Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots 9/8/19 NFL Betting Odds and Pick

The Pittsburgh Steelers test the mettle of the reigning Super Bowl champions New England Patriots on 9/8/19 at the Gillette Stadium in Massachusetts.

Pittsburgh Steelers

The Pittsburgh Pirates barely missed the playoff bus last season with their 9-6-1 record. The offense played really well with James Connor putting on a Pro-Bowl season while taking over from Le’Veon Bell. Ben Roethlisberger had one of his best seasons by ranking 4th in quarterback rating and throwing over 5,000 passing yards. The Steelers also hope to improve on a defense that already ranked 6th in the NFL in total defense. Rookie linebacker Devin Bush should help fill the void left by the injury suffered by Ryan Shazier. In week 1 though, the Steelers travel to Foxborough as NFL betting underdogs against the defending Super Bowl champions New England Patriots.

New England Patriots

The New England Patriots are world champions again. So what else is new? The Tom Brady legend continues to the 2019-20 season where they are favorites to win again. New England had an 11-5 2018 season and went on to defeat the Los Angeles Rams 13-3 at Super Bowl LIII for their sixth title, tying the record incidentally owned by the Steelers. Brady threw 29 touchdown passes and only 11 interceptions on his way to Super Bowl MVP honors. The only concern about New England right now is how will they fare with Brady’s primary target Rob Gronkowski now retired. But Belichick has done everything he could to minimize the impact of Gronk’s retirement. The Patriots drafted wide receiver N’Keal Harry from Arizona State and signed tight end Ben Watson while also picking up 4-time Pro-Bowler Demaryius Thomas. New England had the 6th best scoring defense in the league but have lost DE Trey Flowers.

Who Wins?

The Steelers are 6-4 SU in their last 10 games played. Pittsburgh is 2-3 SU in their last five games played at home. The Patriots are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played. New England is 4-0 SU in their last four home games played. Head to head, the Patriots are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played. New England is also 5-1 SU in their last six home games against Pittsburgh.

The Steelers were 3-5 SU in 8 road games played last season. On the other hand, the Patriots have won 16 straight games at home. New England beat Pittsburgh at Heinz Field last season, 27-24 and I expect them to win again this time. The Steelers lost Antonio Brown in free agency, leaving wide receiver Juju Smith Schuster as the primary option. With Brown gone, coach Bill Belichick should have no trouble in formulating a defensive scheme that is going to neutralize the Steelers’ offense. Belichick, Tom Brady, and Gillette Stadium are a combination that you don’t want to go against.

The only worry on New England is the retirement of future Hall-of-Famer Rob Gronkowski who was Tom Brady’s top and favorite receiver. The Patriots have added people to fill in his shoes but it remains to be seen if the New England offense will be as fluid as ever. However, given that Brady and Belichick are still here, there is no reason to doubt the Patriots, at least not yet.

Again, this is a New England team that has won 16 straight games at home and I don’t expect the Steelers to be the kind of team that ends that run. I’m picking the New England Patriots to beat the Pittsburgh Steelers on 9/8/19.

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Other Bets To Make

The Steelers are 5-4-1 ATS in their last 10 games played. Pittsburgh is 2-2-1 ATS in their last five games played on the road. The Patriots are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games played. New England is 3-1 ATS in their last four games played at home. Head to head, the Patriots are 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Steelers.

The Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games played in September. Pittsburgh is 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games played in week 1. The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games played against opponents from the AFC North Division and 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games played in the month of September. New England has outscored Pittsburgh by an average of 6.0 points per game in their last 10 meetings. Prediction: Patriots -6

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The total has gone under in six out of the last 10 games played by Pittsburgh. The under is 4-1 in the Steelers’ last five games played away from home. The total has gone under in seven out of the last 10 games played by the Patriots. The under is 3-1 in New England’s last four games played at home. Head to head, the under is 6-4 in the last 10 games between these two teams.

The under is 6-1 in the Steelers’ last seven games against an AFC conference opponent and 5-1 in their last six games on the road. The total has gone under in six out of the last nine games of New England against an opponent from the AFC North Division. The under is also 8-3 in the Patriots’ last 11 games played on a Sunday. These teams combined for 50.6 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 43.66 points per game in their last three meetings. Prediction: Under 51.5

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