Detroit Pistons vs Golden State Warriors 01/18/2022 NBA Odds and Preview

The second-worst team in the East visits the second-best team in the West on Tuesday night when the Detroit Pistons head to Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors.

Detroit heads to this game with a 10-32 record which is better only than the Orlando Magic in the East. The Pistons however are just 5-5 SU in their last 10 games played but are coming off a loss to the 135-108 blowout loss to the Phoenix Suns.

Golden State is 31-12 on the season and they are three games behind the Phoenix Suns in the Western Conference team standings. The Warriors are just 4-6 in their last 10 games played and are coming off a 119-99 loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Detroit Pistons

Cade Cunningham scored 21 points while Cory Joseph came off the bench to add 21 points and 7 assists but it wasn’t enough to stop the Phoenix Suns the last time out. Trey Lyles added 18 points and 6 rebounds off the bench and Hamidou Diallo was the fourth double-digit scorer with 10 points for the Pistons. They will need more scoring help if they want to beat the Warriors.

Detroit is 29th in the NBA in scoring at 101.4 points per game scored. They are 28th in rebounding at 42.6 board grabbed per contest and are 27th in passing at 22.0 assists per game. The Pistons are 24th in scoring defense at 111.3 points per game allowed.

Golden State Warriors

The Warriors were without Steph Curry and Draymond Green in their last game and they lost to the Minnesota Timberwolves. Jordan Poole led the Warriors with 20 points while Klay Thompson struggled on 5-14 shooting with 13 points. Andrew Wiggins and Otto Porter Jr. each scored a dozen points while rookie Jonathan Kuminga had a big night off the bench with 19 points and 7 rebounds in a losing effort.

Golden State ranks 12th in the league in scoring at 109.9 points per game. The Dubs are tied for 4th with 46.2 rebounds per game and they are the top passing team in the league at 27.8 assists per game this season. The Warriors are also the no. 1 defensive team in the NBA, allowing a league-best 102.0 points per game this season.

Who Wins?

Detroit is 6-14 SU in their last 20 games played. The Pistons are 1-13 SU in their last 14 games played on the road. Golden State is 2-5 SU in their last seven games played. The Warriors are 17-2 SU in their last 19 home games.

Head to head the Warriors are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played against the Pistons. Golden State is also 9-2 SU in their last 11 home games against Detroit.

The Pistons failed to hit 100 points in three out of their last five games while shooting just 42% from the field. They have also struggled on defense during that stretch, allowing an average of 118 points per game.

This looks like the perfect game for the Warriors to bounce back after their recent struggles. Detroit’s struggles of offense and defense will play into the Warriors’ strengths: explosive offense and the NBA’s no. 1 defense. Unless something terribly goes wrong, the Warriors should be able to take care of business here.

Prediction: Golden State Warriors

Other Bets to Make

The Pistons are 20-22 ATS in 42 games played this season. Detroit is 9-12 ATS in 21 road games played this season, 1-5 ATS in their last six Tuesday games, 0-4 ATS in their last four games after scoring 100 or more points in their previous game. The Pistons are, however, 4-0 ATS in their last four games after a double-digit home loss, 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after an ATS defeat, and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after a straight-up loss of more than 10 points.

The Warriors are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games after a straight up loss, 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 home games against an opponent with a road winning percentage below .400, 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing 100 or more points in their previous game, 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 home games against an opponent with a losing road record, and 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 games against an opponent with a winning percentage below .400. The Dubs are, however, 0-5 ATS in their last five games when playing on one day rest, and 2-4 ATS in their last six games overall.

The Warriors have outscored the Pistons by less than six points per game on the average in their last 10 meetings. However, Golden State is 18-2 ATS in their last 20 games as betting favorites of 14 or more points. They are a team that usually lives up to the oddsmakers’ expectations. This season, the Dubs are the 6th best ATS team in the NBA at 24-17-2 ATS and the second-best ATS team at home at 14-6 ATS this year.

Detroit has been decent against the spread but the Warriors look like they have more motivation to win this game than the Pistons. I’ll eat the huge chalk here.

Prediction: Warriors -15

The total has gone under in the Pistons’ last four games after allowing 100 or more points in their previous game, 4-0 in their last four games after a straight up loss of more than 10 points, 7-0 in their last seven Tuesday games, 25-5 in their last 30 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game, 4-1 in their last five games after an ATS loss, and 4-1 in their last five games after a straight up loss.

The total has gone under in the Warriors last six home games against an opponent with a losing record, 10-3 in their last 13 games after a straight up loss, 20-7 in their last 27 games after an ATS loss, 43-16 in their last 59 Tuesday games, 5-2 in their last seven games after a straight up loss of more than 10 points, 7-3-1 in their last 11 home games, 18-8 in their last 26 games when playing on one day rest, and 17-8 in their last 25 after allowing more than 100 points in their previous game.

Although the Warriors are scoring better at home than on the road, this is a team that has found success this season because of their defense. The Dubs are the no. 1 team in the league when it comes to scoring defense and they are allowing only 102.0 points per game this season. The Pistons are next to last in scoring at 101.4 points per game this season and they have failed to score at least 100 points in each of their last three games played.

This game has the recipe for a low-scoring affair, which plays to the Warriors’ strength this season.

Prediction: Under 217

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