 45.9 rebounds per contest. New Orleans is allowing 118.9 points per game which his second-most in the league this season.

What are the Moneyline Odds?

Pelicans

+170

Suns

-195

Odds from BetOnline as of 11/21/19

In a Slump

The Phoenix Suns came fast off the gates, picking up five wins in their first seven games including a victory over the Los Angeles Clippers. But the Suns are currently in a slump as Phoenix has lost four out of their last six games played. They are 7-6 SU on the season and are in third place in the Pacific Division.

In their last game, the Suns lost to the Sacramento Kings 116-120 despite scoring 71 points in the second half of the game. Devin Booker continued his strong start with 30 points and 5 rebounds while Kelly Oubre Jr. and Miles Bridges each contributed 20 points for the Suns who suffered their second straight defeat.

The Suns are 6th in the league in scoring at 115.0 points per game this season. Phoenix is the top passing team with an average of 27.9 assists per game and they are 28th in rebounding at 42.2 dimes per contest. The Suns are 15th overall in scoring defense at 110.4 points per game allowed.

Who Wins?

New Orleans is 6-13 SU in their last 19 games played. The Pelicans are 1-5 SU in their last six games played on the road. Phoenix is 2-4 SU in their last six games played. The Suns are 5-4 SU in nine home games this season, 3-8 SU in their last 11 games against the Southwest Division, and 6-14 SU in their last 20 November games. Head to head, the Pelicans are 8-2 SU in their last 10 meetings

The Pelicans have started picking up wins. New Orleans has won three out of their last four games and are coming off back to back wins over the Warriors and Blazers. However, both wins were at home and the Pelicans travel to Phoenix on Thursday night and they are 1-5 SU on the road this season. New Orleans will still be without Zion Williamson, Josh Hart, Lonzo Ball, and Jahlil Okafor while Derrick Favors is still listed as today.

Phoenix has lost three out of their last four games including two of their last three at home. They will be without Ricky Rubio and Aron Baynes on Thursday. But Devin Booker has been red hot at home, shooting 51% from three-ball and 57.5% from the field. Kelly Oubre is also averaging over 20 points per game in their last three games and the Suns are 5-4 SU at home this season.

New Orleans’s defense gives up too many points per game and Phoenix has scorers like Booker and Oubre who can light it up quickly, especially at home. Both teams are missing key players but the Suns still pack more than enough offensive firepower to beat the Pelicans on Thursday. I’m expecting a big game from Devin Booker.

Prediction: Phoenix Suns

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Other Bets to Make

The Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last six games played. New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in six road games played this season, and 5-1 ATS in their last six games against the Western Conference. The Suns are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games played. Phoenix is 6-3 ATS in nine home games played this season, and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against the Western Conference. Head to head, the Pelicans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Suns. New Orleans is also 5-1 ATS in their last six road games against Phoenix.

What are the Spread Odds?

Pelicans

+4.5 (-105)

Suns

-4.5 (-115)

Odds from BetOnline as of 11/21/19

The Pelicans have outscored the Suns by an average of 8.5 points per game in their last 10 meetings. Despite missing key players due to injury, the Pelicans are still in the Top 5 in the league in scoring. However, they are also a team that gives up too many points on defense. I think Booker and Oubre catch fire and the Suns will be able to cover the spread. The Suns are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.

Prediction: Suns -5

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The total has gone under in six out of the last seven games played by the Pelicans. New Orleans has seen the total go over in 11 out of their last 13 games against Pacific Division teams. The total has gone over in five out of the last six games played by the Suns. Phoenix has seen the total go over in four out of their last five home games. Head to head, the over is 5-1 in the last six games between the Pelicans and Suns.

What are the Total Odds?

Over

233 (-110)

Under

233 (-110)

Odds from BetOnline as of 11/21/19

These teams have combined to score an average of 234.3 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 259.67 points per game in their most recent three head to head games. New Orleans has allowed only 104.33 points in their last three games but for the season, they are next to last in scoring defense. Offensively, these teams are in the Top 6 in the league in scoring, combining for 230.6 points per game this season. I don’t think we’ll see much defense here.

Prediction: Over 233

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Chris Blain

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