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The red hot Pittsburgh Steelers take the road as they travel to Mile High to face the Denver Broncos in a Sunday afternoon showdown in Week 12 of the 2018 NFL season.
The Steelers came all the way from 16 points down to defeat the Jacksonville Jaguars and post their sixth consecutive victory. Meanwhile, the Broncos stopped a two game losing skid as they pulled off an upset win over their AFC West rival in the Los Angeles Chargers, 23-22.
Clicking On All Cylinders
The Pittsburgh Steelers picked up their sixth straight win last week to take a comfortable 2.5 games lead over the Baltimore Ravens and Cincinnati Bengals on top of the AFC North division. The Steelers are clicking on all cylinders right now, scoring 33 points per game during their current run. At the same time, their defense has allowed only 18 points over that period.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Denver Broncos 11/25/18
Moneyline Odds: Steelers -165, Broncos +145
Odds from betonline.ag as of 11/23/18
Close Losses
The Denver Broncos enter this game having lost five out of their last seven games played. But all five were close losses as the Broncos lost those five games by seven points or fewer. Three of their total six losses this season have been by four points or fewer. These three losses were to the Los Angeles Rams, Houston Texans and Kansas City Chiefs- all of whom are currently division leaders.
Case Keenum, who led the Minnesota Vikings to the NFL championship game last season, isn’t having the same kind of success in his first season in Denver. Keenum is completing 63.3 percent of his passes for 2,605 passing yards. But the 30-year old only has 11 touchdowns with 10 interceptions on the season. Phillip Lindsay leads the team with 670 rushing yards and 5 rushing touchdowns while Emmanuel Sanders has 60 catches for a total of 763 yards and 3 receiving touchdowns.
Who Wins?
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games played and 10-0-1 SU in their last 11 games on the road. Denver meanwhile is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games played and 3-7 SU in their last 10 games played at home. Head to head, the Broncos are 5-2 SU when playing against Pittsburgh and Denver is also 4-1 SU in their last five home games versus Pittsburgh.
Last week, Pittsburgh fell down 0-16 early but scored 20 consecutive points to send Jacksonville to their sixth straight defeat. A win like that should easily boost the Steelers’ morale heading into a game like this where their opponent has had their number in their recent matchups.
If the Steelers’ offense get off to a good start, I don’t think that Keenum and the Broncos can keep pace with them. That six game winning streak is bound to end sometime but I don’t think it will be this Sunday in Denver, despite what the betting trends say. The Steelers are playing much better right now.
We’re picking the Pittsburgh Steelers to beat the Denver Broncos on 11/25/18.
Other Bets To Make
The Steelers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games played and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road. On the other hand, the Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home. Head to head, the Broncos are 4-1-2 ATS in their last seven games against the Steelers and Denver is also 3-1-1 ATS in their last five home games versus Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Denver Broncos 11/25/18
Spread Odds: Steelers -3 (-115), Broncos +3 (-105)
Odds from betonline.ag as of 11/23/18
Denver is coming off an upset win over the Chargers and playing in Mile High is never easy. The Broncos also have the Steelers’ numbers in their head to head but the Steelers have been a very good play as road favorites as of late. Pittsburgh is 6-0-1 SU in their last seven games as favorites on the road. I also feel that the spread line is a little soft and Pittsburgh, being the better team is going to win the game and cover the spread.
Prediction: Steelers -3 (-115)
The total has gone over in 8 of Pittsburgh’s last 12 games played but the under is 17-5 in the Steelers’ last 22 road games. The under is 4-1 in Denver’s last 5 games played and also 4-1 in their last five home games played. Head to head, the total has gone over in 6 out of the last 8 games between these two teams and the over has also hit in 4 out of the last six games between Pittsburgh and Denver.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Denver Broncos 11/25/18
Over/Under Odds: Over 46.5 -108, Under 46.5 -112
Odds from betonline.ag as of 11/23/18
The Steelers have a penchant for the under when away from home. The under is 21-6 in Pittsburgh’s last 27 road games with an average score of 40.4 points Likewise, the under has hit in four out of Denver’s last five home games as the Broncos have played better defense at home. This should be a tight, competitive and low scoring game.
Prediction: Under 46.5 -112
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