Purdue faces Nevada in NCAA Football action on August 30, 2019, at the Mackay Stadium in Nevada.
It’s a brand new season and a new team but there are questions whether the Purdue Boilermakers are past their 14-63 blowout Bowl Game loss to Auburn last season. Purdue heads to this match against Nevada as the football betting favorite and because of that, the program has the opportunity to have a good start to erase that humiliating defeat. With Vanderbilt and TCU next on their schedule before heading to Big 10 action, this game is a big one for the Boilermakers. Purdue’s defense was the second-worst in the Big 10 last season as their defensive backs couldn’t stop any opponent.
For Nevada, the question is who will be their quarterback after Christian Solono suffered a broken hand a couple of weeks ago. His injury means that it will probably be Florida transferee Malik Henry who will have the task of beating Purdue on August 30. Nevada’s other problem will be a secondary that will most probably be a work in progress during the season. The Wolfpack offense wasn’t spectacular but their receiving corp is good enough to compete. With Purdue’s secondary a question mark, Nevada should give Purdue problems.
Purdue is 2-4 SU in their last six games played. Nevada is 5-1 SU in their last six games played and the Wolf Pack are 4-1 SU in their last five games played in August. Head to head, the Boilermakers beat the Wolf Pack 24-14 in their meeting last September 24, 2016.
I expect Nevada to play strong early on as they will feed off the crowd. However, I think Purdue’s offense has too much firepower for the Wolf Pack to take. Purdue’s defensive line is going to take over in the second half as they will come up with enough stops on third down to halt the Nevada offense from scoring. The Boiler Makers’ offense should take charge in the fourth as they pull away to win this game. Prediction: Purdue
Purdue is 2-4 ATS in their last six games played and are 1-4 ATS in their last five games played in August. Nevada is 5-2 ATS in their last seven games played and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played at home. The Wolf Pack are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played on a Friday.
Purdue
-10 (+110)
Nevada
+10 (+110)
Odds were taken from Mybookie.ag as of 8/22/19
I think the Nevada pass rush won’t be able to stop Purdue and Rondale Moore plus the rest of the corps are going to go to town with scoring TDs for the Boilermakers. It will be close early but I think Purdue wins by at least two touchdowns here. Prediction: Purdue -10
The total has gone under in 10 out of Purdue’s last 11 games played on the road. The total has gone over in four out of the last five week 1 games of Purdue. The total has gone under in seven out of the last nine games played by Nevada and the total has gone under in six out of Nevada’s last seven games played in Week 1. The under is also 4-1 in Nevada’s last five games as the betting underdog.
Purdue
O 58.5 -110
Nevada
U 58.5 -110
Odds were taken from Mybookie.ag as of 8/22/19
These teams combined to score 38 points in their last meeting but that was three years ago. Last season, these two combined to score 61.62 points per game. I think both teams score well early before Purdue takes over late. Prediction: Over 58.5
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